@jayparsons Here’s my pitch: a Kalshi instance for whether each market research vendor’s forecasts end up being accurate. We’d love to participate! You can be the honest broker!
@jayparsons It is a bit harsh, but we've done a ton of work here. This is more the norm than exception. We're more than happy to share the analysis. With billions being underwritten to these forecasts, accuracy needs to get an order of magnitude better.
In our upcoming team offsite I’ll be organizing a team bonding event where the board fires me, some key execs turn on me, the employees have to bring me back, and then we hug it out and everybody is crazy pumped to be back to normal.
(also worth noting: ten years ago essentially no one predicted this. the common wisdom was that we would have self-driving cars very soon but that creativity was out of reach for AI, maybe forever.
predictions made today about how AI is going to develop are likely as bad.)
A lot of Americans who think that freedom fighting is about not wearing a mask to Costco are about to learn something from the brave people of Ukraine.
No one “builds a house.” They lay one brick again and again and again and the end result is a house. A remarkable, glorious achievement is just what a long series of unremarkable, unglorious tasks looks like from far away.
Procrastinators are bad at remembering this.
Most news outlets attempt to answer the question: “What are the worst things happening on Earth today?”
It’s a big planet! Obviously, some bad things are happening somewhere at any given time, but focusing relentlessly on those does not give an accurate picture of reality.
someday eating meat is going to get cancelled, and we are going to look back upon it with horror.
we have a collective continual duty to find our way to better morals, and to allow some space for that process.
There are two types of dudes in tech:
1. Married midwestern boy with 2 kids
2. Polyamorous Burning Man guy who drinks hemp milk and microdoses psilocybin
There is nothing in between.
Today we are excited to announce our $22.5 million Series B funding round, led by @SusqGrowth!
Check out the full rundown and additional details via @trdny here:
https://t.co/AwW0ZrIW6H