Bwater Wave

Bias-checked Elliott Wave counts, using momentum tools (RSI, Stochastics) and other technical indicators. Futures trader.

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@realDhruvSuri Thx, I understand the RSI div of Gold in the 3M chart. RSI is one of my favorite signals too. But the connection with the RSI of the US10Y yield? - i don't get it. Plus, in your image, you are only overlaying the price movement of the US10Y instead of its RSI as you pointed out

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@realDhruvSuri watched the interview. based on your cycle work, when will be the top of this multi-decade bull run?

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@TradingWarz Are you primarily long ES futures long term instead of holding individual stocks? have you tried holding individual stocks instead and then found holding index futures better? I find myself switching between stocks and index futures and cannot decide which

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

I am WARNING you now.
This is the START of the chop until October 2026 timing cycle.

My calculations show that ~62% of traders will LOSE money until October 2026.
Not because markets will be WEAK, but a combination of over-trading and trying to find rotations.
Traders are trying to OUTSMART the markets. Don't.

The best thing to do is STAY in your winners.
Let your winners CONTINUE to uptrend.
You can trim 20% - 30%, but do NOT sell fully.

What to do?
1. Balance with AI infrastructure and financials, healthcare, utilities until October 2026.
2. Mag 7's are showing weakness, make sure you have other parts of the AI trade in your books (power, memory, gpu's, optics, etc.)
3. Biotech and financials gaining strength
4. $MSFT, $PLTR, $NFLX and other software very weak; size appropriately. Can hold, but if you hold, I wouldn't make it my top allocation in my portfolio.

Peak-to-trough drawdown:
• March 2026: ~-6.4%; first real ugly month - VIX spiked hard
• April 2026: ~-9.6%; very choppy recovery - big dip early, then strong rally
• May 2026: ~-4.6%; decent but still had a solid pullback
• June 2026: ~-5.0% (so far); already down ~5% from early June high

I will make sure you SURVIVE until October of 2026.

Until then, stay in uptrending industries. Cut your losers.
It's going to be a very CHOPPY ride.
Expect red, green, red, green, red, green, constantly.

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@JLawStock Why dont you just speak English yourself?

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@JLawStock theoretically, accents dont matter that much. But if you actually show a clip oc her speaking and then ask us in a poll again, you will get different results.

[Sean trades @SRxTrades]

How to take advantage of this bull market

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@realstockfox How much leverage did you use?

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@TedHZhang when it was distributing, you called it vcp. when it was accumulating, you called it distributing.

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@EWFTaha But your analysis is different from group 1 analysis which is calling for a flat on the weekly?

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@Kacper_PK_CH Beautiful. Do you live in Europe also? I live in Spain.

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@Kacper_PK_CH I think it will be a slow grind down with some violent thrusts to both the upside and downside

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@Crowded_Mkt_Rpt because everyone thinks brent will be more expensive than WTI, it does the opposite.

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@cantonmeow Elliott wave rule: wave 3 cannot be the shortest

[L2WTrades @L2WTrades]

There's something that happens between 2:00-5:00 AM every single day that creates millionaires while most people are sleeping…

By the time you wake up, the money has already been made. Here's how to catch it.

The London Judas Swing:

London traders open at 2:00-3:00 AM EST. The Asian session has created a range overnight.

Here's what happens almost every day:

1) London opens and pushes price in one direction (usually toward the nearest liquidity pool)

2) This move takes out Asian session stops and creates FOMO

3) Price sweeps the high or low of the overnight range

4) Price REVERSES and goes the opposite direction for the rest of the day

The "Judas" is the fake move. It looks real. It triggers retail traders. Then it completely reverses.

Why this works:

London needs to accumulate positions for the day. They use the thin liquidity of early morning to push price, grab stops, fill orders, then reverse.

By the time New York opens at 9:30 AM, the real direction is already decided. NY just continues what London started after the Judas.

How I trade it:

2:00 AM: Mark the overnight range (Asian session high/low)

3:00-6:00 AM: Watch for price to aggressively sweep one side of the range

8:00-10:00 AM: Look for reversal signature into a fair value gap

Enter with stop behind the gap, target the opposite side of the overnight range (minimum), or the next significant level beyond.

By 10:00 AM, I'm usually already in profit or stopped out.

Most of my winners are over by 11:00 AM. The market already told you what it wants to do while most US traders were sleeping.

The early bird doesn't get the worm. The early bird BECOMES the worm that catches the late traders who missed the real move.

Knowing how to profile your previous sessions for NY will bring your win-rate by 20%.

(I teach trading methods that made over $3m total. Anyone can join my trading GC for free with the link in my bio)

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@DrStoxx What is meant by p&g=12 ?

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

I haven’t had a serious drawdown since the 1980s—just a few single-digit down years in over three decades. How? A deep respect for risk and unconditional patience.
A few key rules:
1. Always cut losses short - no big losses. no exceptions!
2. Only trade large on the heels of smaller trades working
3. Always trade progressively smaller when
trades aren't working
4. Never average down
5. Never let a good-size gain turn into a loss
6. No forced trades - no style drift

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@ElhoSnej @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt he recently called for a 15% correction

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@ohiain How did you find stocks like this in the first place? Which screener did you use?

[Bwater Wave @BwaterWave]

@dannycheng2022 your EW count is wrong. Today's drop was to correct the rally cycle from Mar 9