The fundamental frustration with governance in #Mozambique underpins both the insurgency in #CaboDelgado and post-election violence. Might dialogue to resolve election-related grievances open the door to addressing conflict drivers in northern Mozambique?
📢 New @CSIS Africa publication: “The Ties that Bind: Including Cabo Delgado in Political Dialogue” by Senior Associate @EColumbo2019 examines shared grievances in Mozambique and how political dialogue and reforms could advance national stability. 🔗 https://t.co/6ZhAhKv0Ol
Joining the government has the potential to help restore order in #Mozambique provided the public does not perceive Mondlane as selling out. https://t.co/EafT01mCrC
Chapo faces a difficult road ahead to try governing a country whose voters do not accept him and with a party that struggled to come around to his candidacy. Many thanks to @CSISAfrica for the opportunity to weigh in!
The incoming administration will face a Mozambique undergoing unprecedented political upheaval, requiring policies that will help address not only the short-term fallout but also help get at the grievances these protests have unlocked, writes @EColumbo2019. https://t.co/9rwVrtXPM9
The list of #Mozambique neighbors impacted economically by the protests is growing by the day, introducing the potential for greater pressure on both the government and opposition to come to a resolution. https://t.co/clS5ASONch via @twitter
The economic angle to the protests seems to gaining some traction in the media with reports not only on the domestic costs, but costs to #Mozambique's neighbors, adding another dimension to the protests. https://t.co/aAmOGXSiS5
Mondlane may be in a bit of trouble if people start blaming him as much as FRELIMO for protest deaths/violence. Her comment about the plight of the poor also highlights how these protests might be an opportunity for the insurgents in #CaboDelgado.
“They were not protesting. The were in at their uncle’s compound yard. Officers entered the compound, and showered them [with bullets]. Why? But why? Why don’t they fight among themselves there? The other time, didn’t they do things in Maputo? Why don’t they continue in Maputo? Why are they ordering demonstrations here? Why don’t they seat there at Ponta Vermelha (presidential palace) to find out what they want. They shouldn’t kill the population. Nobody knows anything here. What they want is to be at Ponta Vermelha, both Venancio and Frelimo. Then stay there. Talk to each other there. Don’t kill people (…) In Mozambique, there is no justice. What can we do? Even if I leave here to go complain. They will take my documents and keep it. They will never resolve the problems of a poor person. If it was the son a rich person, they would do everything.” (Sister of one of the people killed today in Nampula)
There is a little part of me that wonders if the experience of these protests makes the conflict in #CaboDelgado a little more relevant and relatable to a public that perhaps tends to regulate it to the back burner.
Mozambique 🇲🇿 Police Commander, Bernardino Rafael, on a Press conference that finished just now, said “On 7 Nov, protesters in Maputo acted like terrorists in Cabo Delgado”. He closed by saying “Enough with protests 🪧”
Let’s see how mozambicans will respond to this.
#FreeMozambique
#MozambiqueElections
The specific focus on #Mozambique economic targets for the next round of protests suggests the opposition is trying to exert economic and political pressure on FRELIMO. https://t.co/40lvMrlZ0g via @twitter
In Mozambique, wide swaths of the population have defied repression in order to protest what they see as a failed electoral process. As Emilia Columbo (@EColumbo2019) writes, the protests suggest that Mozambique’s political landscape is changing.
https://t.co/l01vGV7t1Q
Post-election protests in Mozambique signify a significant, potentially long-term shift for the country’s political landscape, Emilia Columbo (@EColumbo2019) writes.
https://t.co/l01vGV7t1Q
The protests in #Mozambique this past week underscore widespread frustration with "business as usual" and highlight the depth of public desire for political change.
As people take to the streets protesting contested election results in #Mozambique, how will the reelection of FRELIMO and rise of PODEMOS as an opposition party affect political dynamics in the country?
An analysis by Senior Associate @EColumbo2019
https://t.co/E8JtnWM9Le
The economic cost of protests in #Mozambique grows, but who feels it first and hardest--the protesters or FRELIMO--might be a slightly underrated factor in the trajectory of this crisis. https://t.co/d1yS3o1QC4 via @twitter
These protests seem to be lifting the lid on a range of grievances. Doctors have previously threatened to strike over working conditions and salaries, and @clubOmozambique reports doctors are concerned over injuries protestors have sustained in #Mozambique .
A marcha sobre Maputo continua, agora de regresso ao local de partida o Hospital Central #Moçambique cidadão participam trazendo água para os manifestantes
"How FRELIMO and RENAMO respond to the shifting political winds will be a key factor not only in near-term stability but the longer-term perceptions of the value of democracy in a society where one’s voice is not always well heard." — Senior Associate Emilia Columbo @EColumbo2019 on the recent #MozambiqueElections
https://t.co/6DaJg3DvZD
@BorgesNhamirre makes a good point about how nicely this incident fits with the #CaboDelgado insurgency narrative. Also risks further alienating a community that is already often targeted in kidnappings-for-ransom, in which police are allegedly complicit.
It was supposed to be a peaceful protest this morning in Maputo, led by the wealthy Muslim community against election rigging, until the police started firing tear gas bombs and rubber bullets to disperse the demonstrators. This risks to feed the jihadist insurgency propaganda!
CSIS Senior Associate Emilia Columbo @EColumbo2019 discusses the #Mozambique elections in a new #CSISCommentary. How will the results affect political dynamics in the country?
Read: https://t.co/E8JtnWM9Le