Lefebvre Armin

Boursicoteur curieux | Publie ou RT les news !

[Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla]

JEFFERIES DESK:

“.. in the last 10 days, we’ve been net for sale in Tech to the tune of > $1B on 7 of those days.

.. And for reference, here’s our net trading flows over a 20D period, one of the more dramatic net selling periods we’ve seen in Tech in recent years.”

[Melvin @MelvinInvests]

If you're wondering why the market keeps selling off, take a look at these two charts from Goldman Sachs.

The chart on the left shows how much hedge funds have been buying versus selling throughout 2026. When the black line moves higher, it means hedge funds are buying more than they're selling. When it moves lower, it means they're selling more than they're buying. Notice those three red boxes in April, August, and October? Each one highlights a period of extremely aggressive selling, with the latest reading approaching the lows we saw earlier this year. In other words, hedge funds have been dumping stocks at a pace similar to some of the worst selling periods we've experienced earlier this year.

Now look at the chart on the right. The blue line represents how much leverage hedge funds are using on their long positions, meaning stocks they're betting will go higher. The red line represents leverage on their short positions, meaning stocks they're betting will go lower. Notice how the red line has climbed dramatically. According to Goldman Sachs, short leverage has now reached the 99th percentile over the past five years. In simpler terms, hedge funds are carrying some of their largest bearish positions in years. And this helps explain why we're seeing so much pressure across AI, semiconductors, memory, and other high growth stocks. Not only are institutions selling their existing positions but they're also increasing their bets that stocks will continue falling. And as someone said unfortunately, we're just collateral damage in the battles between hedge funds.

What's even crazier is that some of these hedge funds have been getting absolutely hammered themselves and some funds are under tremendous pressure to recover their losses. And who knows, maybe aggressively shorting the market is their grand plan to finally come back to life before the year ends, haha. I'm obviously being a little sarcastic, but when large institutions start selling billions of dollars worth of stocks, retail investors get caught in the middle. Even companies reporting strong earnings and growing their businesses can get dragged down simply because large funds are reducing risk or betting against the broader market. But here's something important to understand.The same positioning that's putting pressure on stocks today could help fuel a pretty aggressive recovery. When investors short a stock, they eventually have to buy it back to close that position. If the market starts recovering, some hedge funds may rush to cover their shorts, creating additional buying pressure. That's why markets can sometimes recover just as aggressively as they sell off.

Of course, none of this means we've reached the bottom. Hedge funds can continue selling, and bearish positioning can remain elevated for quite some time. But I think it's important to recognize that a lot of this selling is being amplified by institutional positioning. It doesn't necessarily mean the long term fundamentals of every company being sold have suddenly deteriorated. My long term conviction in AI infrastructure hasn't changed, regardless of how ugly this gets.

[Aksel Kibar, CMT @TechCharts]

#NASDAQ Pushing through the resistance.

[Horse Trading @ALG2Horse]

Mein Sohn wollte unbedingt eine neue Konsole, 450 Euro, und hat mich gefragt, ob ich ihm das Geld vorstrecken kann, er würde es auch von seinem Taschengeld zurückzahlen.

Ich dachte mir, das ist eigentlich der perfekte Moment, dem Jungen mal beizubringen, wie die echte Welt funktioniert.

Also hab ich ihm einen Ratenkredit gemacht, 450 Euro, 24 Monate, 8,9 Prozent effektiv, keine Anzahlung, ganz sauber mit Vertrag, den er unterschrieben hat, und seine Mutter als Zeugin, die allerdings nur unterschrieben hat, damit endlich Ruhe ist.

Das sind 20,54 Euro im Monat, über die Laufzeit zahlt er 492,96 zurück, davon knapp 43 Euro nur Zinsen.

Bei 25 Euro Taschengeld bleiben ihm jetzt jeden Monat 4,46 Euro zum Leben, was ungefähr dem Verhältnis entspricht, das die meisten Erwachsenen mit ihrem Autokredit auch haben.

Jetzt kommt der Teil, den er nicht bedacht hat, denn irgendwann in der Laufzeit kommt garantiert ein neues Spiel raus, das er unbedingt haben muss, und dann hat er für die Konsole zwar bezahlt, aber keine 70 Euro übrig, um irgendwas drauf zu spielen.

Bei 4,46 im Monat spart er fast sechzehn Monate auf ein einziges Spiel, also ist er ziemlich genau am Ende der Kreditlaufzeit so weit, sich das erste Spiel für seine abbezahlte Konsole zu leisten.

Er meint, ich wäre der schlimmste Vater der Welt, und ich hab ihm dann gezeigt, dass die Sparkasse bei seiner Bonität 11,9 genommen hätte, da war er dann etwas ruhiger.

Sowas nennt man Finanzbildung. 🐴

[Nicolas Chéron @NCheron_bourse]

🟢 Le Kospi gagne 1.5%
🟢 Ethereum pousse à 2700$
🟢 Nasdaq futures +0.4%
🟢 CAC40 +0.4%

Les opérateurs estiment que les flux pétroliers pourraient se rétablir en Arabie saoudite, les marchés apprécient ✅

Trump refuse d’ouvrir un second front et d’attaquer les Houtis, les marchés apprécient ✅

Octobre et novembre sont statistiquement les 2 meilleurs mois en terme de performance, la fin d’un tunnel baissier de court terme serait-elle proche?

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

Traders when the market is closed on a Monday realizing they have absolutely no idea how normal people spend the day.

[Nicolas Chéron @NCheron_bourse]

Air liquide : sur repli si possible 🟢

A long terme, l'action s'approche de sa MM200 hebdomadaire, comme en 2020, 2022 et en janvier 2026 (graphique 1).

A court terme, elle a également pour habitude de faire 3 pas en avant 2 pas en arrière, avec des replis de 10 à 15% fonction des saisons.

Aussi, si je souhaitais l'acheter sur repli, je surveillerai la MM200 conjugué au seuil psychologique des 160€, et le support horizontal des 155€.

➡️ Cette publication n'est pas un conseil en investissement.

[Tradosaure @tradosaure]

🛑ETF "World" : Alerte Zone d'accumulation rationnelle

Amundi MSCI World Swap UCITS ETF EUR Acc
ISIN LU1681043599 | Ticker CW8
Monde, 23 pays développés
ELIGIBLE PEA

#ETF #bourse #inevestissement

[Remarks @remarks]

JUST IN: Elon Musk says all government censorship requests are now publicly visible in the open-source X algorithm.

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

Citadel reportedly bought most of Situational Awareness’s stock portfolio after the forced unwind.

So it was warning that the Fed could hike in July while preparing to buy the AI stocks that narrative was helping crush 🤔

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Absolutely

[Little Think Tank @L_ThinkTank]

[ 🇺🇸 ÉTATS-UNIS ]

🔸 Vidéo absolument incroyable publiée par un astronaute de la NASA montrant un coucher de Terre vu depuis la Lune, filmé sans retouche avec un iPhone lors de la mission Artemis II.

[Lefebvre Armin @ArminLefebvre]

@NCheron_bourse @JDFollowing Jumia 200k… Les débuts en bourse furent douloureux !
Je n’ai toujours pas récupéré mes pertes 4 ans après.

[Alexandre Baradez @ABaradez]

🇺🇸Etats-Unis (mois de mars)

🔹Inflation CPI = 3.3%
(cons 3.3% préc 2.4%)

🔹Inflation core CPI (hors énergie et alimentation) = 2.6%
(cons 2.7% préc 2.5%)

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

⚠ BREAKING: Trump: I agree to suspend bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks - Truth Social

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

US x Iran ceasefire odds are spiking, as seen on Polymarket:

[Lefebvre Armin @ArminLefebvre]

@ABaradez Peut-être ça : https://t.co/UbLAX37JaE

[Lefebvre Armin @ArminLefebvre]

@ABaradez Depuis quelques jours, les bateaux passent le détroit d’Ormuz et Trump a déclaré qu’il n’était pas opposé à l’idée d’un droit de passage payant.
Le sujet principal concernant la tension sur le pétrole est de moins en moins problématique.

[BFM Business @bfmbusiness]

Des chambres de bonne transformées en appartements premium 🏚️➡️🏠

L'agence Atom transforme des chambres de bonne en des appartements pouvant être loué entre 500 et 1.000 euros par mois. La mairie de Paris dénonce un contournement de l'encadrement des loyers.

🎙️ Elyne Le Faou

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

*TRUMP: INSTRUCTED TO POSTPONE ALL STRIKES AGAINST IRAN