I hear the GPT family are having a reunion to celebrate a couple of 6th birthdays soon and you're all invited. Though I do hope none of you grew too attached to little Terra. Tragic
Steep rise in the number of people at OpenAI and Anthropic having existential crises these past few weeks.
From conversations with people at and around both labs, it's increasingly clear to me that AGI has essentially arrived, just not publicly. We're likely months, not years, from these models being widely available. And that puts us at a fork in the road, with the point of no return not far past it.
The scramble to act we've seen in the last or week or so is warranted imo. But all of this is super hard to navigate, and the obvious dilemma is that if the U.S. slows its frontier work, it cedes ground to China. Unless Beijing agrees to do the same... which I doubt happens anytime soon.
Time is short - and the decisions made over the next twelve months will be studied for decades to come.