Bitcoin has pierced the 200 Week Moving Average 6 times since 2016.
1 of those was in 2018.
1 of those was in 2020.
3 of those were in 2022-2023.
1 of those times is today.
You said you'd buy the dip.
The world is giving it to you on a silver platter:
Bitcoin is a hedge against uncertainty, and the market is very certain about one thing: AI will absorb the next decade of capital, earnings growth, power demand, semiconductor demand, data-center buildout, and productivity upside. BTC crash has nothing to do with Saylor or Iran.
Bitcoin is at a historically optimal level to go out the risk curve to the maximal degree.
Strive ($ASST) has 62% amplification, an 18-month dividend reserve on $SATA, and zero encumbered $BTC.
We could literally do nothing & not have to sell a single Bitcoin until the end of 2027.
Have a great day and be greedy when others are fearful.
Capital markets are funding the AI buildout at historic scale: ~$400B over 6 months. Bitcoin ETFs have seen ~$4B of outflows since May 14, pressuring $BTC. This is a capital rotation, not a Bitcoin impairment. Volatility creates opportunity.
Bitcoin is only 6.9% above the 200WMA, which puts it in the bottom 11.5% of all historical 200WMA valuation readings.
Screening the 10th to 15th percentile prices versus the 200WMA... these are the forward median returns.
6 months: +42%
12 months: +125.9%
18 months: +205.3%
24 months: +429.8%
Implied BTC Price from $65,969 based on these median returns:
6 months: $93,650
12 months: $149,034
18 months: $201,379
24 months: $349,494
@zoomerparent@mario4thenorth if someone making 80k a year was able to invest the money the contribute to cpp themselves they could literally make an extra million dollars over a working lifetime
@zoomerparent@mario4thenorth supporting cpp is like paying a mechanic 1000$ an hour and he fucks up your oil change, and on top of that you still think hes a good mechanic
@arthur_tpstar@mario4thenorth someone making an average salary loses well over half a million dollars over a working lifetime by being forced to contribute to cpp LOL
The Canada Pension Plan (CPP) has over 2,000 employees.
Top 5 managers, make more than $5 million per year.
They have never beaten the market.
Nevada has 1 guy. Who invests in ETFs.
Does nothing. All day.
And he outperforms the CPP.
Consistently.
For further context, if CPP invested in QQQ, for the last 10 years, instead of $800 billion in assets, we would have $2.4 Trillion.
VOO would put it at $1.6 trillion.
Lesson: The government will never outperform the market.
So don’t think the Sovereign Debt Fund will be any different.