Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT

We provide Signals,Analysis and News about the cryptoworld! 🚀

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

🚨 MONEY MAY BE ROTATING, NOT DISAPPEARING.

Tech stocks have now fallen in 6 of the past 7 trading sessions, with the Nasdaq 100 down more than 3% over the past week.

At the same time:

🥇 Gold +6%
₿ Bitcoin +24%

That divergence is getting harder to ignore.

The interesting part is that this isn't simply a risk off move.

Bitcoin and gold are both gaining while technology stocks are losing momentum, suggesting that investors may be looking for alternative ways to position around liquidity, fiscal policy and inflation expectations.

The Treasury buyback program adds another layer to the story.

So I'm watching three markets together:

Nasdaq 100
Bitcoin
Gold

If this divergence continues, the bigger story may not be about one asset outperforming another.

It could be about where capital is choosing to go next. 👀

Is this a temporary rotation, or the beginning of a bigger shift in market leadership?

Follow me for more macro, Bitcoin and U.S. market analysis.

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@Kalshi_Finance That reversal is worth watching. When futures can’t hold early gains, it usually tells us the market is becoming more sensitive to yields, valuation and macro risk. The cash session will be more important

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@GodsBurnt Missing the perfect entry isn’t the problem. Poor position sizing is. There’s a big difference between being bullish and taking unnecessary risk

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@unusual_whales Monday could be a major market-moving event. I’ll be watching the details closely, especially the potential impact on oil, the dollar, Treasury yields and global risk appetite

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@BullTheoryio This is much bigger than another round of sanctions. If the U.S. seriously targets Iran’s financial lifelines, the impact could extend to energy markets, trade flows and global liquidity

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@Mr_Derivatives This is the level I’m watching closely. If the 10Y yield pushes toward 5% and stays there, valuation pressure on equities could increase significantly. The key is whether earnings growth can offset higher discount rates.

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

XRP on track for biggest weekly gain in 21 months as Treasury buyback spurs 'curve control' hopes
Payments-focused cryptocurrency XRP is on track for its best weekly performance since November 2024 after a U.S. Treasury announcement fueled market speculation that policymakers could ultimately resort to yield curve control (YCC), an aggressive monetary-easing tool.

XRP has surged 51% to $1.50 since Monday, beating its peers, bitcoin
BTC
$77,307.92
, ether
ETH
$2,446.71
, and Solana (SOL), by a big margin, according to data from CoinDesk. BTC and ETH have gained 22% and 30%, respectively, while SOL has rallied 28%.

XRP's outperformance follows a period of lackluster price action, during which the cryptocurrency consistently lagged the broader market's bounce. It has been characterized by a massive unwinding of short, or bearish, bets in futures. According to the data source Coinglass, shorts worth nearly $2 billion have been liquidated this week.

The surge in XRP and other tokens began early this week after the U.S. Treasury said that, from Sept. 9 to Nov. 4, it will buy back $4 billion or more of its own long-duration (10- to 30-year) bonds on multiple occasions, double the previous $2 billion cap.
While this is more of a liquidity-management operation in the world's largest bond market, which underpins global finance, the timing of the announcement suggests that it is aimed at capping the rise in yields, as CoinDesk explained on Friday.

Yields on longer-duration bonds hit their highest levels since 2007 early this week, posing a problem for burgeoning fiscal debt and disincentivizing risk-taking in financial markets.

As such, the announcement triggered hopes of yield curve control and sent risk assets higher. Yield curve control is a full-blown stimulus measure whereby a central bank establishes a ceiling for longer-duration bond yields – say, the 10-year – and commits to buying as many bonds as needed to keep the ceiling intact.

Both the Bank of Japan and the U.S. have pursued it in the past, supporting risk-taking in financial markets.

Still, XRP's latest price rise marks just a 20% recovery of the brutal bear-market slide from the record high of $3.65 in July last year to just under $1 a week ago. In other words, there is still plenty of ground to cover before a proper bullish trend appears to be established.
#XRP

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

🚨Crypto advocates join in suing Illinois over digital asset tax
Illinois just opened another front in the U.S. crypto regulation battle.

Two major crypto industry groups have now sued Illinois over its new 0.2% crypto tax, arguing that the law unfairly targets digital asset businesses and conflicts with existing federal protections.

What interests me isn't just the lawsuit itself.

It's the bigger question:

How will U.S. states tax crypto as digital assets become more integrated into the financial system?

If one state can impose a transaction or custody tax specifically on crypto businesses, other states could potentially follow with very different approaches.

That creates another layer of uncertainty for exchanges, custodians, stablecoin companies and other crypto infrastructure providers.

At the same time, legal challenges could ultimately push the industry toward clearer and more consistent rules.

Will Illinois' crypto tax become a model for other states, or a regulatory experiment that gets overturned? 👀

I’ll be watching this closely.

Follow me for more crypto regulation, market trends and institutional adoption analysis

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@KobeissiLetter Stocks and crypto moving higher together is a positive signal for risk appetite. I’m watching yields and liquidity next to see if the move can sustain itself. 📊

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@WhaleEverything Stay patient. The biggest moves usually happen when conviction meets improving liquidity and real demand. This setup is getting interesting. 🚀

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@blknoiz06 This cycle feels fundamentally different. When retail adoption, institutional infrastructure and regulatory momentum start moving in the same direction, the upside potential becomes much harder to ignore

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@cryptofergani I’m bullish on the long-term trend, but the biggest moves usually come when strong fundamentals and improving liquidity align. That’s what I’m watching now.

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@CryptoMichNL ETH has clearly shifted momentum. I’d rather see consolidation above the breakout zone than chase the move. Holding $2,300 would keep the bullish structure intact.

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@cryptorover History rhymes, but it doesn’t repeat perfectly. If ETH can hold its breakout and demand keeps building, $5K becomes an interesting target to watch

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@WatcherGuru Growth can help, but $40T changes the equation. I’m watching three things: GDP growth, Treasury yields and the deficit. The bond market may have the final say. 📈

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@BitcoinArchive The interesting part isn’t just the pullback—it’s who is buying it. If institutional demand keeps absorbing dips, Bitcoin could be entering a much stronger phase of the cycle. 👀

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

season will have to wait
ENA is rallying on a $1 billion FalconX deal, while HYPE tests its record, though flat dominance shows this is no broad alt season.

Altcoins are outpacing bitcoin by a widening margin on Friday afternoon as the rally that began with Wednesday's Treasury bond buyback announcement extends into a third day.

Ethena’s ENA is the standout, climbing 26.4% since midnight UTC to $0.1475, taking its 24-hour gain to 48.3% and its weekly move to 77.2%. The trigger is a $1 billion secured warehouse facility with FalconX announced Wednesday, which deploys the assets backing its USDe synthetic dollar into overcollateralized institutional credit rather than the crypto basis trade.

The move comes after ENA had spent months grinding sideways between $0.06 and $0.10 after collapsing from above $0.80, leaving little overhead supply once buyers returned. Volume has reached $1.04 billion, close to three-quarters of the token's market cap and a 319% rise in volume from the previous 24-hour period.
This move is interesting, but I’m not calling a broad alt season yet. I’m watching whether liquidity continues rotating into other altcoins or remains concentrated in a few names.

Alt season or just selective momentum? 👀

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

🚨 CRYPTO MOMENTUM IS BACK

Bitcoin is back above $72K, while the broader crypto market is moving sharply higher following the White House crypto meeting.

BTC +12%
ETH +19%
XRP +15%
SOL +13%
HYPE +25%

What matters isn't just the size of today's move.

The bigger signal is the shift in U.S. regulatory sentiment.

After months of uncertainty, a more crypto friendly tone from Washington could be giving traders a reason to increase risk again.

But I’m not chasing the move yet.

The key question now is whether this momentum is supported by spot demand and sustained liquidity, or whether leverage is simply amplifying the rally.

Is this the beginning of a broader crypto trend reversal, or just another sharp momentum move?

I’m watching BTC, ETH, Open Interest and liquidations closely.

Follow for more crypto market signals and daily analysis.

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@Mr_Derivatives EN: 4.7% in seven sessions—bullish target or too aggressive? I’m more interested in what happens to breadth and volume along the way. 👀📊

[Dr. Nathaniel Crawford CFA, CMT @CrawfordM2a]

@KobeissiLetter A 9% drop in Walmart is more than a single-stock story. If consumer spending is genuinely slowing, this could be an important signal for the broader U.S. economy.