Fight77

Be patient but keep it simple & smart.

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

乐观
有执行力的乐观
有方法的乐观
客观的乐观

[Sam Altman @sama]

i would rather be an optimist and work hard than a pessimist posting about why things won't work.

it's much more difficult and the most likely path is failure, but society fails if people don't try.

no amount of "it will never work" essays will drive society forward.

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

处于非常早的创新者阶段

[Josh Miller @joshm]

Hot take… isn’t it kinda crazy that nobody is really using AI Agents? I don’t mean software engineers or AI early adopters. I mean “college friends talking about it in group chat,” the feeling you got when everyone started using Instagram or TikTok.

These frontier AI models are *insane* (as are the harnesses & tool calls & the like). And every large tech co has an AI agents platform, not to mention all the YC startups doing vertical agents. Yet all of your friends and family outside of tech — who spend all day staring at their iPhones and get paid to work in browser tabs — don’t really care or find themselves using any AI agents yet.

Yes ChatGPT, Claude, etc. are extremely popular… but if you look at the engagement data the vast majority of people are still using these aI chat tools like a glorified Google + Grammarly. That’s why the AGI labs are all pushing desktop apps for Codex, Cowork, etc. so hard to non-technical ppl. And yes exceptions for lawyers and customer service but even those have some asterisks and exceptions to rule.

Look I’m not saying the ChatGPT moment for AI Agents is not coming… it most definitely is! Remember we pivoted from Arc to Dia precisely because we believe computing is going to be radically reimagined around these AI primitives. No doubt. But that’s my point: it’s just so surprising it hasn’t happened yet because all of the tech you’d need is there.

Again if you stop for a second and think about it… for all the press and money and hype and models and crazy ARR numbers… this “AI Agent” moment does not *feel* like the other breakthrough tech moments we’ve lived through (e.g. think the shift to Stories via Snapchat & Instagram, or shift to on-demand via Uber/Airbnb/Doordash).

Which is a long way of saying: if you can figure out the answer to “why” most people don’t care about AI agents yet (and have no enduring interest in using them) — especially since the models and harnesses are here and ready — the answer to that question will allow you to capture a lot of marketshare and make a lot of money in 2027.

Theoretically, the tech is ready for AI Agents to totally transform how we work and live our lives… but alas the general public dgaf… that’s the generational puzzle to solve for the next 12 months for anyone not working on the models themselves.

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

🫡

[Jeff Dean @JeffDean]

Tomorrow will be my last day at Google after 27 years, and watching it grow from 25 people to 190,000+ has been an amazing journey. Below is a note I shared with many people internally at Google today. An excerpt is:

It has been an absolute pleasure to work with you and to help build some of the most widely used and impactful products of all time. As a kid, I dreamed of helping build software that would be used by many people, and Google now has thirteen products used by more than a billion people (amazing!). Our work has had a tremendous impact in the world, and I have been lucky enough to collaborate and form friendships with many colleagues that I deeply admire, respect, and enjoy. It still brings me joy every time I see people out in the world using our products to find information, handle email, translate documents, watch videos, learn new things, navigate and understand the physical world, browse the web, use their phone, run large-scale computations on our infrastructure, ride in an autonomous vehicle, or perform complex tasks with the help of our AI systems. I hope you all share this sense of joy, because it is a shared accomplishment! Thank you to all of my colleagues at Google over many years!

Now I'm excited to go start @DiscoLoopAI with my longtime friends and colleagues @Sanjay_Ghemawat, @OriolVinyalsML, and @quocleix.

(Updated post: slightly redacted to not have some personal info)

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

FDE 没几个人能干的。
售前，销售，商务，项目经理，产品，技术，售后等等，把人类岗位综合一身，还要懂得汇报和向上管理。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

确定性是杀死一个人最直接的原因。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

分享下我自己的例子，非常好用！
图 1 是飞书画板（每个地方都可以编辑），如需变更，可以放大画板中的每个细节，和家人探讨。
图 2 是基于画板内容，以及真实家具图片，直接生成的设计图。
背景：最近刚换华侨城红树林的房子，让 Codex 帮我设计了中古风的装修风格，还考虑了风水布局。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

@bijzhbi1 @Saccc_c 短任务用不到，长任务的刚需。可以简单理解为电脑开久了，你怎么刷新，杀进程都卡，远没有重启效果来得快。新建约等于重启。注意力，智能程度会更好。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

just making an efficient binary directly with AI.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

This is exactly right. Source code is on the verge of becoming like assembly.

The next step is getting rid of “source code” entirely and just making an efficient binary directly with AI.

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

@yetone model agnostic 说人话就是“中转站”：
腾讯 WorkBuddy 不强行主推自家大模型，充当 “中转站”：统一一套接口、工作流、交互��辑，底层自由接入 DeepSeek、GLM、Kimi 等各类模型。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

@lifesinger 钱在哪这个不会变的。
投资人的钱、用户的钱、渠道的钱。对于创业公司，最难的依然还是流量；没有流量就很难获得用户的注意力，用户留存就更无从谈及了。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

@lifesinger 已经不是传统意义上的投广告买用户的那种玩法了。现在都是抢注意力和品类认知。就像以前作图用 PS 一样。
比如小红书、抖音经常能刷到视频软广，描述一些具体的场景，让用户很容易 Get 到产品的场景和作用。目标用户也是非常垂直的。用户进来之后消耗的 Token，长期也是能跑正的，需要耐心。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

@yangyi 什么焦虑教什么 然后做到极致

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

@yangyi 这些都是过程中的产物，加密 skill、提示词，没啥意义的。基础模型迭代一波，这些东西就死一波。图片，视频生成就是最典型的例子。卖课是个好生意。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

@mylifcc 所以，AI 在没有突破智能和意识之前，永远都没有 AGI。只是工具。更好用的工具。未来可能出 GPT10，也只是比现在更好用的工具。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

😶😶

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

如果你在相对的位置离场，那么，后续的行情就和你无关了。因为你又会在高位，低位反复横跳，操作。市场最不缺聪明人。也最不缺资金。
留在牌桌上是最重要的。比你看一万篇那些小作文都有用。知行合一。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

如果你在相对的位置离场，那么，后续的行情就和你无关了。因为你又会在高位，低位反复横跳，操作。市场最不缺聪明人。也最不缺资金。
留在牌桌上是最重要的。比你看一万篇那些小作文都有用。知行合一。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

哈哈哈有意思

[美研芒格君 @Kay2289123]

最近一年，看着身边越来越多的朋友因为投资存储、算力、互联财富自由，说不羡慕是假的

今天食堂吃饭的时候，我突然想起了 2022 年, $meta跌到90$，人人喊打，当年的风口不是 AI，是元宇宙

40的 $mrvl，50块的 $mu，16块的英伟达，都没人想要

2022那年9月我在 Meta带了最后一届intern，我遗憾地看着周围的同事一个一个裁员离职，遗憾地告诉努力的实习生，今年没有 return offer，可以尽快开始找工作了

四年之后的今天，我在硅谷已经摸爬滚打，成了团队的 leader。也送走了今年带的一批实习生。理由依然类似，AI ���本增效，今年没有 return offer，可以尽快开始找工作了

历史真的是一个大的轮回，我怀念2022年40的 $mrvl，50块的 $mu，16块的英伟达，也怀念4年前的自己

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

😶😶

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

你只需要十分清晰你买的是什么就行。

[Fight77 @FightKK7]

火山、飞书、豆包直接合并了。组织架构也是。