Edward Katcher

btc 600k - axiom

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc The harsh reality of being unknown:
Sometimes your ideas — even brilliant ones — pass unnoticed.
Then bigger names repeat them… and get the credit.
You can’t always fight that.

Just a reminder:

I was among the first to call for Bitcoin’s drop to 56k.
I was among the first to compare Bitcoin to digital gold in its early stage.
I was among the first to speak about cycle evolution.

And now I’m saying this:
Bitcoin will reach at least $600K in this cycle.

Remember it.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@quantdata21 You right https://t.co/EsMEAEsElF

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Soon the bears are gonna start fighting over where Bitcoin’s bottom is

~56k or ~43k

IMO: 56k

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@KillaXBT Lets goo 📉

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Everything “traders” are posting right now is nothing but noise.

They’re shooting with their eyes closed.

Can they hit the target? Absolutely.
Would you trust them to do it? That’s up to you.

I don’t see a single factor suggesting that the trend has changed.

Of course, the clues will appear AFTER we put in a bottom. That’s why I’m not trying to “hit the bullseye” — although that would be nice.

My plan is simple: buy Bitcoin cheap, based on data and the chart, with minimal risk.

I’m sticking to the plan I made in 2025.

And I’ll continue to expect another move down until we ACTUALLY REVERSE.

Sounds logical, right?
Apparently, not to most people.

USDT.D has reached serious resistance, but there’s also a magnet above this level.

On TOTAL, I’m still expecting the $1.6–1.75T area.

Time will tell who was right.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@TedPillows )))) 🔥

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Everything “traders” are posting right now is nothing but noise.

They’re shooting with their eyes closed.

Can they hit the target? Absolutely.
Would you trust them to do it? That’s up to you.

I don’t see a single factor suggesting that the trend has changed.

Of course, the clues will appear AFTER we put in a bottom. That’s why I’m not trying to “hit the bullseye” — although that would be nice.

My plan is simple: buy Bitcoin cheap, based on data and the chart, with minimal risk.

I’m sticking to the plan I made in 2025.

And I’ll continue to expect another move down until we ACTUALLY REVERSE.

Sounds logical, right?
Apparently, not to most people.

USDT.D has reached serious resistance, but there’s also a magnet above this level.

On TOTAL, I’m still expecting the $1.6–1.75T area.

Time will tell who was right.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@KillaXBT 😭😂
https://t.co/bJiKuPQL7N

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Everything “traders” are posting right now is nothing but noise.

They’re shooting with their eyes closed.

Can they hit the target? Absolutely.
Would you trust them to do it? That’s up to you.

I don’t see a single factor suggesting that the trend has changed.

Of course, the clues will appear AFTER we put in a bottom. That’s why I’m not trying to “hit the bullseye” — although that would be nice.

My plan is simple: buy Bitcoin cheap, based on data and the chart, with minimal risk.

I’m sticking to the plan I made in 2025.

And I’ll continue to expect another move down until we ACTUALLY REVERSE.

Sounds logical, right?
Apparently, not to most people.

USDT.D has reached serious resistance, but there’s also a magnet above this level.

On TOTAL, I’m still expecting the $1.6–1.75T area.

Time will tell who was right.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@TedPillows Bro

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Everything “traders” are posting right now is nothing but noise.

They’re shooting with their eyes closed.

Can they hit the target? Absolutely.
Would you trust them to do it? That’s up to you.

I don’t see a single factor suggesting that the trend has changed.

Of course, the clues will appear AFTER we put in a bottom. That’s why I’m not trying to “hit the bullseye” — although that would be nice.

My plan is simple: buy Bitcoin cheap, based on data and the chart, with minimal risk.

I’m sticking to the plan I made in 2025.

And I’ll continue to expect another move down until we ACTUALLY REVERSE.

Sounds logical, right?
Apparently, not to most people.

USDT.D has reached serious resistance, but there’s also a magnet above this level.

On TOTAL, I’m still expecting the $1.6–1.75T area.

Time will tell who was right.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Everything “traders” are posting right now is nothing but noise.

They’re shooting with their eyes closed.

Can they hit the target? Absolutely.
Would you trust them to do it? That’s up to you.

I don’t see a single factor suggesting that the trend has changed.

Of course, the clues will appear AFTER we put in a bottom. That’s why I’m not trying to “hit the bullseye” — although that would be nice.

My plan is simple: buy Bitcoin cheap, based on data and the chart, with minimal risk.

I’m sticking to the plan I made in 2025.

And I’ll continue to expect another move down until we ACTUALLY REVERSE.

Sounds logical, right?
Apparently, not to most people.

USDT.D has reached serious resistance, but there’s also a magnet above this level.

On TOTAL, I’m still expecting the $1.6–1.75T area.

Time will tell who was right.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@KillaXBT https://t.co/6nPGUIX5aI

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc If we break and hold above $65,850, I’ll start considering a bullish scenario.

Until then — bearish only.

What amazes me is how quickly everyone has flipped bullish, even though there was no real reason to do so.

People are simply creating noise. There are NO real factors supporting a bullish market yet. At this point, it’s nothing more than speculation.

Trade based on facts and intelligence, not emotions like the majority.

Could the bottom already have formed? I’ve answered this a hundred times: yes, it’s possible.

But those who “hit the bullseye” are essentially shooting blindfolded and hoping they get lucky.

Remember that.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc If we break and hold above $65,850, I’ll start considering a bullish scenario.

Until then — bearish only.

What amazes me is how quickly everyone has flipped bullish, even though there was no real reason to do so.

People are simply creating noise. There are NO real factors supporting a bullish market yet. At this point, it’s nothing more than speculation.

Trade based on facts and intelligence, not emotions like the majority.

Could the bottom already have formed? I’ve answered this a hundred times: yes, it’s possible.

But those who “hit the bullseye” are essentially shooting blindfolded and hoping they get lucky.

Remember that.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc You’ve never seen a Bitcoin analysis like this before!

BEARISH CASE:
• We’ve touched the trend channel only once (in previous cycles, there were 3 touches).
• We haven’t even touched the buy zone yet. In every cycle, we reached it. Is this time different?
• The pattern’s full downside potential has not been completed yet.
• Comparing Bitcoin with other assets from the correct reference point, we get the following probabilities: 90% chance of further downside and 10% chance that the bottom is already in.
• Many indicators also suggest that we still haven’t reached the required zones (moving averages).

BULLISH CASE:
• We reached a strong Fibonacci zone (the purple one).
• But with each cycle, this zone keeps moving higher. And in the past, we already broke below it.
+ Other minor support levels, while 10% of other assets in the current situation were signaling a market reversal.

A reclaim above 98k (according to the current chart, that’s the bulls’ level right now) = bull market.
Anything below that = bear market.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@KillaXBT And yet you’re expecting $160K.

Yes, the cycles have changed.
But the next cycles are expansion cycles.

Bitcoin will reach at least $300K.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@KillaXBT https://t.co/mMdKqqgxpi

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc it's as simple as it gets.
The correlation indicates that the red scenario has a higher likelihood of being realized. I'm also placing my bet on it.

I haven't changed my scenario since 2025. The bottom is already near.

The games will begin.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc it's as simple as it gets.
The correlation indicates that the red scenario has a higher likelihood of being realized. I'm also placing my bet on it.

I haven't changed my scenario since 2025. The bottom is already near.

The games will begin.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@TedPillows Everything makes sense. You just have to understand it.

https://t.co/bpbELbVk5x

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Be bulls
But be smart bulls
I suppose we’re heading for another dump

M2 global - btc

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc You know I never delete my posts. Never.

If I’m wrong, I’ll admit it.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Today I dreamed that Bitcoin unleashed a bloodbath. Traders were screaming in pain.

I haven’t slept this sweetly in a long time.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc The simplest signal of a bull market…

When will I go all-in?
When I see real bullish strength.

Yes, I probably won’t catch the exact bottom. But the difference between my entry and the absolute low will likely be small.

What matters more is that I’ll be trading with confirmation, giving myself a much higher probability of success.

Yes, I’ve already started building my spot position. But I’m still keeping most of my capital on the sidelines for later.

Everything emotional traders are saying right now is just noise.

Trust the chart. And above all, trust yourself.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

Correlation allows for this scenario.

However, the probability remains low.

[Alien OPS @alienops]

$BTC - My macro thesis remains simple:

A convincing relief rally first; strong enough to rebuild optimism, restore bullish positioning, and make the broader weakness appear resolved.

Then the real capitulation.

- The strongest trends often begin only after the market has rebuilt confidence.
- The most effective market-maker campaigns rarely move in a straight line.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Step back.

Look at the bigger picture.

People are rapidly changing their plans and opinions.
Emotions are taking over.
Sentiment is becoming increasingly unstable.

A bottom is likely getting close.

For that reason, stay cautious.
Trust your own judgment first.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Correlation with other assets is starting to send some interesting signals.

The longer this bear market lasts, the lower the probability of a deep capitulation.

The $60K–63K zone is where we need to be extremely cautious. If correlations confirm that the move stalls in this range, then the bottom is already in.

This is the key area to watch.

My current probability breakdown:

• 50% — Bottom in the $52K–54K zone
• 40% — The bottom is already in
• 10% — Bottom in the $34K–43K zone

I still believe the higher-probability scenario will play out. But right now, caution is more important than ever.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc Today I dreamed that Bitcoin unleashed a bloodbath. Traders were screaming in pain.

I haven’t slept this sweetly in a long time.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@RobinBullZ I have my own rules for using Fibonacci and Elliott Waves.

Play your own game. 🐑 🐑 🐑

I’ll play mine — still holding my short from 98k.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc It’s amusing to watch how the majority suddenly turned bullish simply because they started believing.

The game hasn’t flipped yet.

We still haven’t seen an impulsive market flip that would suggest the bottom is in.

Just as I said in 2025, I still expect Bitcoin to revisit the $56k–52k range. And I’ll keep expecting it until the market tells me, “Bro, it’s time to turn bullish.”

30% / 70%

I’m choosing the 70%.

Let’s see who’s right.

Could the bottom already be in? Absolutely. I’m not denying that.

But so far, the market hasn’t given a single hint that it is.

Everything else people are posting right now is just noise.

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

@KillaXBT Ok bro https://t.co/NvCSgsSEVt

[Edward Katcher @EdwardKatcher_]

#btc It’s amusing to watch how the majority suddenly turned bullish simply because they started believing.

The game hasn’t flipped yet.

We still haven’t seen an impulsive market flip that would suggest the bottom is in.

Just as I said in 2025, I still expect Bitcoin to revisit the $56k–52k range. And I’ll keep expecting it until the market tells me, “Bro, it’s time to turn bullish.”

30% / 70%

I’m choosing the 70%.

Let’s see who’s right.

Could the bottom already be in? Absolutely. I’m not denying that.

But so far, the market hasn’t given a single hint that it is.

Everything else people are posting right now is just noise.