Devin

Believer in entrepreneurship for development and underdogs. Capitalism is (mostly) good actually. See my arguments on global development on my substack.

[Devin @dachesney]

Alright so the quick and dirty version of "bananas everywhere are good actually"...

[Devin @dachesney]

@GaryMarcus The solution to this is pretty simple: tax AI usage equivalent to the wages it displaces. Then nobody will do it unless finding people to do the job is hard.

[Devin @dachesney]

@alz_zyd_ Frontier models are still testing at an IQ of 130ish no? All this math stuff is just not impressive to me. Of course a computer can do rules faster than humans. That is not the hard part!

[Devin @dachesney]

@tomfgoodwin This honestly sounds worse than my current life in every way. No agency, no effort, just drifting along being babysat by an AI.

[Devin @dachesney]

@Noahpinion Making a big feast meal for friends and family should become much more common. At least 6 times a year.

[Devin @dachesney]

As a 9 year old I would ride my bike miles from home across busy streets and along the bayous in Houston. It was like a bike highway for kids and you could go anywhere. Nobody even asked any questions when you got home.

[𝒢𝒾𝓁𝒷ℯ𝓇𝓉 @AbakpaJob]

Millennials, what was considered completely NORMAL in 2005 that would be absolutely unhinged today?

[Devin @dachesney]

@Eric_P8 @politicalmath We’ve had these robots for decades and can program them to do any repeatable task. Many tasks are still not worth it and won’t be with AI either. Why do you think watercolor robot art is novel or interesting?

[Devin @dachesney]

@Eric_P8 @politicalmath A) that’s marginal improvement of percentage points and likely not worth a massive return on investment over the old way
B) none of the things happening in a lab change speeds. They are physical processes limited by the same laws even if a robot is doing it.

[Devin @dachesney]

@Eric_P8 @politicalmath Ai cannot do physical things. These things will still be slow and require empirical verification that is even slower. The wall we will hit is the limits of granular theory hitting our blind empiricism for more complex systems we cannot fully observe.

[Devin @dachesney]

@alz_zyd_ I have a philosophy degree and I had to read it, then the prompt, then two more times before I had a clear idea of what it meant. Shakespeare’s aura benefits a lot from that fact that he wrote in Middle English that had just become close enough to be intelligible to modern people

[Devin @dachesney]

@alz_zyd_ You cannot say math was created by humans, it is merely describing how things are then extrapolating from that. One thing plus one thing is two things. Everything about it is simultaneously empirical and logically derived. That is a natural law of the universe.

[Devin @dachesney]

I was writing about AI for Development when I realized I needed to lay the groundwork first. Why is development so bad at thinking through AI impacts? Because it mostly happens inside firms, which they weren't built to engage with. https://t.co/3p9JaRSZ5W

[Devin @dachesney]

@chrisalbon Same read. It was so bleak I couldn’t make it all the way through and had AI summarize it for me. The world would just burn the datacenters to the ground if this wasn’t prevented with sensible regulation of the industry.

[Devin @dachesney]

@thesamparr Time for WEALTH TAXES!!!!!

[Devin @dachesney]

Saying things like a trillion IQ is really just such stupid sales pitch nonsense. There are certainly natural limits to intelligence, IQ is a human measure that won’t even really apply to machines in key dimensions.

[Jaynit @jaynitx]

Sam Altman says he'd rather have a trillion slightly superhuman AIs join society than one AI with a trillion IQ

"I would much rather intuitively have a trillion AIs of slightly superhuman intelligence join society than one AI of 1 trillion IQ join society"

"I do think the properties of swarms match a lot of the properties of the resilience of society, or the robustness of society"

"For all of the deep flaws of society, it is unbelievably robust. And this would not happen without a lot of people keeping each other in check"

"There are a lot of people who may have a different opinion about how it should be used. But this is the one that I think is right"

[Devin @dachesney]

@alexolegimas @GoogleDeepMind @andrewjkoh @ShaneLegg Really thoughtful analysis and the best I’ve seen on the subject. I still think political and institutional responses to this are going to be the largest single factor in what is allowed to happen vs what is possible. That friction really needs accounting for in projections.

[Devin @dachesney]

@ryancbriggs The problem he describes is very real. The methods he chooses highlight its worst excesses. His conclusions are clearly political, which generates a lot of motivated reasoning against him.

[Devin @dachesney]

@ArtisanGrowth @millerman Houses are scarce. They are priced on desirability not the cost of making them.

[Devin @dachesney]

@alz_zyd_ Formal logic and analytic philosophy is a good base for almost anything.

[Devin @dachesney]

@Hesamation How dare anyone prefer a world where I don’t get exactly what I want! I find this guy so incredibly repulsive.

[Devin @dachesney]

@ArtisanGrowth @millerman The raw material costs of a house is at least $150,000. And property will still have a competitive market. AI will make no difference at all to housing costs.