Dan on why semis, cap equipment, and hyperscalers are the most attractive sector in the market, and why Nvidia is still cheap:
"The SOXX is up 40%. I don't think I've ever seen an event like that.
You can still buy Nvidia โโ maybe the multiple's slightly higher right now โโ at 15 times '27, 12 times '28 for the most dominant, very fast-growing company at its size.
I looked through our whole semis, cap equipment, and hyperscaler portfolio.
My instinct was we've gotta take profits here. But I looked at the valuations and the growth rates.
Unless you think the AI world is going to roll over in 2031 or 2032, it's the most attractive sector.
It's where the bulk of our capital is invested."
Leopoldโs Q1 13F missed todayโs 5:30 PM ET deadline. No filling as of now.
EDGAR froze at 5:31 PM. Anything filed between 5:30 and 10:00 PM tonight wonโt appear publicly until Monday 6:00 AM ET.
Looks like we will find out Monday. I could be reading this wrong so donโt take my word for it. $LITE $SNDK $BE
One of the most substantive classes with @ChaseLochmiller at Stanford. We went deep on economics of the datacenter:
- Where is the ~$650B of AI infra capex actually going this year?
- Who's capturing the margin, who's getting squeezed?
- How the bottleneck has moved from GPUs to power, and where it goes next
- The economics of neoclouds
@brian_armstrong How much do you feel that these games helped shape your perspective as applied to real-world situations? I like many others spent ample time trading in-game economies (grand exchange, free market), and some intuition has undoubtedly transferred to real markets.
While I think what Anthropic does is sad for the ecosystem, I wanna give Boris credit for doing what he can to soften the fallout.
Today's release will include some fixes for better cache use, to lower cost for API users.