Like the Titanic being unsinkable, banks' models were meant to be unbreakable. They'd been perfectly validated yet in the face of #COVID19 they failed. So how should we fix them? @allagil1's latest column in @GARP_Risk explains: https://t.co/TOhcA4SNiL
No-one could have predicted the #pandemic. But if #risk models are meant to prepare an organization for all sorts of #scenarios why did they fail? Ultimately, it comes down to the data and the type of models they feed. @allagil1 https://t.co/z7kUeiTla5
How can banks minimize risk and optimize performance when standard stress testing models don’t work? To find out, join our CEO @allagil1 , and two of @FinastraFS's finest - Arnaud Picut and Mariusz Podsiadlo - for a special webcast: https://t.co/9XZOrrGE4N
Delighted to share that our CEO @allagil1 is the new FRM Corner columnist @GARP_Risk. Her 1st piece is on whether, amid #COVID, @federalreserve#CCAR#stresstests should be applied more broadly, and if a blended approach to capital planning is needed https://t.co/eOUqPNQPhg
Why do 1-in-100-yr events seem to be happening every 5yrs? #Blackswan events - eg #COVID - are impossible to predict. But we can estimate the probability of their happening, and impact they might have: https://t.co/RaRYoBeKmb #scenarios#riskmanagement@allagil1
Imagine taking a penalty only for the goalposts to move.What if the ball was capital u manage & goalposts ur risk appetite?That sums up #risk managers' dilemma during #COVID.Yet most adjust risk-appetite annually. There's a better way @GARP_Risk@allagil1 https://t.co/17t0rrfiIx
High-risk assets aren’t always the ones you need to worry about under a #stress scenario. To learn why, along with other lessons learned from the #COVID crisis, check out @allagil1's latest: https://t.co/VhEgvFqitn #fundmanagement#hiddenrisk
Do you like surprises? They’re not for everyone, especially if they’re unpleasant, like #coronavirus and surging unemployment. If you don’t like surprises, the solution is to ensure you’re ready for every eventuality: https://t.co/CqrPrDqfY1 #scenarios#risk@allagil1
In case you missed it, I took part in a lively discussion last week, exploring new ways to prepare #insurance markets for systemic risks threatening #businesscontinuity. Thanks to @ukinisrael for organizing + @EmmaWatkins78, Amit Gal & Arjon Cohen. https://t.co/97fVLNfSDW
#COVID is an unprecedented shock that’s led to unprecedented uncertainty. How best to handle the financial risks facing your organization? Join me & @HebrewU Business School for a special Zoom lecture on Weds. Register: https://t.co/kyfJXf68GZ #stresstesting#investment#risk
After the #COVID crash, markets recovered their vim. Yet #scenario analysis shows a 1% probability stocks will ↓30% in 1 quarter, and up to 50% within 1yr. Given these potential shocks, it’s critical portfolio managers are ready for any eventuality https://t.co/o1iIm83qok