Gabriel

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@nullcharts This is a very important breakout and a reminder that if you aren’t beating the market, you are definitely doing something very wrong

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

I am long $TOYO. I argue it is easily worth $2B just on it's Houston facility and section 45X credits. It makes $80M in annual tax credits today on a $558M mkt cap, and the market isn't pricing any growth.

Check out my in depth analysis below:
https://t.co/fTBn59D2mC

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@nullcharts Another day, another beautiful chart

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

Although it's already up 21% today after reporting earnings, I had been working on this $GTX post for some time and I believe there is still more upside.

Check it out:
https://t.co/uH7aBBgfMd

[Ricardo Sarraf @nullcharts]

So... the price trend is shifting at the same time the company becomes profitable?

And the stock has a 20 days to cover ratio on 13% short interest...

Not bad $SKYH

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

While everyone's worried about whether the ceasefire will collapse, $SKYH has been quietly delivering.

Since my substack dropped, the numbers are doing exactly what I said they would:
FY2025 revenue: +87% YoY ($14.8M → $27.5M). Rental alone +70%.
First positive net income year: $7.3M, $0.10 EPS

What moved since I wrote:
Two new Tier One unique airports: Long Beach (LGB) and Fort Worth Meacham (FTW). 18 → 23. My model gave SKYH zero credit for signings beyond 18. Every new Tier One campus is worth roughly $1/share.
Non-dilutive funding secured: $200M JPMorgan Term Loan Facility executed (Sept '25)
More non-dilutive funding because why not: $150M Series 2026 tax-exempt PABs issued (Feb '26) at 6.00%. Higher coupon than the 2021 series (4.25%), but still far below the 13%+ unlevered NOI yield on cost. The spread is the whole trade.
OBBBA thesis playing out: OBBBA made 100% bonus depreciation on business aircraft permanent. That was Pillar 8 of my thesis. Congress locked it in.

The thesis hasn't moved: the evidence has gotten louder. Private jet backlog is now $57B (+10% YoY). 2027 is still the year the P&L finally shows what the unit economics have been saying the whole time. Given that they add 2 leases per quarter on average, rentable sqft should nearly triple to 4M.

Fully long, common + warrants. Biggest position in my book. Highest conviction I've ever had on any name. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

Hello all! If you haven’t checked out my write up on $SKYH, let me summarize it for you.

$SKYH is severely undervalued and its profitability is masked by upfront costs, but once stabilized its properties yield +13% unlevered.

Private jet demand is booming and these rich folk need a place to park their jets. $SKYH dominates the home basing market, and their “competition” (FBOs) serve an entirely different service of transient traffic.

$SKYH is years ahead of the competition and has locked in 18 airports with 50 year lease agreements.

I value the shares at $19 and the market is currently valuing $SKYH at 12x 2027 AFFO which is way too low for a class A real estate developer with 13+% yields on customers that are price insensitive.

The market is valuing $SKYH like a sinking ship burning cash, but once stabilized, I argue that these properties will break even by year end 2025. Showing profitability in Q4.

With Q2 results coming tomorrow. I expect the market to begin to see what $SKYH is building as they add more airports and potentially disclose financing that clears up dilution fears. If the market doesn’t like it, I’ll buy more and wait for Q4!

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@faststocknewss $BP 2021

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@nullcharts imo they are doing this to stall ground invasion

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@spectre0799 Spectre uses FL🥳

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@BackupJeffx but his brother died, hard for me to believe he wouldn’t have called his brother if he knew

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@nullcharts this is an amazing chart

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@nullcharts 1Y candles are underused

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

They specialize in ACA marketplace plans. Their business model only works with enhancements. If ACA enhancements don’t exist, young people won’t enroll in marketplace plans because no one wants to pay $800+ in health care, especially if they are healthy. Funny of you assume they will be profitable in 2027

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@jawwwn_ @michaeljburry @SaraEisen “We deliver for the average person, on the battlefield”

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@calvinfroedge $CE might go out of business lol

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@SayNoToTrading bet

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

$EE developing iraq LNG terminal. While people are trying to play a squeeze on $NFE, $EE will be the greatest beneficiary of $NFE bankruptcy. All of $EE contracts are with governments that have never missed a payment. This should trade at a premium to $LNG but it doesn’t.

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

$EE fascinating development with this acquisition in Jamaica. 13Y contract acquired at 9x 25E EBITDA. EE trades at 6x forward, extremely accretive. EE current portfolio has 7Y average contract length. Also, acquiring $NFE power assets at a discount who needs liquidity badly.

[Gabriel @BabyBaconFat]

@nullcharts don’t we all