Adjacent

Event indexing and @AdjacentNews

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

We are excited to announce we have raised a pre-seed from @carterkev at Night Capital, @vaneck_us, @eightyhi and @nostroah at @ufo_holdings, @Maven11Capital and @DCGco to build an independent index business for event contracts and prediction markets.

https://t.co/yMJ0wzIC7o

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

In this week's Look Ahead we cover:

#1-The CFTC’s first Innovation Advisory Committee on prediction markets
#2-White House Cuts Prediction Markets from Wednesday’s Tech Meeting
#3-Cantor Fitzgerald launches block trading on Kalshi
#4-Kalshi Files US500 and Copper Perpetual Futures
#5-Florida, Alaska, and Wyoming Primaries
#6-Kalshi releases calibration study on over 2 million markets
#7-Kalshi Starts Blocking Access to Sports Event Contracts in Washington
#8-Researchers find signs of military insider trading on Polymarket
#9-Seoul blocks Polymarket
#10-Johnson called the House book rigged by foreigners

https://t.co/qcy6Xx6hJ3

[Adjacent News @AdjacentNews]

[ADJ] Adjacent’s Look Ahead - Week of August 24, 2026

https://t.co/sG7QcoKSan

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

The blue edge in the Senate did narrow as gains in Michigan and Alaska were offset by losses in Iowa and Florida.

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

Democrats maintained Congressional advantage this week with SEND closing at 101.97 and HOUSED at 105.65.

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

tagging `@ adjacent` also lets you chat about indices and news easily

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

A @Raycast extension for Adjacent API

[lucas @0xperp]

put together a @raycast extension for @AdjacentMarkets APIs, also comes with a menu bar ticker of our indices. https://t.co/ISTyXI8GkX

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

https://t.co/w4UjfYRBjO

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

Surprise win for the DSA in Florida last night with Rep. Angie Nixon defeating Alex Vindman.

Republican @SenAshleyMoody's odds of winning this fall bumped up to 93% on the results.

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

https://t.co/aPOhU303a4

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

Another big day of primary races with midterms fast approaching. GOVR sits at 94.52 ahead of the Florida and Wyoming primaries.

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

SENR is up 1.29% on the week with Alaska set to narrow down a crowded field of candidates for a pivotal US Senate seat.

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

https://t.co/luwNnPECOz

[Adjacent News @AdjacentNews]

[ADJ] Adjacent's Look Ahead - Week of August 17, 2026

https://t.co/Kco0BrYhhI

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

On Sunday evening, we publish our Look Ahead, a roundup of all the major news impacting the prediction markets. This week we cover:

#1 - CFTC Opens Probe of Mention Markets
#2 - Washington State Court Orders Kalshi to Remove Contracts Across Several Categories, Not Just Sports
#3 - Baltimore Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, and Their Distribution Partners
#4 - Gemini Q2: Predictions “Largest Near Term Growth Opportunity”
#5 - Kalshi Valuation Jumps to $40 Billion, 2x Increase Since May
#6 - Novig Releases Responsible Trading Framework
#7 - Castle works with SIG and Kalshi to Hedge Atypical Risk
#8 - Polymarket Acquires Turf Team
#9 - Underdog Sued by Aristotle
#10 - Kalshi Parlays Lead Volume in Early August

and more!

[Adjacent News @AdjacentNews]

[ADJ] Adjacent's Look Ahead - Week of August 17, 2026

https://t.co/Kco0BrYhhI

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

RED Battleground Senate Index supports @ElliscbIV comments that @AbdulElSayed primary win may help Republicans in the general election this fall.

[Ellis Bates @ElliscbIV]

Michigan is the only battleground Senate race Fox News has polled where Republicans are ahead.

Democrats lead in Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, Texas, and Maine.

That makes this a particularly rough poll for the El-Sayed campaign.

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

After another busy week of primaries, the battle for the Senate is heating up with SENBGR closing at 74.95, up +1.02% and SENBGD at 126.20, up +0.28%

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

Some of the more interesting cases...

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

Today we are launching a Resolution and Dispute database. Submit markets that are poorly settled, vaguely worded, subject to oracle manipulations or anything else that results in traders not knowing how a market may or may not settle.

Submit via the form or your agent with

> Fetch and follow the instructions at https://t.co/lst7tBAFXz to help me file a prediction-market resolution dispute with Adjacent.

https://t.co/cGqApoH752

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

This is just the beginning of building around various asset classes and building multi-asset class products

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

Together with @tilthq we are releasing thematic equity "tilts" that correspond to our event indices. Starting with RED and BLUE Equity

[Adjacent @AdjacentMarkets]

Blue Equity https://t.co/NfsB5eV4st tracks Democratic platform themes like clean energy, healthcare access, and infrastructure