Counterfactuals 🇺🇸

Working on a boutique data marketplace for macroeconomic and environmental forecasting.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Unemployment rate (%) forecast through the end of 2027.

Joblessness is forecast to peak a high of 4.7% in the first half of 2026. 

Following the 2026 peak, the rate enters a consistent downward trend.

By the end of 2027, unemployment is expected to return to 4.1%.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Inflation is expected to see it’s peak this quarter; and will gradually get back towards Fed’s 2% target.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Projected GDP growth (2026-2036) according to CBO.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Projected GDP growth (2026-2036) according to CBO.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Inflation is expected to see it’s peak this quarter; and will gradually get back towards Fed’s 2% target.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Unemployment rate (%) forecast through the end of 2027.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Unemployment rate (%) forecast through the end of 2027.

Joblessness is forecast to peak a high of 4.7% in the first half of 2026. 

Following the 2026 peak, the rate enters a consistent downward trend.

By the end of 2027, unemployment is expected to return to 4.1%.

[Potometrics @potometrics]

2026-2027 Projected Real GDP (Year-over-Year).

2026: GDP growth is projected to peak at 2.9% in the first quarter of 2026, slowing significantly throughout the remainder of the year.

2027: Starting in 2027, the economy shows a steady incremental recovery trend.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Philadelphia Fed forecasts that inflation is coming down in the next 12-24 months, but remain above Fed’s 2% target.

[Potometrics @potometrics]

The CPI forecast from the Philadelphia Fed.

Good news - inflation is coming down in the next 12/24 months.

Bad news - inflation remains above Fed’s 2% target in the forseeable future.

[Potometrics @potometrics]

The CPI forecast from the Philadelphia Fed.

Good news - inflation is coming down in the next 12/24 months.

Bad news - inflation remains above Fed’s 2% target in the forseeable future.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

CBO projects that the U.S. population will increase from 350 million people in 2025 to 367 million people in 2055.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Public debt is sinking the boat. The future isn’t looking good either.
https://t.co/3HlPoyMrBD

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Public debt will exceed 150% of GDP in about 20 years (source: CBO). It’s clearly an underestimate.

[Andrew McCarthy @AJamesMcCarthy]

I was in the middle of shooting my narrowband data on this galaxy when the supernova happened so I was probably one of the first people to photograph it!

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

On Tuesday Montgomery county delayed schools in anticipation of snows (it wasn’t). Today they kept regular operation anticipating normal weather ( there was snow).

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Sad

[The Spectator Index @spectatorindex]

BREAKING: DOGE, the Department of Government Efficiency, has been shut down.

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

Re softening jobs market an economist is saying in a podcast that that’s because they f the shortage of labor force due to restricted immigration. I don’t understand their reasoning.

[Wall Street Mav @WallStreetMav]

Europe is taxed and regulated to an extreme level that Americans just wouldn’t even comprehend.

“Living in Germany is tough.”

“If you have dreams, we are gonna destroy them… If you get a promotion, they will double tax you, so you make the same amount as before.”

“There is no way to grow and achieve anything, they just take, take, take.”

[Counterfactuals 🇺🇸 @DataEnthus]

@Noahpinion That’s quite surprising to me!!