Pollster+Analytics | Recovering Political Consultant | Southern California Native | Bleeds Green for Michigan State | Teaching - Columbia U. Political Analytics
Canada has their election this year. A big debate of all the leaders coming up. NHL just released the playoff hockey schedule. Montreal Canadians have a playoff game that conflicts with the Debate. Instead of the NHL moving the game…it’s the debate that got moved. Priorities!!
Des Moines Register moving away from antiquated survey methodology. As an experiment, we used their methodology on our last Nevada poll with @libertywoody — We had Trump ahead. The DM Register survey methodology applied to our Nevada data? The reverse. https://t.co/agESH378xC
About that Iowa Poll (Part 2)… As an experiment, we used the Seltzer survey methodology from Iowa on the raw data from our last poll (which was right on the money) with Woodrow Johnston @libertywoody in Nevada. The results were striking.
About that Iowa Poll… which had Harris winning Iowa by 3 pts. Incredible analysis by our polling/data sci guru on what went wrong in the poll. (Part 1 of 2)
https://t.co/O4L0yz3eBm
A good read from @KSoltisAnderson for anyone curious about polling and oversamples — what literally is an oversample and why is it used?
https://t.co/2oXByAFnKv
A super insightful analysis of the GOP Presidential Hispanic vote over the years by @PatrickRuffini that is should be required reading for anyone running or involved in campaigns! From top of the ticket to down ticket… https://t.co/VQuukZhAEM
If you are looking to really understand how swing voting overall happens and works, take a peek at this very good data visualization related to the upcoming Georgia Runoff. Easy to understand at many depths: https://t.co/6xbvFMX5QT
Looking for the county or city that most represents the average American? After some very serious research it is Allentown, PA in LeHigh County https://t.co/9zXFnZMmpd
If you want to really understand what is between the lines in the pro-choice/pro-life polling questions that are all over the news— here is that information written with lots of insights from @dcoxpolls https://t.co/NcD3qtLuDE
Tight November Election? Primaries? A tracking poll at the end can be critical. @cygnal is doing some game changing survey methodology regarding the three day “roll.” Nice work @rudnicknoah https://t.co/kSyOFtKtWX