I’ve made $490k+ from trading prop firms
WITHOUT having to constantly buy new challenges
Here’s the risk management system that lets me keep and scale prop firm accounts to make $100,000s:
In 1998, Warren Buffett gave a 1-hour masterclass on how to never lose money investing.
His frameworks:
• The 10% ownership test
• Castle & moat thinking
• Circle of competence
• Why smart people go broke
12 timeless lessons from his masterclass:
1. The 10% ownership test
there are 4 different entry techniques I use
1. turtle soup: only used when playing a continuation, HTF + MTF order flow are aligned
2. LTF confirmation: after the reversal on MTF has been confirmed (early continuation play)
3. retracement entry: first retracement into the newly formed dealing range after LTF confirmation
4. double confirmation: trading the reversal phase, anticipating HTF order flow transition to follow (e.g. propulsion blocks)
Over the past 5 years...
Best Buy: EPS -14.9% → Stock -32.5%
Microsoft: EPS +15.3% → Stock +123.9%
“Trying to convince people there is a method – there are reasons for stocks to go up … Stocks are not lottery tickets.”
– Peter Lynch
$BBY $MSFT
"the best business to own is one that over an extended period can employ large amounts of incremental capital at very high rates of return."
– Warren Buffett
$ADBE
Often times, smart money will position themselves ahead of the news. Most times the major news do not set the high or low of the week, they’re usually a continuation of an established HOW/LOW.
Problem is, if you know the direction, and you wait until news, you might miss it (since executions at the news is very risky).
On major weeks like these where we have the first NFP after weeks of govt shutdown, sentiments would’ve been priced in by smart money. While you’re staying out they’re secretly accumulating. Remember the elephant in the pool analogy? When the news eventually comes out, that’s when retail interest starts to spike. Retail buys the fomo. Smart money buys when price looks boring or fearful
Here is an example: The last NFP week before the govt shutdown.
Watch how smart money accumulates shorts ahead of NFP Friday and NFP was just used to drive price to available liquidity for profit taking.
$GOOG closed at $147 on April 4, 2025.
It’s at $294 in overnight trading. That’s a double.
Can we really argue the market is efficient… or are we going to pretend Google doubled its value in 7 months?
this is how a high probability reversal forms
- HTF key level
- sweep of engineered liquidity
- double sweep
- true CIOF
- double confirmation
- session OHLC/OLHC as entry
just because you know how to analyze a chart doesn’t mean you’ll make money trading it
same way knowing how to hold a pencil won’t make you paint like da vinci
and knowing how to pass a ball won’t make you play like ronaldo
the analysis isn’t the edge
the experience over time is the edge
and you only get there by submitting to time and committing to daily improvement, every single day
have a great weekend yall
Fear only exists in the vague, not the specific.
Our brains imagine the vague and make it mean death.
But that's not reality. You probably won't go homeless, starve and die.
Someone might just say something you wouldn't prefer. You'll survive.
Roger Federer only won 54% of all points played in his career
yet he’s one of the greatest players alive, winning over 80% of his matches
even the elite lose nearly half the battles they enter
what separates them is resilience and composure
My thesis has always been that screens trick you into thinking you're productive while sitting. If you make a rule that you can only scroll while standing, your phone addiction will die immediately, violently even, with no other changes necessary.