@livermore007 In the past,If the margin goes out far enough and biofuel refineries choose to lock in margins further and further ahead ; they collectively/effectively increase the rate of buying today over their otherwise ratable capacity max. Creating an elastic price with inelastic demand
@OilandGibbs At this juncture it would be most impactful to know the delta between the estimates and actual for a two year period 2025-26. So if andys 2-3% in 26 is true and 25 is 0% it’s still a rough impact of 500m rins end Dec 2026?
@SchrodingersAlt@RinnyTheGopher@EPA@epaleezeldin Deisel moves more than the full rvo due to geopolitical uncertainty every week this year
That’s looking at full rvo. If you assume the “certain case” is 100% of rvo then u would have call “certain = no biofuel”. No biofuel content in USA = up ulsd/r on demand > rvo cost
@SchrodingersAlt@RinnyTheGopher@EPA@epaleezeldin Crazy idea that sporadic government decisions would increase fuel price. As far as that goes the rvo is pretty low on the list of things affecting flat price to consumer
@livermore007 But maybe if deisel was $10 the rd would be cheaper? Just a potential scenario as a math statement
They may not be the reason one is high or low
If you’re making a political statement about costs it misses the point of rfs related biofuel
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@TomJPyle@OilandGibbs We can agree the rvo cost is meant to increase biofuel content. If u don’t like that it’s fine, but it obvious it would increase fuel demand if reduced