Sports Explored

Exploring baseball strategy and analytics ⚾
Student of the game.
Sharing what I’m learning
Substack ↓

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@thedawgspodcast List reeks of name recognition. No way Mark Andrews at this stage of his career is ahead of Fannin.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@wpialsportsnews @nflrums He could buy treasuries. The 1 year is yielding a little over 4%. CAPM applies to his situation. I like the idea that he’s not handing it over to a money manager. He’ll sleep better at night.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@Rob_Shenanigans It’s called 20-20 hindsight.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@SportsBoyTony Valid. Wrote an article about this:

https://t.co/kTZWEtAz1E

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@emmitonair Jack Kemp
Cookie Gilchrest

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@DGrayTexas45 @_BossHawg67 @SharpFootball It appeared to be a drill on extending plays and what happens if the RB out of the backfield runs his route too shallow. If anyone truly it was Browns scrimmaging they’re clueles. Browns have been practicing extending plays at minicamp.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@BarrySchust Bill Russell, Dave Cowans, Artis Gilmore, was Chis Bosh considered a center?

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@JOBuras @RossDellenger The law & Civil Procedure.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

The court order is explicit. It has a list of on going obligations he has to comply to. Also the court order is specific that if he doesn’t comply the NCAA can petition for emergency relief. This narrative that Sorsby has unfettered eligibility after the 2 game suspension is a lie, it’s false.
READ THE DAMN COURT ORDER

[Andrew Brandt @AndrewBrandt]

They can do all the things they discuss: support/rehab/be around teammates/coaches, etc. while at same time abiding by NCAA, Conference and (I would think) school rules with consequences of ineligibility for what he did.
But alas, he's their starting quarterback.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

The judge wrote in his order that he was persuaded that not being able to play would have a high probability of doing irreparable psychological damage. Clearly that stemmed from a diagnosis from psychologists on the plaintiffs side. In a trial the defense would have an opportunity to counter. Being a temporary injunction judge went along for now. Judge is concerned about Civil Law and Civil Procedure.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@MaryKayCabot @NickPedone12 Watson abandons the pocket too early, sees half the field, doesn’t anticipate well, is inaccurate.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@Spork142857 @JackDuffin In 27 you won’t have to wait that long. Teams get to designate up to 2 post 6/1 cuts as early as March.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

Reading defensive keys at the LOS, knowing what opponents defenses they play, knowing your receivers. Your receivers have to be able to do some of this. Flacco & Cooper worked beautifully together. Cooper ran such great routes it gave Flacco the ability to anticipate where Cooper was going and get the ball out really early, often before Cooper was out his break. Thing of beauty to me. I don’t think it’s rocket science or anything.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@Rob_Shenanigans To find out he has to play to see if he can improve that. Get coaching in order to critique his play from game video. Classroom is important but experience in applying what you’ve learned needs to happen. It’s a process.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

The belief is obviously that if he complies with the treatment as specified in the obligations he’ll be rehabilitated. Just as obviously the judge heard from Sorsby’s attorneys what would constitute effective treatment for his disorder based on psychological evaluation and psychologist recommendations.

I can tell from your snark you’re not open to the idea that Sorsby can receive effective rehabilitative treatment based on a diagnosis and rehabilitation plan from educated psychology professionals. That’s fine. It’s an opinion you have.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

Some people are interested the facts.

The judge is not ignoring the concerns of the NCAA.

Conditions imposed on Sorsby

The injunction is not unconditional. The court requires him to:

Continue individual counseling with a provider credentialed in gambling disorder treatment.
Participate in Gamblers Anonymous (or similar support group).
Continue treatment for adjustment disorder with anxiety.
Participate in athlete-specific recovery resources and mentorship.
Not participate in game-day activities for the first two Texas Tech games of the 2026 season.
Provide monthly confidential compliance reports to the NCAA through counsel.

If he violates the conditions

The order states that the NCAA may seek emergency relief from the injunction if he fails to comply with the conditions.

Bond requirement

The injunction becomes effective upon posting a $5,000 surety bond with the court clerk.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

Sports Broadcasting Act of 1961 gives the NFL a limited antitrust exemption. Otherwise the NFL in negotiating TV contracts as one entity (teams colluding on fees for broadcast rights) would be in violation of antitrust laws. I hope you can start to see that the government is clearly having a say in how the NFL operates.

Getting back to network broadcast rights, generally speaking fans get to watch games for free on the broadcast networks. There have been lawsuits regarding NFL Sunday Ticket the gist of which is the NFL is violating anti trust laws in such arrangements IE it isn’t covered by the Sports Broadcasting Act. Likewise with streaming broadcast rights. Sunday Ticket lawsuit is on going. Won’t get into the history of the lawsuit but it is interesting.

Obviously technology has changed the broadcast landscape from what it was in 1961. Congress is dealing with that.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@2844Rocco @DavidZavac One projects to lead team to 7 victories, the other 3 victories. Neither gives the team more than a 5% chance to make the playoffs. Would you start the player who projected to lead the team to 7 wins? I mean you posted neither is a good option.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

I have come around to your view that this is a sunk cost issue with Watson. Sanders will be QB 1 for the Browns in 2026.

To answer your other post about cutting Watson now. Apparently the Browns view the salary impact as too large ($127 million+ from overthecap ). Browns have positioned themselves to have Watson be a post 6/1 cut in 2027. After 2026 Watson will have been paid all his money. Remember what and when the player is paid and how it is accounted for on the salary cap are two different things. In 2022-23 Watson was paid ~$92 million and the Browns accounted for only $28 million of it on the salary cap and push $64 million to subsequent years. Watson will be paid $46 million in 2026 and the Browns will account for it as $40 million on the salary pushing another $6 million to the remainder of the unaccounted for pay.

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

@Drownomatic5000 @Rob_Shenanigans Understandable he’s a huge disappointment

[Sports Explored @BaseballExpl]

Browns have pushed the financial impact of his pay to future seasons on the assumption the salary cap will increase thus financial impact is a lower percentage of the cap. Cutting a player more or less negates that strategy and makes the cap impact immediate. Browns have positioned themselves to make him a post 6/1 cut in 2027 spreading the remaining unaccounted for pay (Watson will have been paid all his money after this season). What and when the player is paid and accounting for it are two different things.
Cap impact IMO will be substantial still when he’s cut in 27.
Eagles as an example account for players salaries by make every player’s base pay the league minimum and account for the rest with signing bonuses, restructures, etc operating on the assumption the salary cap will increase over time. Salary cap has risen at a compounded rate of 7+% since the cap was implemented.