Decades of research (Duckworth's West Point study, the Dunedin Study) keep finding the same thing:
How a kid handles adversity at 8-10 predicts their adult outcomes better than IQ.
The lever isn't test scores — it's resilience. That's the game most parents aren't playing.
Decades of research (Duckworth's West Point study, the Dunedin Study) find the same thing:
How a kid handles adversity at 8-10 predicts their adult outcomes better than their IQ.
The lever isn't test scores — it's resilience. That's the actual game most parents aren't playing.
My 8-year-old told me he was "just bad at things" after failing a spelling test.
I froze. Said nothing useful.
He's not getting the "how to handle failure" lesson anywhere else. Not school. Not YouTube. The work of teaching him what failure actually is — and isn't — is on me.
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This is a great example of why we need as much AI progress right now as humanly possible. There’s simply no reason every kid in the world shouldn’t have access to an AI tutor.
The “everything sucks” doomerism of the far left and right is wrong. Worse, it needlessly radicalizes people. Today is better than yesterday and tomorrow is going to be even better. So here’s a list of 50 areas where we're seeing progress. 1/
I have an idea how to compete with AirBNB
Hear me out…
We buy a large building, split it into like 400 rooms… each room has its own bathroom, maybe a fridge.
No kitchen because who cooks on vacation anyway?
Rent each room by the night. Someone comes in the morning and cleans it for you, makes the bed and it’s INCLUDED in the price
No hidden cleaning fees, booking fees, no bad ratings from mom and pop operators
We’ll call it HAAS (housing as a service)
Who’s in?
This is the scariest chart I’ve ever made. This is what it looks like when a country is heading toward a financial precipice.
Each color shows $1T getting added to the national debt.
Not that long ago, it took six years to add a bar.
We’re now adding one every 90-120 days.
The explosion of debt has been the only bipartisan phenomenon of my lifetime. For us conservatives, we can’t blame it on just Biden and Obama. For you Democrats, you can’t put this on just Trump. It’s both parties, all presidents, and every Congress.
The acceleration started under George W. Bush. Bush went into 2002 with less than $6T of debt. Thanks to GWOT military spending and tax cuts we probably couldn’t afford, $6T grew to $7T in 23 months, $8T in another 21 months, and $9T in 23 months.
Then the Great Recession hit. We added the next trillion in 13 months, crossing $10T for the first time in American history. And we haven’t looked back since.
During the second Obama term, with spending reined in by the Tea Party movement, annual deficits reduced to less than $1T, and growth in the debt slowed down. At the end of Obama’s tenure, it took nearly 20 months to go from $19T to $20T.
That would be the last time it took a full year to add a trillion dollars to the debt.
In 2017, a real-estate developer got inaugurated as president. And, if there’s one thing we all know—and love!—about real-estate investors, it’s that they understand the value of leverage.
Under Trump, even as the economy surged, deficits grew, and national debt once again spiraled. We ended 2019 with a little over $24T in debt.
Then Covid hit, along with consumer stimulus, PPP loans, massive government spending, and reduced tax receipts. Over just two months in 2020—April and May—we added $2T to the national debt. Ever since, we’ve been adding $1T every 160 or so days.
With Biden in the White House and a narrowly divided Congress, we’re now adding $1T to the debt every three to four months. It took just 91 days to go from $32T to $33T. 104 days to get to $34T.
And it’s not slowing down. Biden has another 300+ days in office this term. When he or Trump enters their second respective term in office in 2025, the debt will likely be above $37T.
Where does it end? As deficits continue to pile up and borrowing costs remain relatively high compared to where they were over the previous 20 years, how is any of this sustainable?
woah sora is 🤯
“indie founder of a vr startup, white curtain background, waving hands, bashing competition without valid facts, vertical video shot on an android phone from 2017”
You don’t have to play Capitalism® your whole life but it’s definitely worth a few years, really deep game, good combo of strategy and luck and skill. Plus the points you get are redeemable for cool prizes.
@NumbersMean@Jason You are listing those who logically would not participate (though disability is a gray area). It is those who are unwilling, and those who give up, that are an important and missed consideration
@Jason Unemployment rate without considering labor participation rate is not a reliable metric for indicating the health of an economy. I do wish a combined metric existed. Learn more here: https://t.co/gD1zhR00BE
What are your thoughts on it being so low?
Chris
The dark art of designing an LLMs system prompt in a backend architecture will never not be funny. Senior engineers with decades of experience tweaking ways of saying “you are a helpful assistant” until the answers come back correctly is wild.