Darin Zimmerman

Actuary.
Happily married NO DMs.
I'm here for the entertainment, not to influence people. Please don't feel obligated to follow me.

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

Jonathan Haidt is one of my very favorite authors. Here he's introducing a chapter from another author on digital addiction. His forward and the chapter are well worth reading:

https://t.co/JXuad9Xnqb

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@pajas1147 @bluelivesmtr @Ladybugzz21 I'm not their lawyer, but my understanding is that they claim they used informants to infiltrate the groups and get a better understanding of how they were spreading hate. I don't disagree with you that it smells fishy, I was just pointing out that both sides stipulated payments

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

Great post from Ace of Spades on Democrats turning betting markets into the equivalent of push polls:

https://t.co/iGysAOZHzc

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@mnguncaucus At the gym this morning I saw on TV that the assault weapons ban legislation was not passed.

[Daniel Friedman @DanFriedman81]

Brett Kavanaugh, a man in his 50s, had been valedictorian of his high school, at Yale College and a star student at Yale Law, had clerked for the Supreme Court, had a top career as an appellate lawyer and federal judge and a pristine reputation, and then a random woman from the town he grew up in claimed he had groped her at a party 35 years earlier when they were in high school.

Kavanaugh didn’t try to argue that the incident was consensual. He didn’t claim he remembered things differently than she did. He immediately stated that he had never even met the accuser. Denying ever meeting the accuser is a much stronger claim than merely denying assaulting her, and much easier to refute. After Kavanaugh made this denial, Christine Blasey-Ford no longer had to prove he had sexually assaulted her to scuttle his nomination, she only had to prove that the two of them had attended a party together at which such an assault might have occurred.

She was unable to do so. She did not know whose house the alleged assault occurred at. None of the people she claimed attended the party corroborated any aspect of her account. Leland Keyser, a friend of Blasey-Ford’s, who the accuser claimed was at the alleged party, said she recalled no such event and had never met Kavanaugh.

Kavanaugh produced a detailed calendar he had kept during the summer Blasey-Ford alleged she was assaulted, which included his whereabouts of every weekend night and listing who he was with. Kavanaugh argued that he could alibi himself and provide witnesses for any night Blasey-Ford claimed she might have been at a party with him. Blasey-Ford responded that she did not know the date of her assault and was not entirely certain it even occurred that year. Instead of being seen as persuasive, Kavanaugh’s calendar was mocked in both mainstream and social media because the reason he kept it was for a drinking contest he was having with his friends.

Nearly a decade later, there is still not a single shred of proof or a single witness who will corroborate the claim that Brett Kavanaugh and Christine Blasey-Ford were ever in the same room before she testified at his confirmation hearing. Nonetheless, people like Nick Kristof still claim Kavanaugh was “credibly accused” of sexually assaulting this woman.

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@iowahawkblog Ooh, savage burn!

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@danielgsydnor @GreighWard @RaminNasibov No, my example acknowledges that the deck of cards does not come from the factory in a random state. It comes from the factory highly ordered. And when millions of people shuffle a highly order deck it is very likely that the first shuffle will match the first shuffle of others

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@danielgsydnor @GreighWard @RaminNasibov No, mathematically, a random to a random, is statistically improbable; that is entirely different than saying no human has ever created the same shuffle. There is tell of a riffle shuffle that created 4 bridge hands of 13 clubs, 13 spades, 13 diamonds and 13 hearts.

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

After the 2024 elections Republicans had a 220-215 advantage in the US House. This article (from a conservative news site) said the author asked ChatGPT to redraw congressional districts ignoring politics but optimizing "compactness" (which is an unbiased mathematical term) and centering on large cities. If these criteria had been used in 2024, the results would have been a Republican advantage of 241-194.

[cut.jib.newsletter @cutjibnews]

The Morning Rant: AI-Driven Redistricting?

Gee, has anyone noticed that federal legislative districts are in the news? Well, we have been screwing with them for the last 184 years, when The Apportionment Act of 1842 was passed. Some states were still electing at-large representatives, some states had multiple member districts, and it was a bit of a mess. Some states continued their wayward ways and there were other apportionment acts passed.

Oh…wait! Elbridge Gerry (of Gerrymander fame!) was screwing with them in 1812, and I am sure there were manipulations before then. The real issue is that there are no laws governing the creation of legislative districts that can rein in the base instincts of politicians. Partisan manipulation of districts has been found by the courts to be permissible, and that has overwhelmed the demands of “compactness,” and maintaining political subdivisions like counties, cities, and neighborhoods within rational districts.

https://t.co/Xwc0NCbaQd

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@HotSpotHotSpot I thought the best joke was:

We knew Chelsea would be available tonight, it's Mother's Day

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

Joe Klein is one of my favorite writers. This piece on the SCOTUS decision yesterday is fantastic!

On Benign Bigotry https://t.co/4p4yYVRsCf

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@CreasonJana @AOC @RepAOC @GovWhitmer No, she's not as smart as everyone pretends she is, but confusing "Deloitte" with "Dupont" isn't the evidence that supports that correct statement.

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@zerodarkwokey @mattvanswol Terrorists don't hang people: they use bombs and other attacks intended to cultivate fear in their opponents. The people who use gallows are officials who have convicted traitors of treason. That does not fall into the category of "political violence".

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@ksorbs It's not child abuse; it's internet rage bait. Don't fall for it.

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@libsoftiktok I had to verify this with 2 other source (National: Fox News; local: KCRG) in order to convince myself this wasn't the Babylon Bee. This is crazy!

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@MostlyPeaceful Yeah, we do want legal immigration. Fully vetted immigrants are almost always highly educated and extremely productive (and law-abiding). Historically, we've set quotas for the amount our nation can absorb and filled it.

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@XenFlares @andreas_nigbur You get paid interest: that is your share because it reflects the ridiculously low credit risk you shoulder thanks to the FDIC. Nine out of 10 of those start up companies go bankrupt. Are you going to kick in more to reflect the loss when they do?

[Gunther Eagleman™ @GuntherEagleman]

Who’s ready to see Adam Schiff go to jail for the Russian collusion hoax, mortgage fraud, and J6 committee lies?

He’s tagged in this post! Let him hear you.

[Darin Zimmerman @BadSpellar65]

@HarleyShah Problem is bait and switch; the promise is a utopia where nobody ever goes without, the reality is an autoritarian nightmare where people are all slaves of The State (the politicians and their families and cronies) and there is neverending misery. It can only work with angels.