David La Boon

Anti-C Lab Rat | Nuclear Nonpro | Nerd Stuff | 🚀 | 서울대학교 국제대학원 | frmly @JamesMartinCNS @MIIS @CNS_Updates | @DavidLaBoon.infosec.exchange

[Geoff Brumfiel @gbrumfiel]

EXLCUSIVE: An analysis by two MIT researchers shows how Russia's nuclear-powered cruise missile actually works.

And guys, it's not pretty. 🚀☢️🤢🧵

https://t.co/7vltIw9VAK

[Eliana Johns @elianajjohns]

EXCITING NEWS. WE’RE HIRING!

The Nuclear Information Project at FAS is hiring for a full-time, early career position to support both research and operations. Please share widely and apply by June 28!

@scientistsorg

https://t.co/U0D8N6BWRN

[Thomas Bordeaux @ThomasBordeaux7]

For months, we’ve been digging into China’s nuclear weapons program, identifying where weapon components are built and how those sites are changing.
Every production site we found has expanded significantly in the last five years. 🧵:
https://t.co/7fbO4acm1k

[Andrea Stricker @StrickerNonpro]

The breakout situation prior to June. Now, just the 11 weapons’ worth using 60% HEU could be in play if Iran were able to recover stored HEU from the destroyed Fordow and Esfahan tunnels.

They could use a few cascades of IR-6 centrifuges to go to 90% or weapons-grade.

See @TheGoodISIS’ pre-June breakout section: https://t.co/tc3caBskwS

[Visegrád 24 @visegrad24]

BREAKING:

In major speech, Macron announces France’s new nuclear umbrella policy for Europe.

Macron says the UK, Germany, Poland, Netherlands, Belgium, Greece, Sweden & Denmark will be key partners in “advanced deterrence” with French nukes forward deployed in other countries

[Bilawal Sidhu @bilawalsidhu]

God's eye view 24-hour replay of Operation Epic Fury.

The Iran strikes kicked off and I set an AI agent swarm loose to record every OSINT signal I could find before the caches cleared. Built a full 4D reconstruction in WorldView.

I can scrub through minute by minute and watch the whole thing unfold on a 3D globe:

> Airspace clearing over Tehran
> Ground strike coordinates locking in
> Severe GPS interference blinding the region
> EO and SAR satellites making passes over the strike zone
> No-fly zones locking down 9 countries
> Shipping fleets scrambling at the Strait of Hormuz

It's pretty amazing how complete of a picture you can build without "proprietary data fusion" -- one dev with public signals and a love for computer graphics and geospatial intelligence.

Thank you for all the love on my last post. Dropping WorldView in April. This my friends is just the beginning.

[Ian Stewart | Export Controls | Nonproliferation @ian_j_stewart]

And most importantly, you can't secure HEU from the air. Someone is needed on the ground whether it be inspectors or military forces.

[Dr. Jeffrey Lewis @ArmsControlWonk]

Ah, then 20 tons fully coupled, no more than 400-800 tons fully decoupled. A one-station means its very hard to know the location with confidence.

[Dr. Jeffrey Lewis @ArmsControlWonk]

A magnitude of Mb=2.7 corresponds to about 18 tons of yield at China's Lop Nor test site. If the explosion was fully decoupled that would correspond to about 400-700 tons of TNT. Again, these are very small events, relatively speaking. (Nagasaki was ~20,000 tons.)

[Dr Rachel Pawling 🌈🏳️‍⚧️ @R_P_one]

A missile barge for covering beachheads, perhaps. Freeing up more mobile units to do more mobile things.

[Decker Eveleth @dex_eve]

Geolocated. Appears to be real. Image from @planet

[Nicole Grajewski @NicoleGrajewski]

Can’t emphasize how big of a story this is for Russia and Iran’s nuclear program — probably the most concrete evidence that Russia is crossing previously-held redlines when it comes to cooperation with Iran in the nuclear domain.

[Decker Eveleth @dex_eve]

Oh no Dieworkwear is PLAposting

[Chris Combs (iterative design enjoyer) @DrChrisCombs]

Can dudes not have hobbies anymore?

[Dr Marco Langbroek 🇬🇱 🇩🇰 @Marco_Langbroek]

Voor wie eens wil proberen om het "geheime" X-37B ruimtevliegtuigje OTV 8 te zien: passage in de vroege schemering rond 20:58 NL tijd vanavond (8 sep). Gaat vlak langs Altair.
NB: hij manouvreert regelmatig dus kan ook iets eerder of later overkomen.

[Decker Eveleth @dex_eve]

There we go. DF-31BJ is the designation for the silo based ICBM. I assume B is the upgrade and J denotes the basing mode.

[Dr. Jeffrey Lewis @ArmsControlWonk]

Hey! We found the Institute for Atomic Energy in Pyongyang. 32.029, 125.668 #dailygeolocation Full post on the ACW blog:
https://t.co/N8U6s8ld1D

[(((James Acton))) @james_acton32]

Iran has ALREADY dug out the tunnels at Isfahan, where most of Iran's highly enriched uranium was stored prior to attacks and PERHAPS during them. (1/2)

https://t.co/gsYWNBasSC

[(((James Acton))) @james_acton32]

This is REALLY bad--and an utterly predictable consequence of military action.

Inspectors can't now verify Iran's several bombs worth of highly enriched uranium.

This is a MUCH bigger risk than whether the damage done to Fordow meets expectations.

[(((James Acton))) @james_acton32]

How far has military action set back Iran's nuclear program?

Netanyahu says 2-3 years.

JD Vance says "substantially."

In @politico, I argue that Iran could build the bomb in a year. And it now has much stronger reasons to do so. (1/n)