For several weeks now, this group has been quietly sounding out Poland through diplomatic channels, essentially asking: “What would it take for Poland to join this format?”
Warsaw’s answer has been polite but sceptical. The Polish government believes this initiative is unlikely to succeed because, in reality, it is not primarily about either Ukraine or Russia.
For Berlin, it is an attempt to claim European leadership. For Macron, it is a struggle for political legacy. For Starmer, it is a desperate search for any major foreign-policy success - perhaps his last. In two weeks’ time, he may well be fighting for his political survival at home.
Poland will not participate in political theatre for its own sake. It will watch, assess and review the results.
The problem is not a lack of formats. The problem is that neither Ukraine nor Russia is waiting for another European format.
@vinniemcdermott@OTregub@TomOConWex That Ireland chose to help Ukrainian civilians doesn't mean Ireland is above legitimate criticism.
Especially considering that self righteous moral grand standing over Palestine.
@akarlin My knowledge of Russian was inevitable but still I'm glad for it since it has given me insights in to that society like nothing else could - growing up with Kukly on NTV Mir and it's demise definitely impressed that society was going off the rails. And a thousand other examples.
@olgakhazan It trains the brain in ways nothing else will.
And it exposes you to idiosyncrasies of different cultures in ways nothing else can - the insights I've had in to Russia thanks to the fact I picked it up on the streets are unique and can't be replicated.
@geogvma Latgale (Eastern Latvia) is sparsely populated and people still recorded sightings and audio of stray drones.
Idea they could fly over central regions of all three countries is legit IQ test.
@Rupert_DeBare@bneeditor@geogvma Bennett is irrelevant, he played no part in the talks.
Arakhamia stated no one was willing to give Ukraine any security guarantees, there was nothing to sign in the first place.
"To the best of my knowledge" is doing some heavy lifting there.
There is no peace deal. None. There is what Kirill Dmitriev told Luna the Kremlin will accept but has not because Putin prefers to press ahead with taking all of Donbas (more a remote prospect now than ever) at the cost of more than 30,000 Russian war dead per month. Sergei Lavrov, Dmitriev's nemesis, just labeled Ukraine "Trump's war" (it used to be "Biden's war") because in spite of Trump's pro-Russian tendencies, the U.S. continues to provide crucial intelligence to Kyiv and sell weapons to Europe for Ukraine's defense.
Volodymyr Zelensky, meanwhile, has just proposed direct talks with Putin to end the war and an unconditional ceasefire -- something Trump himself endorsed 18 months ago -- while those talks occur. Odd behavior for someone said to be holding out on a peace deal.
Even the "spirit of Anchorage," which the Russians kept citing after last August's summit in relation not just to Ukraine but the entirety of the post-Cold War security architecture, is dead, per Ushakov. Marco Rubio now punts on U.S.-led negotiations and hints at Europe as the new interlocutor on that score.
Leave all that to one side.
Luna's useful idiocy is beginning to comes at her own expense.
She's found herself on the wrong side of an unexpected but emerging MAGA split over Russia. Trump loyalists have cottoned onto Moscow's enticement of anti-Trump MAGA defectors such as Tucker Carlson, Marjorie Taylor Greene and Candace Owens. Yet Luna, who bangs on about foreign influence operations, hasn't got the candlepower or nous to realize she's fallen prey to the oldest one in the book.
@Rupert_DeBare@bneeditor@geogvma The first person ever who wrote about talks in Istanbul does not think there's a real prospect for ending the war in spring of 2022.