Sacksy

Jesus is King! The one who lives in me is greater than he who is in the world!
Stockbroker for institutions

[Jack Prandelli @jackprandelli]

🛢️The world burns 103.5 million barrels of oil every single day.

A few things to notice before you scroll past it:

🔸 Non OECD demand (58.5 mb/d) is now 13 mb/d larger than OECD demand (45.0 mb/d).
The center of gravity of the oil market left the West years ago and it's not coming back.

🔸 Asia/Pacific alone is 39.1 mb/d the largest single block on the map.
The marginal barrel of global demand lives there.

And inside that block sits 1 buyer big enough to move the entire market by itself: China🇨🇳

Shell's CEO just said the market is missing 1.2 billion barrels about 12 days of everything you see in this image,over 10% of global production is offline.

OECD inventories are heading to their lowest level since 2003.

Demand 103.5 mb/d and structurally growing in exactly the regions that can least substitute away from oil.

The chart's single biggest buyer has changed its behavior in a way most desks are misreading as bearish.

Its imports are at 8 year lows.

That's a strategy and it has an expiry date.

My latest edition is a deep dive on exactly this the 1.2 billion missing barrels, what China is actually doing with its imports and its tanks, why that's the only thing standing between $95 and ExxonMobil's $150–160 scenario and the specific signals that will tell you when the buffer breaks.

🔗 Link for the full article is in the comments👇

[Robin Brooks @robin_j_brooks]

Oil bulls make it sound like the SPR is almost out of oil. Two key facts: (i) this emergency release is so far MUCH smaller than in 2022 after Russia's Ukraine invasion; (ii) the SPR is near the lows of 2022, so this is nothing we haven't seen before...
https://t.co/1UKRNhG7KL

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

The performance gap within tech stocks is at historic levels:

The top 20% of US tech stocks have outperformed the bottom 20% by ~120 percentage points over the last 3 months, the 2nd-highest reading in history.

By comparison, this difference peaked at ~135 percentage points during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble.

This spread has QUADRUPLED over the last year, outpacing the surge seen in 1999-2000.

Top 20% of tech stocks have now returned +110% over the last 3 months, nearly matching February 2000 levels.

At the same time, the bottom 20% performers have returned -10%.

The tech rally has almost never been this concentrated.

[Michael A. Arouet @MichaelAArouet]

China didn’t build an economic miracle. It built the world’s biggest debt experiment. And experiments don’t last forever

When growth is fueled by borrowing, every vacant illuminated skyscraper, highway, and ghost city comes with a bill. How long can they keep the illusion alive?

[Peter Mallouk @PeterMallouk]

A reminder as IPO activity heats up:
Even the most successful companies often have painful starts.
After its May 2012 IPO, Facebook (now $META) fell 54% peak-to-trough and finished its first year down 31%.
The broad stock market was up 31% over the same period.

[Sacksy @BrandonSacks7]

@patrickbetdavid @LewisHamilton He also preaches having an F1 race in Africa but has yet to make the trip out to Africa to meet with officials or bring sponsors. Its easy talking from your comfy arm chair in Monaco

[Patrick Bet-David @patrickbetdavid]

Aren’t you worth half a billion dollars?

Who’s stopping @LewisHamilton from giving away his wealth?

Is it fair that you won 105 F1 races + 7 championships?

Don’t you think one is enough?

Why are you so greedy with victories?

Be less competitive. 🤔

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

Container shipping rates are surging amid the Iran War:

The spot rate for a 40-foot container from Asia to the US West Coast jumped +$655, or +20%, over the last week, to ~$3,933, the highest in at least 6 months.

At the same time, the rate from Asia to Northern Europe jumped +$793, or +27%, to ~$3,649.

Since the start of the Iran War, Asia-to-US container rates have surged +109%, and Asia-to-Europe rates are up by more than +50%.

This comes as shipments rerouted around the blocked Strait of Hormuz are causing severe congestion at Southeast Asian transshipment hubs, including Singapore and Malaysia.

On top of this, carriers are charging importers fuel surcharges and shifting costs, while a pickup in demand heading into peak season for booking ocean freight is adding further pressure.

Looking ahead, available shipping capacity is set to shrink further as importers rush to replenish inventories in July and August, which could push rates even higher.

Supply chain pressures are intensifying.

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

The best we can say looking at military conflicts in the past is that with the passage of time the stock market has tended to rise, and the more time that has passed, the more it has risen.

That’s true for 2 reasons: 1) all wars eventually come to an end, and 2) the economy & earnings, even if impaired in the short run, still tend to grow in the long run in spite of these conflicts.

[Sacksy @BrandonSacks7]

who would have guessed the Dems would become Comrades

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

NEW: Bernie Sanders proposes the government take 50% of OpenAI & Anthropic to give the public a “direct ownership stake.”

[Sacksy @BrandonSacks7]

Even if it is a bubble, we wont be alive to see the crash

[Grace Blakeley @graceblakeley]

When people say 'AI isn't a bubble because the technology isn't going away', it just shows they don't know what a bubble is.

The internet didn't go away. Railways didn't go away. Tulips didn't go away.

An asset can be overvalued, even if its useful.

[Visual Capitalist @VisualCap]

Ranked: The Countries Investors Trust Most in 2026 🌍

https://t.co/hGQHymhpQU

[U.S. Mission SA @USEmbassySA]

Given how gracious @SAFA_net was in expressing its gratitude for the speed with which the United States expedited its visas, you have to wonder about these Iranians (@IraninSA ) and their hysterical posts. Either they are incapable of managing the process properly or they are acting in bad faith.

[Michael A. Arouet @MichaelAArouet]

This is wild. Many don’t realize yet that we are in the largest and fastest technological revolution ever

AI needs energy. I wonder what European leftists who closed nuclear power plants think about the future?

Wait, their salaries are paid by „the state“. Do they really care?

[Jack Prandelli @jackprandelli]

🚨A single AI data center now draws 1 gigawatt.

These are the 10 companies building the infrastructure 🏗️

Global data center construction market: $2B+ annually.

Growing at AI speed. 💰

The 10 companies building the AI world:

1️⃣ DPR Construction 🇺🇸 mission-critical data centers

2️⃣ Turner Construction Company 🇺🇸 hyperscale infrastructure

3️⃣ AECOM 🇺🇸 advanced engineering and construction

4️⃣ Jacobs 🇺🇸 large-scale digital infrastructure

5️⃣ Fluor Corporation 🇺🇸 mission-critical facilities worldwide

6️⃣ Holder Construction 🇺🇸 complex hyperscale facilities

7️⃣ Fortis Construction 🇺🇸 high-performance data center builds

8️⃣ Skanska 🇸🇪 sustainable smart infrastructure

9️⃣ Arup 🇬🇧 energy-efficient resilient design

🔟 Mortenson 🇺🇸 next-generation data center projects

The problem they're all building around:

New grid interconnects take 5–7 years.

These facilities need power now.

So hyperscalers are bypassing the grid entirely signing private gas fired power deals directly at the data center site⚡

In my portfolio I already hold the company sitting on the gas.

I already hold the company sitting on the pipe.

My book moves from 12 to 13 positions the name, the deep dive and why it completes the gap.

Full analysis in the comments below. 👇

[Maila Maria Rosa @MailaMariaRosaa]

Worth noting that since Donald Trump & Marco Rubio shut the USAID program down not a single country in Latin America has voted for a Leftist leader again.

Makes you wonder, doesn’t it?

[Gayton McKenzie @GaytonMcK]

We should not blame the @USEmbassySA. They even worked on a Sunday for the first time ever and have been only too helpful, bending over backwards. The fault is entirely on our side, and making statements against the US staffers is not helping the situation for future applications

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

23% chance the FDA approves weight loss peptide Retatrutide this year. https://t.co/PSflP5WlHW

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

The S&P 500 closed out the week hitting 4 straight all-time highs, bringing its year-to-date total up to 22. $SPY

Video: https://t.co/BE95GpQv5f

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

South Korean stocks have more than quadrupled over the last 17 months, trouncing every other country.

The reason?

2 South Korean companies in the AI memory space, both of which now have a market cap above $1 trillion: SK Hynix & Samsung.

Video: https://t.co/0fYyWBUicS