$VIX in August had the second lowest monthly close for an August since 2018.
$VIX in August had the lowest intraday peak for an August since 2018.
$VIX in August had the lowest daily close for an August since 2018.
$VIX in September is currently starting out exactly how September 2018 started out.
Conincidentally, 2018 was Trump's midterm election year in his first term.
Then October 2018 happened where the $VIX spiked 156%.
Are we following the same playbook?
What if we just did half of what 2018 did came Oct-Dec 2018?? See below.
Things that make you go hmmm.
Elon Musk is quite literally telling you to buy robotics stocks.
“10 years from now there will be over a billion humanoid robots, & each will have 5X the productivity of a human”
Citi Group says the robot market is to be worth $7T by 2050.
These are 6 “Must Own” robot stocks:
1. Tesla $TSLA - Robotics & AI
2. Ouster $OUST - LiDAR Sensors
3. Coppernico $COPR - Copper Supply
4. Intuitive Surgical $ISRG - Surgical Robotics
5. Symbiotic $SYM - Warehouse Robotics
6. Rockwell $ROK - Industrial Automation
Just like how memory stocks ran 10-20x such as $MU & $SNDK these will follow similar suit.
Save this for later…
Buy under the 200 WMA
Hold for 12 months
Buy when X sentiment is at all time lows and HATE a position in spite of healthy fundamentals
Always have Cash available to take advantage of an irrational market
That’s pretty much it
What... $GPRO is up 79.17% after planning to merge with a photonics company "Starman Optical"
To build US 800G/1.6T optical transceivers for AI data centers.
GoPro trying to compete with $AAOI was definitely not on my radar.
@Tobiz3bm Watching this and many yield charts like tells me only one thing:
Buy hard assets. Tangible over intangibles. It’s a type of environment in which copper can beat semis.
$VST is quite literally a “no brainer” here at its 200EMA.
Vistra is trading at just a 13x p/e all while actively working to resolve the energy bottleneck of the AI supercycle.
Many notable figures are bullish on $VST with:
- The CEO buying
- Donald Trump holding
- Nancy Pelosi holding
- Peter Thiel buying
- David Tepper adding
You won’t see $VST trading at this much of a discount for long.
Don’t miss out…
$PFE Very close to hitting fresh 2 yr highs here.
Chart looks ready to go. Recent insider buys a sign of confidence too.
Look if MRNA can go, so can PFE.
Watchlist!
I think $VST looks compelling here.
At $138, Vistra feels like one of the cleaner ways to play the AI/data center power trade without paying a large multiple.
The numbers:
- Q2 adjusted EBITDA: $1.77B, +31% YoY
- 2026 EBITDA guide: $6.8B-$7.6B
- 2026 FCF before growth: $3.9B-$4.7B
- 2027 core EBITDA opportunity: $7.4B-$7.8B
- Shares outstanding down ~30% since 2021
The obvious bottleneck continues to be energy and it seems like $VST is attacking that head on:
- AWS signed a 20-year deal for up to 1.2 GW from Comanche Peak.
- Meta signed 20-year agreements covering 2.6+ GW across Vistra’s nuclear fleet.
Roughly 3.8 GW tied to AWS + Meta alone. Then there is also Helix, the AI infrastructure platform with KKR, NVIDIA and KIA. Vistra is the preferred power provider for this.
VST is also acquiring Cogentrix, adding ~5.5 GW of gas generation, with the deal expected to be accretive to FCF/share starting in 2027.
The valuation is compelling:
At $138:
~13-15x forward EPS
~9-10x 2026 EV/EBITDA
~8x 2027 EV/EBITDA
~10-11x 2026 FCF before growth
Meanwhile $CEG trades closer to ~22x forward earnings and ~14-15x EV/EBITDA.
I don’t think VST deserves CEG’s full multiple, but the gap looks wide given how much exposure VST has to the same nuclear/power scarcity theme. At the same time, CEG has almost the same amount of debt as VST at $19B. CEG has much more hyperscaler exposure so it deserves a higher premium, but it seems likely for VST to be rerated on solid execution.
The risks:
- Merchant power prices can weaken
- Debt/leverage is meaningful
- Nuclear outages/regulatory issues can hurt earnings
- AI power demand is already a crowded theme
- Heavy hedging limits near-term upside from higher spot power prices
- Cogentrix/Helix still need to execute
- More generation or slower AI capex could reduce the scarcity premium
The risks are important here but they are mainly tied to regulation/execution, the underlying thesis is that energy continues to be a huge bottleneck.
What I also like is that you don’t need some crazy AI multiple for this to work and deliver returns from here as the stock is already down 15% YTD:
- Bear: $110
7x EBITDA / ~$7B EBITDA
- Base: $185
9x EBITDA / ~$8B+ EBITDA
- Bull: $240
10-11x EBITDA / ~$9B EBITDA
$VST has $1.22B remaining on its buyback authorization and 336M shares outstanding, after repurchasing $778M of stock in 2026 and $6.5B since November 2021, helping reduce its share count by roughly 30% since 2021. That’s actually interesting now because the stock is around $138 so if management keeps allocating FCF to repurchases at these lower prices, every $1B of buybacks would retire roughly 7.2M shares, or a little over 2% of the current share count.
Finally, Peter Thiel bought $59M of it in Q2 and David Tepper added to his position by 10% making it now worth 4% of his portfolio with a $350M position size.
I took a small starter position today to keep track of it as I'm still doing DD but it does feel more compelling than not.
@ZaStocks Everyone can chart HBM. Power takes years to permit tho, that’s why the vertically integrated guys win and the ones renting megawatts don’t. Bullish $VST
This one hit me differently. 💯
We're a small family of just over Hundred and twenty five thousrand people. The worldwide impact is something I still cannot fully wrap my head around.
I had a guy message me last week. Left his corporate job. Trading from home. Spending time with his kids. He said he never thought that was possible for him.
Another one told me she finally took the trip she had been putting off for ten years.
I cannot share how grateful I am to be part of your Financial freeedom journey, and I love hearing these success stories.
None of these people got lucky. They just stayed consistent long enough for it to matter.
Attached is a rule book I'd like to share.
𝒯𝒽ℯ 𝒮ℰ𝒫 𝟧𝟢𝟢 𝒟𝒶𝒾𝓁𝓎 𝒰𝓅𝒹𝒶𝓉ℯ✨
We are approaching the business end of the pattern, with little time left before it is validated or invalidated.
The overlay and explanation show the RISING WEDGE PATTERN in question, divergence of price to RSI and money flow is concerning.
The next few trading days will be telling.
Keeping it simple.
Your's truly,
The Great Martis. ✨