The wait is over!
Introducing... 🥁
Bitcoin Quantile Model v2.
You’re going to want to bookmark this post—and follow for regular model updates.
After months of research and development, I’m very proud of this model—my flagship quantile framework.
I’m confident it’s one of the best—if not the best—long-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available.
As a full-time, unpaid Bitcoin researcher, I’m often asked how people can best support my free content.
Simply bookmark, repost, and comment on my posts :)
Thanks for all your continued support!
— PlanC
Key Features & Improvements:
1. Quantile lines never cross—mathematically impossible.
2. Cycle-length agnostic.
3. 133,000+ data points and 1,500 lines of code.
4. Fits and stores 999 quantile levels (τ = 0.001–0.999 in 0.001 steps) and identifies which level the last price is closest to.
5. Fits the two leading decay functions (stretched exponential decay & exponential decay) and selects the better fit via quantile-appropriate AIC.
Uses Akaike weights to identify the best-supported model.
Akaike weights (AIC-based):
Stretched exponential decay: 96.4%
Exponential decay: 3.6%
6. Piecewise Quantile Regression — Linear + Stretched Exponential Decay (Nonlinear).
Thankfully, I longed Friday, also. My first trade using The System after extensive backtesting. Most MA cross strategies I’ve tested are good until chop zones but following these rules kept me out during consolidation periods.
Great thing is I have my chart alerts set so I don’t have to be tied to the charts all day.
Looking quite promising! Well done, Brian!
🚨Is It Finally Altcoin Season?🚨
Next week could be the turning point.
#Bitcoin dominance is inches away from breaking a 2.5-year uptrend and #Ethereum just broke $4K.
If this weekly close confirms, we could see the strongest altseason signal since 2022.
Here’s my game plan🧵👇
Here’s my EXACT plan to make millions in #crypto for 2025.
(Before the recession)
It is simple,
Not easy.
This is what I expect:
- $BTC leads the market.
(Already seen this)
- BTC corrects / consolidates.
Then BTC dominance tops out.
(Already happened)
- Alt season begins.
This is where life-changing moves happen.
(We are here now)
Here’s the plan:
1. No panic selling. Pullbacks = buying opportunities.
2. Focus on projects I think other people will buy.
3. Watch BTC dominance drop 20%, that’s when alts go parabolic.
4. $SOL holding until $400
5. $ETH waiting for a $5k
6. Sticking with alts that have strong narratives.
7. Sticking with leading alts, projects that move first and set the trend.
8. Wait for retail FOMO to flood in.
9. Alts with cult-like followings will move the hardest.
10. These will provide insane ROI during the peak of alt season, 20x min.
11. I’ll track volume spikes and market sentiment, this is how you spot tops.
12. I’ll call the top based on clear chart signals, no guessing, no emotions.
13. Profits move into USDT and lock in gains.
14. Rotating gains into real estate during the recession.
15. This is where wealth is built for the long term.
16. Watch everyone else get fucked and lose their profits.
But I must say,
Discipline & execution will be everything.
Markets will try to confuse you,
But if you follow me,
And stick to the plan,
We’ll win big.
1/ Real talk: in this bull, your profits depend on how you get OUT.
If you don't know how whales exit -- you're shooting yourself in the foot.
Elites follow the elite herd. Whales have a playbook.
I'm about to leak their playbook 🧵👇
$SPY
No matter what happens in this world, the markets will always reach all-time highs every single time.
Keep investing. Keep going. We'll be rich together.