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NBA POTD #1🏀 (March 14th)
Cooked w/ @PropKitchen 🔥
1. Stephon Castle O21.5 PA💎(-125 FD)
#PorVida vs #HiveMentality
Castle has shown all season that he’s essentially matchup proof. Even against strong defenses, his role and usage keep him heavily involved in the offense.
He’s hitting this line at a 68% rate on the season, showing consistent scoring and play making.
Against top 11 defenses this season, Castle has cleared this line in 18/24 games (75%), showing he consistently produces even in tougher spots.
He’s also been on a great run lately, going over in 7/L10 games, averaging 23.9 PA during that stretch.
We’ve already seen this matchup once as well. Castle faced Charlotte earlier this season and finished with 25 PA, clearing the number comfortably.
Charlotte ranks as the third worst defense against the PNR ball handler, where Castle scores 18% of his points. Castle is over in 6/8 games against bottom ten defenses against PNR with over 30 minutes averaging 26.6 PA.
Some other guards who have absolutely cooked their lines against the Hornets include ⬇️
Nique Clifford: 26 PA (Line: 18.5)
Devin Booker: 40 PA (Line: 31.5)
Collin Gillespie: 28 PA (Line: 18.5)
Tyler Herro: 42 PA (Line: 25.5)
Jrue Holiday: 29 PA (Line: 24.5)
Castle has proven multiple times that when the matchups get tougher, he tends to step up rather than disappear and with his current form and usage, 21.5 PA remains a very reachable number here.
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