In 1986 a guy got kicked out of every casino in Vegas for counting cards. So he flew to Hong Kong with $180,000 and started betting on horses instead. He walked away with almost $900 million.
It's Bill Benter. He figured horse racing was just another counting problem. Same math, more moving parts.
He and a partner showed up with $180k and a computer. Benter spent years teaching that computer to guess one thing, the real chance each horse had to win. If his number was better than the odds the bookies gave, he bet. If not, he skipped it.
That's the whole trick. Expected value.
EV = p · b − (1 − p)
Only bet when your win chance p, at odds b, is worth more than your chance of losing.
This recording was never meant to be some hidden gem. Nobody expected Professor Tsitsiklis to hand the whole foundation away in 45 minutes, but that's exactly what happens on the board. Students in that room pay over $80,000 a year to sit through it. It's free right here. It's free right here.
Every quant, every professional bettor, every hedge fund analyst started with this exact hour. Benter just watched it and actually did the homework.
Almost nobody knows this lecture even exists. Watch it before it gets taken down.
The answer is in this video.
Skeleton Bay, Namibia turns from a quiet desert sandbank into one of surfing’s longest barrel machines when the right Southern Ocean swells arrive.
I replayed Koa Smith’s famous Skeleton Bay rides and the detail that changed my view was the waiting. This wave is built by a rare mix of a deep SW swell, offshore desert winds and a sandbank that lines up perfectly.
I love that a place this empty can create waves that challenge the best surfers alive. I’m amazed that the difference between a normal day and a world-class session can be one storm track thousands of miles away.
The best window is usually the Southern Hemisphere winter, especially when long-period swells and clean winds align. Summer can look completely different, with fewer reliable chances.
Would you make the trip for one perfect day?
ne wave. Eight barrels. Nearly a mile.
Koa Smith rode one Skeleton Bay wave in Namibia for two minutes, slipping through eight barrels before it finally ended. Which country has the best surf?
This is a big deal. Omega-3s reduce aggressive behavior across randomized controlled trials.
A meta-analysis of 29 studies and nearly 4,000 participants found that omega-3 supplementation reduced aggressive behavior by up to 28%. The benefit was broadly consistent across children and adults, males and females, community and clinical samples, and across different doses and treatment durations. It also helped with both reactive/impulsive and proactive/planned aggression.
Mechanistically, this makes sense. Omega-3s are deeply involved in brain cell membranes, neurotransmission, neuroinflammation, cerebral blood flow, and gene regulation. DHA is especially enriched in the prefrontal cortex (an area critical for impulse control, emotion regulation, and executive function).
The authors even concluded that there is now “sufficient evidence” to begin implementing omega-3 supplementation to reduce aggression in the community, the clinic, or the criminal justice system.
That’s a remarkable statement for a nutritional intervention and a reminder that omega-3s influence brain health and may shape behavior in meaningful ways.
This 1 hour lecture on "Probability Theory" from MIT will teach you more about prediction markets than 2 month internship at at a Wall Street Quant firm.
Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read post below.
Climate change is worse than predicted .
For years the public was sold a tidy picture: warming, yes, but measured, gradual, contained within the neat boundaries of model projections.
That picture depended on two assumptions. First, that the climate system responds modestly to carbon dioxide.
Second, that a veil of industrial pollution would sit in the sky, reflecting sunlight and softening the blow.
Both have failed.
The climate is more sensitive than advertised. Not by a rounding error, but by a deck of a lot . And the pollution that once acted like sunscreen protecting us the sun has cleared .
The sulphur shield was built by decades of coal, industry, and shipping. Those emissions formed a haze that reflected sunlight and cooled the surface. Clean air rules have cut that pollution, thinning the haze. Less reflection means more heat stays in the system. What was masked is now fully expressed.
That is why the oceans are heating at a pace that has startled even the people who study them. Ships used to do the long putting out the sulphur clouds that kept the ocean cool.
. When the ocean warms quickly, the rest follows .
So what does this mean for you? It means the future is not a distant abstraction. It is arriving on a compressed schedule.
You can hear that train coming
Over the next year or two, expect sharper heat spikes and heavier downpours. Not gentle increases, but abrupt records. Within a few years, these events stop being anomalies and start becoming the pattern. Insurance costs rise, crops swing between surplus and failure, and infrastructure built for a milder climate begins to show strain.
We will cope we will adapt, but the changes are significant
An El Niño will come and go. The underlying acceleration is the story. More heat in the system, less masking, stronger response.
The mistake was not that the models existed that were the best we could do now we can do better and Im sorry it’s worse .
Chinese fishing vessel in Antarctic scooping up krill, right next to whales and penguins
These ships track where the animals go to feed & take their food.
The ship is Shi Dao, the same fishing vessel that was caught dumping oil into Fijian waters at a shipyard a few years ago.
T-0: HOW TO LIVE ON TATOOINE W REGENERATIVE FARMING
I sat down with one of the sharpest mindsin regenerative farming -- and his take on today's food system is brutal. Andre Houssney lays out exactly why building independent, local food access isn't optional anymore.
This is truly the most beautiful video I’ve seen lately
So tender and heart-warming, yet it makes you stop and reflect, with a subtle touch of sadness
We may have gained so much, but perhaps we’ve lost even more✨
Polish 26 year old guitar master Marcin Patrzałek respond to those who have made public comments claiming that his music is fake.
He made this video in a tutorial form showing how he manages to play so extraordinarily well in response. And yes, it's all played on one guitar.