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31,000 km sounds like a safe distance. It isn't in orbital mechanics terms, it's a near miss measured in minutes.
Apophis is 370 metres wide. The asteroid that wiped out the dinosaurs was 10 km. Apophis wouldn't end civilisation it would erase a city and everything within several hundred kilometres of impact.
The real concern isn't 2029. Earth's gravity will bend Apophis's trajectory during the flyby, creating what scientists call a keyhole! a narrow region in space. If Apophis passes through a specific keyhole in 2029, gravitational mechanics locks in an impact trajectory for 2036.
We won't know if it threads that keyhole until it happens.
DART proved we can redirect asteroids. Apophis is the first real test of whether we built that capability fast enough.
:-Via NASA/JPL Planetary Defense