Chvdlord

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@RealAlbanianPat Like Poland, Romania, Slovakia, etc. Not sure how much data is published on these but they have all had interesting presidential elections lately.
Polish senate would be cool too since they use FPTP which is the most fun to model imo.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@vertex_oi @IrishPatri0t2 If SPD falls below 5% then AFD gets 50 seats even if their vote share remains the same.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@ChristianHeiens Bernie won Nevada in 2020, El-Sayed is leading in Michigan, and Platner easily won in Maine so I could see something similar happening in NH. Half of these states are in play for DSA types, definitely enough to give any progressive candidate decent momentum into super Tuesday.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@FtsyParliament Would be really cool if you eventually expanded it to a nationwide level, like TPP for the UK, where there are elections in other ridings as well and you have the opportunity the advance through party hierarchies.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@_JeanLannes Suriname and Guyana as well

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@wokeAbuGhraib @TrueSlazac Espriella outperformed his highest recent poll by 13% and recieved over double of his overall polling average.

The combined right wing vote is well over 50% so the betting odds are correct and Espriella will most likely win the runoff comfortably.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@maaz_shaikh234 @RealAlbanianPat Someone else already made one

Global Election Simulator https://t.co/RBZwPxGtwC

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@RealAlbanianPat Russia would actually be interesting to model because they do have MMP iirc.

Idk if there's any good public data on their election though.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@cdnpolling Port Moody Coquitlam- PPC

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@RealAlbanianPat Italy would be best, they're the only one with a FPTP element, and @Nowcast_EU already has mapped simulators for Germany and Spain.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@RealAlbanianPat Australia

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@ElxMapping No open primary?

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@AF_Insight 12R-2D, holds up comfortably under 2022 and 2020 Senate Margins as well.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@EFCevieRapedMe @mussyisannoying @c0ntrabane SAT to IQ conversion is completely meaningless. Obviously there is a correlation but the direct conversions are just bs.
Also 1260 is a mediocre score, especially for someone with 9 APs, anyone who makes an effort should be scoring higher.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@SwagMasterOffi1 @MainstreamViews He's currently second

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@pamps_alone @NapoleonBonabot There was one in Thailand today that went similarly.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@shaulamoder @IrishPatri0t The analysis part was added after the poll was completed. The actual wording of the question was: "Based on the information you have now, would you be more likely to support Byron Donalds or James Fishback in the upcoming election?"

[Ethel Braithwaite @Ethelbrait1941]

I am being harrassed by homosexuals and foreigners.

[Chvdlord @Chvdlord]

@MountainGenera @StreamviDL