Alex Vollo

FPL enthusiast. UEFA B licensed coach. Visual artist.

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

FPL GW5 (Free Hit)🔒

7 penalty takers, evil Saka, and whoever plays on the left against Coventry as a captain. Everything you need for a green arrow.

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@chewiefpl he's also on 12 defcons already

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

Amazing gameweek for everyone who forgot to create their FPL team

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

Man City clean sheet gone

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@kotzwysp just read the tweet again seriously

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

Not only is this data completely wrong, but categorical statements based on tiny xG samples are also completely missing the point of xG.

Same shit with "he scored X points from Y xGI today, he's extremely lucky". If we're talking about one match, we're looking at perhaps a couple of shots and chances created. There is a stupidly large amount of outcome variance at that level.

Even the way individual chances are classified by xG can be noisy, that makes it impossible to jump straight from an observed gap between xG and actual points to a conclusion about luck and shit. The gap is real, but you need enough opportunities for random variation to wash out before you can confidently identify something meaningful.

BUT using data incorrectly as a coping mechanism for this game is completely fine honestly. If that helps any of you cope with FPL, I would actually advise continuing to do it. There aren't many things you can control in this game anyway.

[FPL Olympian @FPLOlympian]

Pascal Groß has 6 G/A from 0.89 xGI in all competitions this season, excluding pens.

That’s extremely unsustainable. Expect a massive regression very soon.

I stand by the fact that serious managers aren’t buying him now.

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@alitvallin Watch less TikTok

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@FPL_Timmy So much misinformation on my timeline just to create some categorical statements about a player you don't own...

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@tejaskokcha @nextXI_fpl website

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

If a player you don't own has more goals than xG, he's overperforming, and it's an anomaly.

If a player you own has more goals than xG, he's an incredible finisher.

You're welcome!

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@HCfootball01 Wait till you learn about defcon

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@FPL_Erfee just gotta buy Schade

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

GW5 Captain locked🔒

#FPL

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@GameweekGuru At least his goal proves that low xG samples are way too noisy to make categorical statements

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@fplsebv So you haven't counted one of his assists while not counting penalty xG still, that's a smart manipulation to make a tweet more dramatic fair play

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@fplsebv So you're counting a penalty, but not counting penalty xG...

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@fplsebv fpl says 2.6, anyways

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@fplsebv WyScout says 3.1xGI

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@FPL__Fran ever heard of Yehor Yarmolyuk?

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@chewiefpl @fplsebv

[Alex Vollo @AlexVolloFPL]

@fplsebv I don't watch basketball, it must be an NBA version of Radu Dragusin or smth