Faramir the Investor

Daily market health, breadth & sector rotation. Data insights.
Data-first spot investor
LOTR nerd. NFA.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

What you can find here

Every session
• Market Health card — regime, score, VIX, correlation, risk-on/off
• Sector + industry leadership
• One line on what would change the stance

Event days
• CPI / FOMC / claims — what the print does to the tape

Sometimes
• How fills, ETFs, and sizing actually work

What you won’t find
• Calls to ape
• A new strategy every week

Spot investor. Data first. NFA.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@itskeefis @optionscjp Oil prices are not up cause of inflation. They are the cause of it. Usually when diesel goes up it's around 1-3 months before the price hike reaches the shelf for customer. So inflation will creep up from here.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@brent_e_trader @optionscjp Crawling CPI.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@danhtalks Yes, but then it falls under medical problem. And its fine. But that is not big % of the users of the drug.
The addiction can be also be worked on. Even with professional if need be.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

So, I had awkwardly rare medical condition that made me unable to lift weights. Should I use this as excuse and just go fat and go on the magic pill?
You can control your appetite. Plenty of ways to snack and still not be obese and get it under control. It will require time and patience. But "I can't control it" is not valid excuse, unless medical condition is causing something.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@DChibani Do you have any data backing this up? Or just a gut feeling.
I'm vaccinated, my whole family is. We are all fine.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@DeItaone Hassett can try as a stand up comedian after his spell with the White House.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@Liathetrader And BLS revision. Very fun times

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@TrendSpider But every "guru" here said CPI is in line. :( So whom am I to believe CME math based models or feelings? Confused.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@EllisInvest

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@RMBFinance Finally someone that doesn't flip bullish just cause YoY is somewhat lower.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@NickSarich For now. I'm still not very optimistic. MoM is hotter. YoY and how it is formed is meh.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

This morning indexes across Asia are being slaughtered

Nikkei 225-2.17%
$KOSPI-2.19%
Shanghai Composite-1.82%
MSCI Asia Pacific-1.30%
$SKHY and Samsung are down too.

CPI later today. We are not looking hot.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

Seems at this point BLS numbers for jobs are getting RNG treatment. This is I dont know which revision in line with this magnitude.

[Benzinga @Benzinga]

July's reported 23,000 job loss was revised to a 21,000 gain, a swing of 44,000 in a single revision, per the BLS.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@HenrikZeberg YoY? Really? Purely because last year's rolling-off month was hotter than this one?

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@WallSt_Wiz Lol. Given I posted what I expect hours ago, I'm not shorting. But MoM matters. Not YoY.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@brandon_Invests There, my prediction. CPI in line. Futures up. We rip into dip. Then drift until 16th and FOMC.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@brandon_Invests More like bullish on open and then slowly dip into later hours. And absolute snooze fest until Wednesday.

[Faramir the Investor @FaramirInvests]

@shane89p2 Why is nobody talking about MoM.

CPI YoY just might means last year inflation was cooler than expected. FED will care about MoM trend. Not YoY.