Michael McDonald

Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote early morning update 10/23: at least 21 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳
https://t.co/8R4cj0FBiW

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

@skywalkm @VoteHub @E_DataGuy Knowing how VoteHub works, they're probably scraping my site and taking credit for it -- as they did it with our VEST data

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote afternoon update 10/22: at least 19 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳
https://t.co/8R4cj0FBiW

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote afternoon update 10/22: at least 20 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳🎉
https://t.co/8R4cj0FBiW

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

An update on Florida's early voting. It is still trailing 2022 due, in part, to a significant change in law regarding mail ballot requests. Democrats and Unaffiliated voters are making up ground in the in-person early vote, but Republicans not so much https://t.co/bV3ASkNKKE

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote morning update 10/22: at least 18 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳
https://t.co/8R4cj0FBiW

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote midday update 10/21: at least 16 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳
https://t.co/8R4cj0F3to

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

Mail ballot requests are mostly down, but returns are up suggesting voters are returning mail ballots sooner https://t.co/VA7NjIqpo3

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote morning update 10/21: at least 14 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳
https://t.co/8R4cj0F3to

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote afternoon update 10/20: at least 13 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳
https://t.co/8R4cj0F3to

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote midday update 10/20: at least 12 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳
https://t.co/8R4cj0FBiW

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

@PoohBea05932803 read my substack for those analyses pooh bear. comparisons require careful interpretation of the data which is why i don't just publish them

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote morning update 10/20: at least 11 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳
https://t.co/8R4cj0F3to

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

Updated analysis of Georgia and North Carolina early voting as of yesterday. Early voting continues to be elevated over 2018 and 2022. Hispanics continue to boom. NC Whites finally moved above 2018 levels, but it isn't due to registered Republicans voting https://t.co/umAWgAkRFK

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote evening update 10/19: at least 10.6 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳
https://t.co/8R4cj0F3to

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

Maine mail ballot returns are up over 2022 and 2018. Democrats are leading the way in yet another state, although here there are signs of Republican engagement, just not as high of levels as Democrats and unaffiliated voters
https://t.co/7v1cpf7VLl

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

There were 3 counties that had in-person early voting today that did not offer it in 2022. They are excluded from the comparison analysis.

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

A Florida analysis of today's in-person early voting activity compared to 2022 for 31 counties that held in-person early voting on the same number of days before the election. Registered Democrats are leading after a big day of in-person early voting https://t.co/s1lM3DZHoA

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

Here's a Nebraska same-day comparison to 2022. Like other states, early voting turnout is up compared to 2022 (sorry, no 2018 data files for a comparison). Registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters' turnout is up, while Republican is down https://t.co/aMw2kR20ix

[Michael McDonald @ElectProject]

#earlyvote afternoon update 10/19: at least 10 million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳🎉
https://t.co/8R4cj0FBiW