Aaron Caldwell

Stats guy that has practicing safe science since 2017. PhD but always a student. #Rstats #OpenScience

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

🚨New SimplyAgree (early) release🚨

Proud to announce that SimplyAgree v0.2.0 is now available on GitHub and feedback is welcome/wanted. A few details below 🧵
https://t.co/abaB7Y8pIT

#Rstats

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

@JohnHolbein1 https://t.co/TbU8T66tB9

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

Oh percent change, how I continue loathe you

[Aaron Rupar @atrupar]

RFK Jr: "A Democratic senator claimed it's mathematically impossible to have a drug drop by 600%. I said, 'Well, if the drug was $100 and it raises to $600, that would be a 600% rise. If it drops from $600 to $100, that's a 600% savings.'"

Trump: "Right"

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

@LGHemkens @lakens @GuyattGH Developing a widely used framework doesn’t grant infallibility on every statistical claim. The criticism was about specific statements, not about GRADE. Conflating the two is pretty telling.

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

@f2harrell @GuyattGH @AnnalsofIM I assume your disagreement would largely align with Goodman’s? https://t.co/x5tZ9bAJqu

[Against Narrative @3RenChengHu]

There's a form of secular creationism that we might call Malicious Design: The idea that the limitations imposed by nature are actually the product of human systems designed to exploit or otherwise harm the masses. 🧵

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

As a stats reviewer, can confirm and agree with all this!

[Rod Dunn @redunndant]

I review the statistics in ~200 manuscripts a year for some of the top urology journals in the world.

Here's what I actually do — and the mistakes I see in almost every paper. 🧵

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

@boringcompany Fort Smith!

[John Arnold @johnarnold]

"How to Lower Electricity Bills to $100 a Month"
The biggest impact is equalizing industrial and residential rates which currently reflect cost to serve but don't have to. I don't endorse all of these ideas but it's a serious proposal worth considering.
https://t.co/QSLdBM9i9V

[Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 @JeremiahDJohns]

So they are trying to blacklist Anthropic for having red lines, then agreed to the exact same red lines with OpenAI.

It's an entire administration of tryhard cosplay dorks, obsessed with the appearance of toughness, stumbling through it like drunk toddlers.

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

@VickersBiostats I feel a rebellion against RE meta coming soon. This advice, as you indicate, seems to be applied thoughtlessly

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

@JohnHolbein1 Possible implications for the “Mississippi Miracle”?

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

@f2harrell @datavisFriendly Agreed. I’ve seen similar talk around the “diagnosis” of gestational diabetes. Talked to a few physicians that think problematic cases are missed because patients don’t meet the binary classification on 3 separate tests.

[David Johnson @DavidJo30329121]

@JohnHolbein1 We did a lab experiment that showed this behavior years ago.

https://t.co/PDygAXTmao

[Scott Greenfield @ScottGreenfield]

I learned all this really secret awful stuff that shows the hoaxes and conspiracies really happened, but I can't tell you because it's secret and can't do anything about it because I quit because going to work every day is really hard.

[Wilson F. Ball @WillyFoosball]

Someone made a 2025 College Football season montage to One Shining Moment and it’s amazing 😭

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

@bendreyfuss @notjessewalker Man, this guy would be shocked to see all the professional grade logistics I saw from dads and moms in sweat pants at my local Walmart before the snow storm!

[🐝 Carol Walsh ^Monterey Bay^ @CarolWalshReal1]

Why is this illegal you might ask?

Anti-massing design guidelines.

Guidelines against using one material.

If you want to see these in your city, please advocate for stripping the overwrought design guidelines, AND as many other BS regulations as possible, so that builders can spend money on actual design and quality materials!

You do that by attending your local city planning meetings.

By bugging your elected officials on the local and state level to discard these outdated concepts.

Thank you for coming to my TED Talk

[John Arnold @johnarnold]

Motor vehicle theft is the easiest property crime to address through tech and yet it's the one that we've gone backwards on over the past 15 years. The tools exist today to essentially end car theft if adopted: PIN to drive, remote disable, GPS tracking, cameras, encrypted keys.

[Steven Pinker @sapinker]

I resigned from the board of advisors of the University of Austin (UATX, not to be confused w U T Austin) within weeks of their inaugural announcement, because they "had no coherent vision of what higher education in the 21st century ought to be. Instead, they created UnWoke U led by a Faculty of the Canceled." Also: science was an afterthought. And they were so knee-jerk anti-woke that they were unprepared for the genuine issues that led to woke overreach, like sexual harassment. Four years later, my worst fears came true. Expose in Politico: They Wanted a University Without Cancel Culture. Then Dissenters Were Ousted. https://t.co/Zy2jKKwwr8 via @politico

[Aaron Caldwell @ExPhysStudent]

@S_Surprenant Huh, I remember reading a book by Milankovic years ago, and thought it was decent. Should I have been a bit for skeptical of his work?