Eric Williams @BeaglTech - Twitter Profile

When is everyone going to realize that AI is best suited for small business owners not mega corps? The adoption curve has been backwards since the day this technology came on the scene, which is what I have been saying The mega corps are all pulling back on AI spending...

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Eric Williams

@BeaglTech

about 17 hours ago

@WOLF_Financial Isn't their ad revenue down?

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Eric Williams

@BeaglTech

about 17 hours ago

@rdd147 I believe the $10B private placement at a discount to Berkshire is done.

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Eric Williams

@BeaglTech

about 17 hours ago

Tick...tick...tick...

Bull Theory

@BullTheoryio

about 19 hours ago

🚨Michael Burry says Nvidia has 3 big customers and if they stop buying the whole thing is over. Those 3 customers now account for 64% of Nvidia's entire accounts receivable. In 2020 that number was 33%. It jumped 8 percentage points in a single quarter. Nvidia's revenue is not spread across a broad market. It is almost entirely dependent on a handful of buyers. Burry's argument is about why those buyers may slow down or stop entirely. He calls it the "bezzle." The bezzle is not that AI is fake. It is that a massive portion of current AI spending is coming from companies that are benchmarking models, testing systems, and competing on AI leaderboards. That activity is temporary. It will end. But it is being counted and financed today as if it is permanent growing demand. He says: "They are just flying empty airplanes around." When that benchmarking phase ends those 3 concentrated customers have far less reason to keep ordering chips at the current pace. And because Nvidia's revenue is this concentrated even a partial slowdown from those buyers creates a massive hole in its numbers. Now here is where it gets more alarming. Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle together have $662 billion in off balance sheet AI commitments according to Moody's. Standard accounting rules allow companies to keep this completely hidden from their reported numbers. To fund this infrastructure private equity firms have been buying life insurance companies. But why? A PE firm owns illiquid investments that need financing. It buys an insurance company which collects premiums from ordinary policyholders. That insurance company then invests those premiums into the PE firm's own illiquid assets. The PE firm then sets up a captive reinsurer in Bermuda with lighter capital requirements and pushes the insurance risk onto that offshore balance sheet. Burry's point is that all of this is connected. The same PE firms own the insurance companies funding the AI debt. The same Bermuda structures hold the risk. If any major hyperscaler walks away from a data center commitment everything hits at the same time because every counterparty in the chain is linked to the same underlying assets. The AI boom is being measured during the most artificial phase of the buildout. Nobody knows what real demand looks like when the benchmarking phase is over and $662 billion in hidden commitments needs to be serviced.

BullTheoryio's tweet photo. 🚨Michael Burry says Nvidia has 3 big customers and if they stop buying the whole thing is over.

Those 3 customers now account for 64% of Nvidia's entire accounts receivable.

In 2020 that number was 33%. It jumped 8 percentage points in a single quarter.

Nvidia's revenue is not spread across a broad market. It is almost entirely dependent on a handful of buyers.

Burry's argument is about why those buyers may slow down or stop entirely.

He calls it the "bezzle." The bezzle is not that AI is fake. It is that a massive portion of current AI spending is coming from companies that are benchmarking models, testing systems, and competing on AI leaderboards.

That activity is temporary. It will end. But it is being counted and financed today as if it is permanent growing demand.

He says: "They are just flying empty airplanes around."

When that benchmarking phase ends those 3 concentrated customers have far less reason to keep ordering chips at the current pace.

And because Nvidia's revenue is this concentrated even a partial slowdown from those buyers creates a massive hole in its numbers.

Now here is where it gets more alarming.

Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle together have $662 billion in off balance sheet AI commitments according to Moody's.

Standard accounting rules allow companies to keep this completely hidden from their reported numbers.

To fund this infrastructure private equity firms have been buying life insurance companies.

But why?

A PE firm owns illiquid investments that need financing. It buys an insurance company which collects premiums from ordinary policyholders. That insurance company then invests those premiums into the PE firm's own illiquid assets.

The PE firm then sets up a captive reinsurer in Bermuda with lighter capital requirements and pushes the insurance risk onto that offshore balance sheet.

Burry's point is that all of this is connected. The same PE firms own the insurance companies funding the AI debt. The same Bermuda structures hold the risk.

If any major hyperscaler walks away from a data center commitment everything hits at the same time because every counterparty in the chain is linked to the same underlying assets.

The AI boom is being measured during the most artificial phase of the buildout.

Nobody knows what real demand looks like when the benchmarking phase is over and $662 billion in hidden commitments needs to be serviced.

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Eric Williams

@BeaglTech

about 18 hours ago

@alienmilian @Vivek4real_ They have to sell bitcoin and NVDA to pay for the SpaceX IPO

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BeaglTech retweeted

American Truckers United

@atutruckers

2 days ago

The American Trucking Association Destroyed our industry and the lives of countless American families and American workers! Read their attached guidance to the FMCSA calling for the issuance of CDLs to illegal aliens who had no lawful status in the United States. They opened the door!