Geoff Vann

Retired ex-smoking vaper

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

For the avoidance of doubt, 2016 is just the 4th quarter😀

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

For interest - the numbers by year and my extrapolation of the 2022/23 NDSHS

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

More of interest
https://t.co/B3EqRQB6Bt

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

For interest and comparison
https://t.co/hwACXUQIvX

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

@ArielleSelya @LynneDawkins 😀#GFN26

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

@phil_w888 @zaruk Data😀

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

Maybe could be discussed at #GFN26 ?

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

Compare and contrast
https://t.co/X04OOiD1EY

https://t.co/dlnoY0olT4

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

@ArielleSelya @LynneDawkins My impression was that no-one else was prepared to do one as no-one knew what they were supposed to say!

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

@ArielleSelya @LynneDawkins From my admittedly dodgy memory, Lynne was the first UK TC academic to do a proper study on ecigs rather than just express their views, opinions and concerns (although I can't remember what the study was about😀)

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

A few overlaps - but the equation works out that every €1 increase in duty & VAT gives a 5.6% increase in ND packs

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

For interest, I plotted the duty + VAT figures from "Cigarette Taxes in Europe, 2026 | Tax Foundation Europe" against the % non-domestic from the KPMG report (seems to be just EU for duty/VAT so I added UK with same figure as Ireland)😀

[Christopher Snowdon @cjsnowdon]

@BV_dodderer fyi https://t.co/jeHKMkJ8nq

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

@cjsnowdon Would like to see the pre-COVID years - the lockdowns disrupted the illegal supply chains more than the legal ones😀

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

@cjsnowdon Interesting to see their estimate for machine-rolled illicit

But the bigger black market is likely to be in hand-rolled - ASH estimated that 52% of smokers use (mainly) HRT yet legal (equivalent) volumes are only 2/3 those of machine-rolled

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

@cjsnowdon It's paywalled - do @business identify the cause?

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

Reminder of disadvantaged groups

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

As reported by Sky https://t.co/dlnoY0olT4

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

Reminder of numbers up to Aug 2023

[Geoff Vann @BV_dodderer]

For interest https://t.co/2UCfdXTyzt