Classic paradox: +5% EV coin toss (50% ×1.5 or ×0.6 wealth) but betting full bankroll each time → geometric mean 0.9487 <1. Most players slowly ruin (median →0), rare winners skew the average.Fix: Optimal Kelly = bet 25% of current capital. New multipliers: ×1.125 / ×0.9 → +0.62% geometric growth per bet. Typical wealth now compounds reliably. Size right & positive EV actually works!
https://t.co/pMKLpLujaB
First, a rise in sensationalist rhetoric about how the other political side poses an imminent existential threat - "desperate times"
Next, a rise in rhetoric about violence being justified to stop the existential thread - "desperate measures"
Then, a rise in assassinations.
@SciGuySpace If you 'go there', have justification beyond 'recent setbacks with SpaceX's Starship vehicle indicate that it will still be several years until these newer technologies are ready to go. So it's now probable that China will "beat" NASA back to the Moon.'