CrestoXBT

Crypto / Forex | Bias & execution
@alienops

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$ETHBTC - Update

Second time in 10 years price has reached this line. Last time it got rejected and ETH bled against BTC for four years.

Still not broken. Monthly close decides it, twelve days left.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$ETHBTC - Update

The 10 year trend on the monthly still hasn’t broken. The market’s only offering you hope, and that hope costs you in losses. You’ll understand this the hard way when the day comes.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$KAS - Scalp Long Trade

E: 0.03891
Sl: 0.038
Tp: 0.0425

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$KAS
The liquidity left behind after the last bull cycle has finally been taken.

A two and a half year downtrend is now broken, and nearly a full year of accumulation looks close to ending.

From here, I expect the next expansion to eventually push price back above $0.20.

I’ll put it simply. I think these are the cheapest prices you’re going to get.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

If you buy $100 worth of $ICP today, it will be worth more than $10,000 six months from now.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$ICP
Been trending down since the start of 2026. I think that’s about to change.

$10 is my first target, but I don’t see it as the destination. More like the start of what comes next.

I’ll put it this way. I think this is as cheap as ICP gets. Once it leaves these prices behind, I don’t expect to see them again.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

@MatteoVasa3998 The process is going to be exhausting.

You’ll probably think about selling before we’re even close to the top.

Hope you manage that part of the cycle well.

Good luck, bro.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

If you buy $100 worth of $ICP today, it will be worth more than $10,000 six months from now.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

@PatBonee_ That’s exactly what I was trying to say earlier.

Markets often start moving when FOMO is at its highest.

I’m not here to sell empty promises or pump hope. I’m just talking about what I think is coming.

Hope you don’t end up regretting it.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

That’s where the problem starts.

You have to look at it from different angles and from different people’s perspectives. Very few people can buy the exact bottom and sell the exact top. Sometimes that comes from discipline and a real strategy. Sometimes it’s just luck.

Without dragging this out, I think this cycle is very different from the previous ones. And as your balance grows, the fear of losing it grows with it.

So while $ICP may still be nowhere near its actual top, you’ll probably start selling. Maybe in parts, maybe the whole position.

That’s exactly what most people will do.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$AVAX
Majors are moving slower than most alts right now.

I don’t see that as weakness.

They may take longer to get going, but I expect the move to be bigger, more sustainable and hold its value much better over the long run.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$CRV
I’m pretty confident we won’t see below $0.30 again.
From here, every pullback after a move higher is a potential buy for me.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

@PatBonee_ Trust me, it’ll take less than six months.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$ICP
Been trending down since the start of 2026. I think that’s about to change.

$10 is my first target, but I don’t see it as the destination. More like the start of what comes next.

I’ll put it this way. I think this is as cheap as ICP gets. Once it leaves these prices behind, I don’t expect to see them again.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

@qaqasli112990 I’ll share a separate post on this, but the short version is simple.

The multi year downtrend, especially the one that has defined alts since 2024, is close to breaking.

That’s the biggest factor for me.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

Good weekend everyone.

I think this next phase of the bull market matters for reasons that go way beyond crypto.

Look at what’s happening around us.

Geopolitical risk is elevated. Energy prices are back under pressure. Bond yields are high, governments are carrying enormous debt loads, inflation is still a problem and central banks are being forced to stay tighter than markets would like. The Fed just hiked again. None of this is exactly the clean macro backdrop you’d normally associate with the beginning of a broad risk on move.

And that’s exactly why I’m paying attention.

For years, most alts have done nothing but bleed.

Not for a few weeks. Not for one bad quarter.
Years.

Every bounce sold. Every breakout faded. Every new narrative eventually became exit liquidity. You can see it without an indicator. Open the weekly charts and look at how many of them have spent years trapped below the same long-term downtrends.

That does something to people.

After enough failed rallies, the market trains you to stop believing in the next one. Holders give up. Attention disappears. Volume dries up. CT moves on to whatever is working. Eventually the idea of owning alts itself starts to feel stupid.

That psychological reset is part of the cycle.

Which is why I care much more about what these weekly charts are doing than whatever headline happens to be on the timeline today.

News explains what the market is worried about right now. It doesn’t always tell you where capital is positioning for the next 6 or 12 months.

And right now the headlines are messy. Even the underlying data is mixed. Macro conditions remain restrictive, while parts of crypto have started showing broader participation again.

That divergence is worth watching.

Technically, some multi year structures are finally beginning to change. Long-term downtrends that survived multiple narratives, rallies and failed breakouts are being tested or broken. That doesn’t mean every alt goes up. It doesn’t mean every breakout holds.

It means the structure that defined the bear market is no longer something I’m willing to blindly assume will continue forever.

Financially, the same thing matters.

A market that has already gone through years of compression, deleveraging, abandonment and repricing is very different from one where everybody is already positioned for upside. The asymmetric part of a cycle rarely feels comfortable when it first appears.

By the time the macro looks perfect, the headlines are bullish and everyone agrees the bull market is back, a lot of the repricing can already be behind you.

So I’m not trying to predict every headline from here.

I’m watching the charts.

If these multi year downtrends keep breaking and, more importantly, price starts holding above them, I think we’ll eventually look back at this period as something much bigger than another altcoin bounce.

The end of a structure that has been in place for years.

And the beginning of a completely different one.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

Want to buy alts without CT in your ear?

Open the weekly and look for the ones already breaking out of their long term downtrend and holding it.

That alone filters out a lot of noise

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$BTC Update
The mistake I made, and I think a lot of people made, was waiting for a deeper pullback.

Bull markets rarely give you the correction you’re waiting for.

Sometimes the strength itself is the signal.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

bitcoin:native

No clean break in structure on the higher timeframe yet, so nothing up there is confirmed.

For price to work toward those levels it has to correct first, and the BPR is the only place on this chart that gives it a reaction.

September 15 is when the Senate takes its first vote on the CLARITY Act. That timing lines up with where I expect price to be by then.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$ICP Update
I’m actually aiming much higher than what’s shown here.

But for now, I’m just sticking to this plan.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$ICP - Long Trade

E: 2.63
Sl: 2.52
Tp: 3.2

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$BNB
Getting very close to breaking this trend with real volume behind it.

Once that happens, I expect BNB to find its way back above $1K and stay there.

[CrestoXBT @CrestoXBT]

$UNI
You know what this means.

Years of compression under the same downtrend, and price has finally broken free.

I’m not expecting a straight line up. There will be pullbacks along the way.

But from here, I’m looking at those pullbacks very differently. As long as the breakout holds, every meaningful correction is a potential spot to add, not a reason to lose interest.