@SFarringtonBKC@athelascapital isn’t this just luck? China exports keep ramping. Trox liquidity under pressure post inventory release. Similar to LYB where Chinese broke the global supply demand. Stocks moving w PMI/ expectations for things to get better - yet spot prices/spreads are not?
@ContrarianCurse WFE gated by cleanroom? Then further gated by litho? Incrementals all dram so math implies 150-180bn peak in near term. In that scenario wouldn’t want to be long ?
@ContrarianCurse Get you. Though BOM clear so has to be architecturally. Decompose to scale up / out bandwidth GB capacity flops etc. most externalized so internal cost curve advantage relies on scale up. Stock seems appropriate to rich on out year?
@ACapitalLP Brazil equity value is immaterial. Bridging 26's isnt the issue. Funding the burn is. Was same hope when Jamaica was sold, which left the BS in one quarter.
@LNG_Investor_ Where was pricing rumored ? Seems unlikely to be higher margin vs existing SJ 5/6 given likely traded margin for duration + HH linkage vs diesel
@SFarringtonBKC Move in bonds says your math is wrong. EBITDA clearly negative ex-non recurring spot sales and won’t ramp. Liquidity so bad sold a main pocket of value at a massive discount to the curve. Wes running out of furniture to sell. Cash EBITDA < interest structurally so needs to rx.