Ex future trader/ Option flow and SMC.
Exploring markets through data, sentiment and technical analysis.
Trade the charts not narratives| Not financial Advice
If you are curious how option levels affect the price action, I highly recommend you watch this video of live price action of $META on a day that dropped around %4 after an epic run for the whole week.
Watch how price reacted to $755 and $747.5.
$NOW hit the supply area and rejected gracefully.
That’s expected.
The channel is a projection and we will see how the price reacts.
Since it is the first touch, it may go a bit lower to grab some liquidity and come back to test higher prices. There is a potential to continue go lower for deeper pullback.
Then I will draw the support lines but that is the future.
I got paid but kept the half and the rest being robbed to spend on things that I haven’t signed off for, and when I literally want something from NHS (aka our lovely NHS), can’t get the service I want. I don’t get free money, free home, but as a least expecting some value for money
Any future trader in my network?
If you have done futures and tried to play the reversal on $SPY $SPX $QQQ $NQ $ES, you know how hard it is in days like this.
There is no bottom, market keeps going down. The best play was to just play short. Every single bounce, we’re sold off.
It is scary and terrifying.
If you think buying and selling stock plays with your nerves, you’d probably haven’t done futures trading.
I used to do futures and one thing I never forget, how traders were trying to catch the bottom and play long and every time the market continued down. Eventually closed at the bottom. The candle looked awful and everyone thought the end of the world but Monday was a different story
The PUT wall at $250 is the only reason $AMZN is not going lower today.
I have a position in Amazon but I have to admit, I don’t see much support in option market next week unless some positioning happens tonight or Monday morning.
If we loose 250, opens door for 220 pretty quick.
@Mr_Derivatives I checked VIX futures expiry, as I thought they expired yesterday but expiry is next week also. But again today is Opex so expect anything
$NOW hit the supply area and rejected gracefully.
That’s expected.
The channel is a projection and we will see how the price reacts.
Since it is the first touch, it may go a bit lower to grab some liquidity and come back to test higher prices. There is a potential to continue go lower for deeper pullback.
Then I will draw the support lines but that is the future.
Here is the weekly rejection of $MAGS after breakout.
From the technical point of view, this is really bearish.
Still 4 hours left and I don’t want to predict what would happen by the end of the session.
If it close like this candle, this is bearish for the market. Even if it goes back up, sellers may step in.
Hopefully I’m wrong.