Congratulations to our Chancellorโs List and Deanโs List honorees!
๐๐๐๐งโ๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ
๐ MeMe Davis
๐ Lou Johnson
๐ Delanie Grevengoed
๐ Caroline Farthing
#OverTheTop
@CapitolKVD One athlete spoke so roughly 200,000 others were left out. He did a nice job but was a drop in the ocean. No caps on NIL or transfers. The players didn't make this mess and they aren't to blame. Nice when the scapegoat for everyone else's mistakes is ignored.
@WinterSportsLaw This assumes that the flow of 18 year old graduates is the same as it has been in the past. There are/will be 15% fewer by 2029 and even fewer after that cliff. Birth decline from 2008 recession that became a trend.bigger question is which colleges prepared for this?
Universities had 17 years of warning. They responded by doing the opposite of what the math demanded.
In 2008, American birth rates fell off a cliff. The Great Recession made people stop having kids. Those never-born children would be turning 18 right now. The number of U.S. high school graduates peaked at roughly 3.9 million in 2025. By 2029, that number drops 15%. By 2041, it drops by nearly half a million students per year.
Every school in this tweet had access to the same Census data. They all saw the same curve.
Administrative positions at U.S. colleges grew 60% between 1993 and 2009, ten times the rate of tenured faculty growth. Non-instructional spending (student services, administration) grew 29% from 2010 to 2018. Instructional spending grew 17%. Average tuition at public four-year schools went from $3,500 in 2000 to $10,560 in 2023. Yale now has more administrators than undergraduate students. 5,460 administrators for fewer than 5,000 undergrads.
They built the cost structure of a growth company on top of a customer base that was mathematically guaranteed to shrink.
The split in this data tells you everything. Clemson, Syracuse, Duke, UNC, and Indiana are all cutting because the model broke. Alabama, Ole Miss, and the University of Florida are turning away more applicants than ever. Harvard gets five applications for every spot. The middle is where the cliff hits. Elite schools absorb demand. Everyone between elite and community college fights over a shrinking pool. The Fed published a study in December 2024 predicting 80 colleges will close in the next five years. Since 2016, over 100 already have. In 2024 alone, 28 shut down. One per week.
These program cuts and layoffs are a decade late. The birth rate data was sitting in Census spreadsheets the entire time. Everyone in higher education administration saw the enrollment cliff coming. They hired more administrators anyway.
@nickatnocap Look into the 15% decline in the population of 18 year olds. 25-29 there are 576,000 FEWER college kids. This contracture is preparing for this population decrease and the ones that come after. We are about to have too much supply in the college market. Nothing to do w/ sports.
@SMorrison_ Donโt forget that scholarship $ used for room and board/stipend checks is ALSO taxable income. So even without NIL they need to send it quarterly taxes.
@Riley_Gaines_ I believe that they only have 6 months (sometimes a yearโฆmay depend on your state) from the date of service to bill your insurance so if it has been longer, that may be why they donโt have your insurance all the sudden to buy more time/extension in the providers contract.
Vice President JD Vance: โMy advice to young men who are thinking about becoming fathers who are about to have babies is, you're never readyโ
โIt will be shocking. It will be crazy. It will be the most difficult and the most rewarding thing that youโve ever done.โ
"I would do it all again; in fact, I have one regret, it's a slight regret. I wish we had started early and had moreโ
Donโt wait until everything is โPerfectโ to have kids. Children are what perfects life.
@ClayTravis@realDonaldTrump Include players in these conversations. It is insulting to not include one current athlete in this. They get scapegoated for all the problems but donโt get to speak. Just read these comments to see the scapegoating.
Not sure why this meeting is even happening at this point, besides as a media event for the President.
A serious meeting on these issues would include athletes.