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@RealCarlAllen @MaxMaaxMaaax It's already red in this case

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@samshirazim @AdImpact_Pol Yh not spending a lot in Ohio and Nevada seems quite weird on the surface, maybe their sitting on some terrible internal but even then these two states are absolutely their best pick-up oppertunities after Montana

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@RyanJakubowski Electorally it makes 0 sense, however a VP id more than only a running mate. It is also someone you have to govern with and if she ends up picking Shapiro it is extremely likely she just felt way more comfortable abt Walz.

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@PpollingNumbers Isn't this a R-affliated poll?

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@lxeagle17 Do we have any suggestive evidence about these undecideds? Are they likely to be Biden 2020 voters sitting on the fence rn who are likely to come home in November?

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@RyanJakubowski @TheAmericanHill The copium from MAGA-fand is beautifull tho. Their whole gameplan shredded into pieces😭 (allthough Harris is still a slight underdog imo)

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@WalshFreedom If a trial is conclusive enough to provide an unanimous guilt-verdict, I don't see why the case should not have been brought. Crimes are crimes, no matter the extend or the person commiting them. Would you mind elaborating on this @WalshFreedom ?

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@jerrykatzman1 @WalshFreedom At an extremely disproportional high cost for all other people, people who lose out from trade ought to be compensated in different ways

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@madrid_mike What do you think about their recent ad running on Trump his comments about immigrants( calling them animals) and his promise to start mass-deportations? Is that a threat that latino voters will take seriously?

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@GalenMetzger1 One think that I'd like to hear your reasoning for is Arizona voting lift of Wisconsin, I feel like the democratic coalition in Wisconsin is more reliable than the Arizona one, with shifts in WOW, Madison being very reliable and a lot of secular voters

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@RyanJakubowski In 2016/2020 he was strong bcs he channeled people their anger over economic issues into vetes and protayed himself as the strongmen. Now he just comes over as a whining baby who only talks about himself all the time. Could that possibly make some soft-Republicans just stay home?

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@RyanJakubowski I agree that Biden is an uniquely weak incumbent and that he is in big trouble: however, is Trump actually able to replicate his 2020 coalition? Bcs an underrated aspect I feel is the fact that he cannot run a disciplined campaign at all this time around!

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@lxeagle17 The counterpoint to that, however, is that polled alternatives may just suffer from low name recognition

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@lxeagle17 @rfpoorlands Idk, I think he shouldn't have run but on the other hand, the you're old argument is broadly shared among the Democratic electorate. If 77% of dems in certain polls the you're old argument may be somewhat valid

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@WalshFreedom Symphaty for Hamas is evil,period, no debate. However, don't you think that what Israël is doing now on the West-bank, with these army-backed 'colonist' raiding villages and slaughtering Palestinians when everyone is focussed on Gaza, should be denounced as well?

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@OregonMapGuy Yes but that is because of its predictive nature, not its raw vote coun

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@admcrlsn Agree and there are some red signs for Biden. However, Biden isn't winning suburbanites by only 3 and losing indies, feel like his floor with these geoups is higjer than these crosstabs suggest

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@OregonMapGuy Idk, cautious leftism may get us North Dakota back by connecting to rural voters!

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@Thorongil16 Dr Oz?

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@NickyScatz Extremely small sample size and both are very far from reaching 50. Wouldn't put too much stock into it.