OG Bitcoin miners remember China seasonality.
Now we have Texas 4CP.
@BrightsideBTC explains why Bitcoin hashrate is about to go DOWN in the next month
As of early June, the forward curve is in contango.
The forward market is pricing a near-term difficulty pullback as summer 4CP curtailment season begins.
https://t.co/o06KsDlGbS
Right now, the majority of AI workloads are executed on GPUs, but that could soon be changing with market adoption of AI application specific integrated circuits (ASICs).
@Luxor's Mike San Miguel said that hyperscalers have been utilizing these ASICs for some time, but now neoclouds are making moves to leverage them as well.
"They're just starting to hit the open market now The hyperscalers have been doing versions of these for about a decade.
What's different now is that, as opposed to being bespoke chips for hyperscalers, we're starting to see new manufacturers that are producing these AI ASICs, and as a result these are going to start hitting the neoclouds.
"You're probably going to see them hitting the market in scale in 2027 when they're going to start entering fleets for a lot of these neoclouds."
This raises a a business question for AI companies, however, because unlike GPUs which can be used for inference and training, AI ASICs can only be used for one or the other.
"A GPU can be used for inferencing training. But with ASICs, they're purpose built for one or the other -- they can't do both.
"But that's the advantage. You get a much higher output...what it's probably going to look like in the next 2 to 5 years -- beecause these things take time to roll out -- is a hybrid approach."
Since the 2024 halving, BTC-denominated rolling hedges dominated over the past two years, and USD-denominated hedges stood out over the past year.
Are you hedging your SHA-256 hashes? ๐ง โ๏ธ โ๏ธ
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@luxor@hashrateindex
"We are firmly below the 1 Zetahash level"
@BrightsideBTC explains that the mining meta has shifted from uncertainty around Network Difficulty to uncertainty around Bitcoin price.