Danny Scarponi

Epidemiologist and Data Scientist at @CEPIvaccines | Early music and opera enthusiast

[Alex @StoffelAlex]

Eros and Empire is out today! Yikes!

20% discount code
- for US and Canada: STOFFEL20
- for international orders: FFF24

https://t.co/fK3H1b4FJ2

[CEPI @CEPIvaccines]

How can AI be used to help anticipate future viral variants that could avoid immune detection?
https://t.co/VrDx8tsQX3

[Danny Scarponi @DannyScarponi]

In our paper, now out in @GlobalHealthBMJ, we explored for the first time the effects of the large amounts of uncertainty that exists around the properties of self-clearance of Mtb infection on estimates of TB vaccine impact. https://t.co/ySNX45w5cO
@richardwhite321 @ra_clark18

[Rebecca Clark @ra_clark18]

Happy to share that the second paper from my #PhD is now available online at @BMCMedicine! 🎉

Our modelling has shown that introducing new #TB vaccines could have a substantial health and economic impact in #India by 2050

🧵👇

https://t.co/d4hpCcMFlf

[BMC Medicine @BMCMedicine]

The research on M72/AS01E and BCG- revaccination above was conducted by @ra_clark18 @cweerasuriya @AllisonPortnoy @cmukandavire @matthew_quaife Roel Bakker @DannyScarponi @RebeccaCHarris @drkiranrade
@Sanjay_kamttoo @dheedoc
@NickMenzies2 @richardwhite321 https://t.co/gXX8t1WwOd

[Danny Scarponi @DannyScarponi]

Register now! Durham University is hosting online workshops on the calibration of deterministic/stochastic epi models using history matching with emulation and the R package hmer. https://t.co/0G6jP3zr2W https://t.co/UWhWNWMiCI @richardwhite321 @fast4s @tandethsquire @IDDconf

[Danny Scarponi @DannyScarponi]

Register now! Durham University is hosting online workshops on the calibration of deterministic/stochastic epi models using history matching with emulation and the R package hmer. https://t.co/0G6jP3zr2W https://t.co/UWhWNWMiCI @richardwhite321 @fast4s @tandethsquire @IDDconf

[Rebecca Clark @ra_clark18]

The first paper for my PhD thesis is now available at @LancetGH! 🎉

Our modelling shows that introducing new #TB #vaccines are likely to have a substantial health impact in LMICs 🗺️🦠💉

From @lshtm_tbmod @LSHTM_TB @LSHTM_Vaccines @cmmid_lshtm @LSHTM

https://t.co/j7xZ7xFviv

[Danny Scarponi @DannyScarponi]

Our paper is now out in Epidemics! See how new R-package hmer can be used to easily and efficiently calibrate complex epidemiological models.
@DannyScarponi @tandethsquire @ra_clark18 @fast4s @cmukandavire @cweerasuriya @richardwhite321 @lshtm_tbmod https://t.co/DP0E2iyM4u

[Richard White @richardwhite321]

Is the full value of new Tuberculosis vaccines being underestimated?

You decide!

Highlights from our new work with @WHO, released today, below...

https://t.co/3O5LjINx9V

[Danny Scarponi @DannyScarponi]

Due to the high number of registrations for the 17-18 November online workshop on the calibration of deterministic and stochastic models, we will repeat the workshop on 8-9 December. Info and registration at https://t.co/jaBlkZF5pS
@richardwhite321
@tandethsquire
@fast4s
@IDDconf

[LSHTM TB Modelling Group @lshtm_tbmod]

New @BioMedCentral Public Health paper showing that the risk of #Mtb transmission can vary greatly between settings due to differences in ventilation and occupancy.

Public transport 🚍🚃 may be particularly high risk in South Africa 🇿🇦

https://t.co/1DW5OSVML2

[Danny Scarponi @DannyScarponi]

Register now! Durham University is hosting a 2-day online workshop on the calibration of deterministic and stochastic infectious disease models using history matching with emulation and the R package hmer. https://t.co/J6aSgBQ2Co
@richardwhite321 @tandethsquire @fast4s @IDDconf

[Danny Scarponi @DannyScarponi]

Preprint shows how new R-package hmer can be used to easily and efficiently calibrate complex epidemiological models.
https://t.co/eAlBXIZxHO https://t.co/cITbdvRFdP @DannyScarponi @tandethsquire @ra_clark18 @fast4s @cmukandavire @cweerasuriya @richardwhite321

[Danny Scarponi @DannyScarponi]

Register now! @cmmid_lshtm are hosting a one-day workshop on the calibration of complex infectious disease models using history matching with emulation, using the new R package hmer.
https://t.co/NBrV40ZZ9Z
@richardwhite321 @tandethsquire @fast4s @IDDconf

[LSHTM TB Modelling Group @lshtm_tbmod]

New @elife publication out now! Analysing how changes due to #COVID-19 affect emergence, transmission & burden of #AMR.

From @gmknght @LSHTM_AMR @lshtm_tbmod @LSHTM @cfmcquaid @NaomiMFuller: https://t.co/1JxeRn79Tg

[LSHTM TB Modelling Group @lshtm_tbmod]

Come and study for a PhD with us! Funded PhD opportunity to investigate the impact of inter-community transmission on reductions in tuberculosis incidence achieved through interventions https://t.co/Kc7Qra4ths

[Rein Houben @Rein_Houben]

Our paper exploring the burden of subclinical TB now out in CID - around half of prevalent TB is subclinical, and not correlated with burden. Urgently need to reconsider passive symptom-based screening methods to interrupt ongoing transmission @LSHTM_TB. https://t.co/WdGkzryqAo

[Jon Emery @JonCEmery]

Very pleased to see our modelling study of the Diamond Princess published in eLife.

We estimate that ~ 3/4 of infections were asymptomatic and may have contributed substantially to transmission.

Huge thanks to excellent collaborators and the reviewers.
https://t.co/ofkWN5p5xB

[LSHTM TB Modelling Group @lshtm_tbmod]

Interesting discussion today led by @alexsrichards on a paper from Romain Ragonnet and @JamesTrauer on estimating the duration and mortality rates of untreated #TB - would be great to have a wider conversation on implications for past and future models

https://t.co/1R6uuz4B5V