Recently an argument has been made by some analysts that russia is targeting Ukrainian warehouses as a response to the strikes on wildberries in russia. I wanted to investigate this issue myself. As you can see, the data is quite clear, the increase began well before.
@BrankoMilan Why not? And Cuba joining the Warsaw Pact would not change much. WP was just a wrapping of Soviet hegemony to make it look "like NATO" symmetrically. For all practical purposes DDR and Cuba was equally Soviet protectorates.
@postsocialismus If a narrow funnel is necessary to produce 40 years long consistent series, it's ok with me. If better kind of data is possible, I would salute anyone starting producing it today, with 40 y commitment, whatever is their big theory.
@postsocialismus I don't care much about big sociological theories. They all are hopelessly speculative to my taste. But data is data. Consistent long term data collection is a good thing independently of theories motivating it.
@postsocialismus Levada biases are stable. It's better then being "unbiased on average" by recalibrating every year to better feed "policy advice" or whatever. Levada's is different kind of polling and they are explicit about this
@Slobopitek@gramm_football@saver_ag@havti_ То ви не розумієте британську "державність". Там був дуже сильний феодальний елемент. Але так, той елемент дуже просів через дві СВ
@k_sonin Я за "техноверсию". Машинке нужно топливо, стоять она не умеет и не хочет. Это не только пропаганды касается, но и репрессивного аппарата. Приезжать даже относительно аполитичным людям будет все опаснее.
@devarbol It's even worse. The relationship is circular. Polygeic score is built a upon educational data, it will correlate with anything related to education, by design
@pepel_klaasa "Hybrid" is the attribute of strategic level, not applicable to single operations. A hybrid campaign by definition consists of many ops of varying character
@MichaelLokesson@justincbzz They don't spend whole battalions. A division spends 50 men daily, spread among 5-10 battalions. Every fortnight it gets 500 new men from training centers + moves some from non-assault roles to assault teams. Repeat. The skeleton of officers and specialists is stable
@devarbol Degeneracy surfaced en masse in late 80s, before the economy crashed. Unified ideology/propaganda/education is verily powerful tool to suppress degeneracy, albeit crude one. When the lid gets open, shit hits the fun with long-accumulated power
@devarbol Good education is the closest to magic thing we have this days. It only works with some persons that have "it", and noone can explain or measure "it". The desire to scale it is huge, enourmous resources are thrown on it. And it doesn't scale at all.
@alexjordanATL@Bartaway@Pravonapadenie This is precondition for ceasefire. Talks without ceasefire has been going on many levels all the time. What change do you propose?
EXCLUSIVE: The 28-year-old Suezmax tanker CARUZO (IMO 9137648), which is under UK, EU, New Zealand, Canadian, Swiss, and Australian sanctions (but not US sanctions), sailed past us in Istanbul carrying one million barrels of Russian crude oil.
The first thing we noticed was that the crew had covered the superstructure with netting and boxed themselves in, apparently out of fear of Ukrainian drone strikes. The aft half of the vessel also appears to have additional protection in the form of cages dangling off the sides, intended to guard the engine room against attacks by sea drones.
The fear is real.
#OOTT #UkraineWar #Tankers
@DmB_Ekb2@ZakMay_USA Я спрашивал про вас и анти- путинсктх русских вообще. Если они это считают очевидным, зачем "официальные предложения"? Если нет - то какое должно быть "предложение", чтобы иметь эффект?