Clean Slate Sports Picks. Data driven picks across MLB, NFL, college football, and NBA.
If you’re new here: every pick gets logged publicly, win or lose, at the actual units risked. No deleting bad calls. No quietly resetting the record when a stretch goes cold. No “guaranteed winner” nonsense.
Public record is already live and updating daily.
What you’ll see from here is the same thing, every day, in the open.
Free pick posted daily. Full slate for subscribers.
https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1
FREE PICK 8/31: White Sox Moneyline (+110)
An independent model actually picks Chicago to win this one outright, despite them being the underdog against Houston. Real divergence, not just a favorite being overpriced.
Full slate + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB #MLBPicks
Sunday 8/30 ✅: Phillies Moneyline (-170) delivered.
Wheeler’s edge over Kikuchi held up exactly as read, Philadelphia won 5-2.
Slate went 1-1, +0.75 units. Mets came up short.
Record now 39-34, +4.96 units.
Full breakdown + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB #MLBPicks
FREE PICK 8/30: Phillies Moneyline (-170)
Wheeler is a legitimate ace, 10-5 with a 3.40 ERA. Kikuchi’s been rocked, 0-4 with a 6.25 ERA. Nearly a 3 run gap.
Full slate + free daily pick: https://t.co/jqQzyMu4Ry #MLB#MLBPicks
Delivered. Saturday 8/29 ✅: 3-1, +2.90 units.
Cubs Moneyline (-200) cashed big, 17-5.
Our first ever public college football day: Memphis won outright, New Mexico State’s model backed cover hit almost exactly as projected.
Only miss was the Memphis/UNLV total.
Record now 38-33, +4.21 units.
Full breakdown + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB #CFB
Today’s slate coming up shortly.
FREE PICK 8/29: Cubs Moneyline (-200)
A detailed model puts Chicago’s win probability at 75.8%, but the price only implies about 64.9%. That’s an 11 point gap.
Also, COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS HERE 🏈 First ever NCAAF slate is in premium today alongside MLB.
Full slate + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB #CFB
Friday 8/28 ❌: 0-3, -4.00 units. Rough one, three real plays, zero cashes.
Angels fell 3-5. Red Sox lost a tight one 0-1. Mariners got blown out 1-8.
Record now 35-32, +1.31 units.
But forget tonight for a second, COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS BACK TOMORROW 🏈 First real slate of the season. Same process, same discipline, new sport. Let’s go.
Full breakdown + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB #CFB
FREE PICK 8/28: Angels Moneyline (+120)
Detmers has a 3.62 ERA. Painter is at a rough 6.04. That’s a 2.4 run gap, and Philly’s still favored. Plus money on the far better arm.
Full slate + free daily pick: https://t.co/jqQzyMu4Ry #MLB#MLBPicks
Thursday 8/27 ❌: 2-2, -2.40 units.
Free pick (Misiorowski O8.5 Ks) didn’t cash, only 6 Ks in 6 innings even though he got the win.
Brewers and the Dodgers/Braves under both hit clean. Rough day on our two biggest stakes though.
Record now 35-29, +5.31 units.
Full breakdown + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB #MLBPicks
FREE PICK 8/27: Jacob Misiorowski (Brewers)
Over 8.5 Ks (-105)
His career numbers are absurd, 2.52 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, roughly 13 Ks per 9 innings. Facing a Mets lineup that’s been well below average all year. One of the most one sided matchups we’ve found in weeks.
Full slate + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB #MLBPicks
Wednesday 8/26 ✅: Guardians Moneyline (-140) delivered.
Cantillo’s edge over Rodriguez’s brutal home splits held up exactly as read, Cleveland won 4-3.
Full slate went 1-2, -0.30 units. Red Sox and Royals both came up short.
Record now 33-27, +7.71 units.
Full breakdown + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB
Found a mismatch. 👀 Guardians Moneyline (-140) is today’s free pick.
Cantillo’s dealing right now, 2.18 ERA his last 5 starts. Rodriguez is getting torched at home, ERA north of 9.00 in 8 starts there. Cleveland’s bats are hot too. Everything’s pointing the same way here.
Full slate + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB
@franklincovers@BardownVision Respectfully, different read here. Had Pittsburgh on this one, Skenes’ rough recent form was already priced into our number rather than being a reason to fade him further. Cashed.
@ActionNetworkHQ Had Pittsburgh on this exact spot last night too, the model disagreed with Skenes’ raw ERA and favored the Pirates anyway. Cashed 1-0 along with Diamondbacks +105 for the sweep. 🧹🧹
Good to see the sharp money lining up with Pittsburgh again tonight.
We do it again. Tuesday 8/25 ✅: 2-0, +2.05 units.
Diamondbacks cashed 5-4. Pirates cashed 1-0, the model vs market divergence we flagged this morning played out exactly right.
Second sweep in four days. 🧹🧹
Record now 32-25, +8.01 units.
Full breakdown + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB
FREE PICK 8/25: Diamondbacks Moneyline (-105)
An independent model gives Arizona a real edge here, 54.1% to win. Fairly priced at
essentially even money.
Full slate + free daily pick: https://t.co/jqQzyMu4Ry #MLB
Right on the number. Monday 8/24 ✅: 2-1, +2.00 units.
Cade Cavalli Over 6.5 Ks cashed, exactly 7 punchouts through 6 innings. Washington blew the game open too, 13-3.
Marlins was the one miss on the day.
Record now 30-25, +5.96 units.
Full breakdown + free daily pick: https://t.co/tMv6sHHYU1 #MLB
@Allinonecappers Free plays are nice, but that’s not actually the trust issue people are describing here. It’s whether the losses get shown at the same volume as the wins. Free or paid doesn’t matter if the record’s curated either way. 🤷♂️
@picks4dayzzz “Easiest bet of the day” and zero reasoning why. No pitcher form, no gap, no number that explains the price. That’s the difference between a pick and a hunch with better marketing.
FREE PICK 8/24: Cade Cavalli (Nationals) Over 6.5 Ks (-110)
10.2 K/9 on the season, and his last three starts were 11, 10, and 8 strikeouts. Colorado’s lineup is genuinely strikeout prone too.
Full slate + free daily pick: https://t.co/jqQzyMu4Ry #MLB
@Athletics@RedHawkCasino Had this one on the board this morning, Javier’s ERA as a starter was sitting at 8.23 coming in, the market just hadn’t caught up to it yet. Yeehaw indeed!