CSPTrading.eth

Sports trader, 1.2m lifetime PNL. CBS, Atlantic, ABC, etc

Check out our analytics websites, our discord:

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

My current prediction market tier list, explanations in reply

[The New York Times @nytimes]

Three women who dated Graham Platner, the Democratic candidate for Senate in Maine, told The New York Times they found his actions intimidating and disturbing, describing volatile relationships. https://t.co/ClaeKxVUEs

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@Dani_Lever @Kalshi @Meta You disgust me

[Lance Uppercut @LanceupperPI]

Computer, enhance

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

those fake scam prices are shown by default, so someone loading that game would think that the fair line is 9.5 at +105 when thats a total fuckin scam

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

Its really insane how much of a lazy cash grab the trad sport books 'prediction markets' are. Like they put almost no effort into it.

The MLB page FD Predicts is barren, illiquid, minimal detail. Meanwhile their sportsbook app has actual effort and useful details shown

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@MickBransfield its funny that that use case is almost certainly completly illegal, you cant bet against the outcome of a game you can affect the outcome of, he could pull players etc

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@Maxkgs8 @jackikotkiewicz @Kalshi @POTUS @WhiteHouse youd be hard pressed to find a terrorist organization with less morals then the leadership team of Kalshi

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@PollTracker2024 BASED

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@tracewoodgrains i especially like the part where he was saying it was ridiculous that the cops thought he was a flight risk and asking for him to be held without bail then going to mexico as soon as he got a judge to let him post bail

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@TheNotoriousSKi im paying out knuckle sandwiches, got a couple for you right now

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@Hodlvault they can, will, and do provide significant updates in the face of lack of clarity. You dont like it dont trade rule cuck markets. Bet on stupid markets win stupid prizes

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

I do feel bad for people who bought pre clarificaiton, but people buying .4 cent shares after the clarification deserve to lose every penny

[tism @errolcart]

After today and watching events past few days, I've lost absolutely all trust in @Polymarket.

Will be moving my weather bot and money out of the platform and my trading as well.

"Microstrategy sells any bitcoin by May 31st" has just resolved to "NO".

What I saw today is amongst a handful of the most blatant alleged frauds I've seen from a platform this big to its users in this space.

Would be genuinely surprised if somehow this doesn't end up with much worse consequences for them.

As things are standing, I have no option but to conclude this is the start of their downfall and that another platform will take it's place. I'll /c this later.

Put simply but accurately: they changed the contract (buying shares with a set of conditions/rules) AFTER the agreement (purchase) and AFTER the date chosen had already passed (changed on june 1st, date was may 31st).

Imagine buying a lottery ticket, winning, and when you go to claim they tell you they've decided to change the numbers.

Disgusting and shameless are soft words for this.

Some, as myself, would also say illegal, but that's still to be proven in front of a judge.

It simply makes 0 sense to attempt any type of predictions in Polymarket, as the results of these prediction markets are not grounded in real events nor reliable sources, no matter how much they SAY they are (@arkham had recorded the sale on may 27th I believe), but on what the UMA holders find the most convenient at the time.

Just reading that paragraph makes me even more disgusted.

I can attempt to predict real life events, but I can't predict on what side of the bed the biggest UMA whale wakes up today.

Might as well change every question to "Will UMA holders resolve/decide to...."

After almost a decade of legal training, it's simply impossible for me to think this doesn't end in 1 or more lawsuits, and/or a class action.

There's simply too much evidence and too much money lost.

Of course it's not the first time something similar happens, but it is hands down the biggest and worst one.

Many lost it all.

A platform with a system that can't reflect the truth of events is unfit to be a prediction market.

If a blockchain like Solana wasn't capable of reflecting the truth of its transactions, it wouldn't exist.

Polymarket, in its current state, CAN NOT provide the service they claim they can provide.

The fact $UMA holders (-98% in price btw) coincide with truth is just a matter of intersection of incentives. When they're misaligned (as it happened today), the truth changes, and real life events don't matter anymore.

This is true I believe for any and all prediction markets in polymarket.

What was the most alarming was the changing of the rule on june 1st. Changed from "occurred" (sale) to "announced".

Becuase it leads me to believe there's a high chance it's not only UMA whales in this fiasco, but polymarket changing the frame (mid bet!!!) to cater them as well.

I'm not leaving my money in the hands of a handful of UMA whales 1 minute more. I really wish it wasn't this way.

I didn't really lose anything, unlike others.

I'm just mostly disappointed, and I must embarrasingly admit a little heartbroken.

Seems like just another rigged game.

It would seem as if reality didn't matter in polymarket, only how much a handful of big players stand to gain.

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@adamagb Fun idea but don't really get how that's hedging. Like if the Knicks don't win they lose the bet and don't get any benefit

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@TheNotoriousSKi Aenews will be kidnapped at manifest and that money will be returned

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@TheNotoriousSKi it was an edge case, there was uncertainty, both sides took a risk, and this time the No side won

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@TheNotoriousSKi rightful winners got paid, people who bought .4 cent shares hoping theyd get to scam poly into paying lost

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

@IsaacKing314 @akrolsmir @_smitop Theyre not helping their case by caving to their sponsors

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

Today I woke up to find I had been banned from attending manifest. My crime? Standing up to the facist nazi fucks over at Kalshi for their lies, deceit, and robbery of their users on their platform.

Im forced to assume this is pressured the conference where they are a sponsor into banning me. Ive got news for you Kalshi, you can try as hard as you like, but you cannot silence me or anyone else, all you achieve is making me madder

[CSPTrading.eth @CSP_Trading]

I remember there was some market about if Santos was going to make an Onlyfans. He had said he would, the market spiked, and then he didnt.

Very similar behavior to the SOTU market rig, almost makes me wonder if he was pulling the same trick there

[George Santos @Georgesantos]

The clown at NPR @BobbyAllyn is now making things up…

1. Saying I threatened him.
I’ve interacted with hundreds of reporters in my life… not once was I ever threatening or aggressive… sassy? Sure but aggressive and threatening? NEVER!

2. He’s mad that I didn’t give him permission to record me because I live in a 2 party state and he’s threatening to disclose my location in efforts to retaliate.

3. He’s made up investigations out of thin air., made up loss amounts and fabricated allegations about intent.

4. He’s now demanding I disclose the names of my lawyers “or else” (only God knows what that means.

5. Now he’s belligerently
Texting me repeatedly after I’ve asked him to stop messaging me and harassing me at 12:01AM.