Aron Cheung

[Alan Wager @DrAlanWager]

On paper, there are a near-equal number of seats where Lib Dem & Labour are 2nd & where there was a (again, on paper) 'progressive majority' last time. Note that gap in the middle and the clustering: the distance between 'progressive' parties has become clearer in these places...

[Alan Wager @DrAlanWager]

A thread based on a new working paper written with @aron_cheung and @proftimbale: ‘Breaching the Blue Wall: could tactical voting help England’s progressive parties defeat the Conservatives?’

Here’s one clue as to why it's a Q that risen up the agenda.

https://t.co/dUkNpodfL4

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

UK decision to only accept NHS vaxx-pass + latest green list review is creating bizarre travel rules. Travel to 🇬🇧 from 🇩🇪 (cases x50 lower) means quarantine + ££PCR tests, but returning with EU vaxx-pass is friction-free. Also 🇮🇱 staying on the green list, 🇭🇷 joining, but not 🇩🇪

[Alan Wager @DrAlanWager]

A year ago, with @ProfTimBale and @Aron_Cheung we identified (on the left map) a 'yellow halo' of growing electoral strength for the Liberal Democrats.

Chesham and Amersham is one of those dark grey squares in the middle of it.

https://t.co/EdRsoMMate

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

By-elections are often weird outliers... but the Chesham & Amersham result signals a deeper shift with the Lib Dems now threatening the Conservatives in places that, for years, were safe blue (red wall echoes anyone?)

Analysis a year ago by me @DrAlanWager @ProfTimBale👇

[Alan Wager @DrAlanWager]

A year ago, with @ProfTimBale and @Aron_Cheung we identified (on the left map) a 'yellow halo' of growing electoral strength for the Liberal Democrats.

Chesham and Amersham is one of those dark grey squares in the middle of it.

https://t.co/EdRsoMMate

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

feeling very seen in the replies

[Flags Mashup Bot @FlagsMashupBot]

Madagascar (🇲🇬)
+
Bhutan (🇧🇹)
=
Bhudagascar:

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

"Where do you see yourself in 10 years time?"

[Emma John @em_john]

I'll be busy the rest of the day apologising to my friends and explaining how headline writers take stuff you wrote tongue-in-cheek entirely out of context

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

And anyone assuming that political gravity is due to hit the SNP / Welsh Labour any day now should revisit their assumptions

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

People who are surprised about the SNP and Welsh Labour performing so well after three and five terms in office respectively should maybe look at how long the CSU has governed in Bavaria

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

Maybe incumbency fatigue just doesn't work the same way for state and devolved level elections compared with national elections? And given relatively recent devolution in the UK it's taken a while for that to become clear

[Senatsverwaltung WGP @SenWGP]

🖕Mehr als 1 Mio Erstimpfungen in Berlin und über 10 Prozent Zweitimpfungen 👉
https://t.co/QlWNFAhkMO

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

ugh gross

[Ed Malyon @eaamalyon]

Sunday Times just lobbing this on the front page as if it’s nothing

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

This is too much for my fragile little brain and I want to finally say goodbye to UK bureaucracy

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

Can any UK freelancers recommend a good/not too pricey accountant for slightly more complex HMRC self-assessments (e.g. split year, leaving the UK mid tax-year)?

[Elspeth Nicholson @ElspethJWN]

This morning new @instituteforgov report 'Funding Devolution' by @AkashPaun, @Aron_Cheung and I is published! https://t.co/jem08u1DeA

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

Excited to publish a new report today on devolved funding and the Barnett formula, with @AkashPaun @EJWNicholson

How does the formula work in theory?
What outcomes does it generate in practice?
How is the system evolving?
What impact has COVID had?
Why is reform so difficult?

[Institute for Government @instituteforgov]

[NEW REPORT] Funding devolution: the Barnett formula in theory and practice https://t.co/Zwb5aN8O8r

[Akash Paun @AkashPaun]

Delighted to announce the publication of 'Funding Devolution', our new @instituteforgov study of the Barnett formula and how the devolved governments are funded. The report was co-authored by chart-and-data-wizard @Aron_Cheung @EJWNicholson and me https://t.co/dTEe9RBs9w 1/

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

Had fun designing this graphic with @maxfras @oysteib @dkcagara

[Max Fras @maxfras]

What language am I reading?

The latest update of the European language flowchart

[Aron Cheung @Aron_Cheung]

@ThimontJack @Jess_Sargeant de nada 👌