FMedunic

Research Fellow Geoeconomics @dgapev

[lnternationale Politik Quarterly @IPQuarterly]

NEW from @FilipMedunic : How states are adapting to the age of geoeconomics — and how Germany can draw the right conclusions for its own approach.

https://t.co/6YLrxCTNJs

[lnternationale Politik Quarterly @IPQuarterly]

NEW from @FilipMedunic: The US Treasury is preparing a screening mechanism for investments in China. German policymakers and businesses need to consider the debate about how Europe should react.

https://t.co/5Mw98G7Dld

[FMedunic @FilipMedunic]

➡️#economicsecurity will be a central part of the next COM’s #newforeigneconmicpolicy
➡️#DeRisking not decoupling
➡️New economic security doctrine
But coordination will likely have to come from the very top!

[FMedunic @FilipMedunic]

In June @TGehrke_ and me argued for an EVP for geoeconomics @EU_Commission. Couldn’t win this one but #economicsecurity & #interinstitutionalrelations are with @marossefcovic 👏. Cooperation between #industrialpolicy, #techsovereignty&security, #competitiveness will be key.

[DGAP @dgapev]

#Sicherheitspolitik wäre nach einer Wiederwahl #Trump|s im November "nicht mehr selbstverständlich, wie es das für Europa aber auch für Deutschland als engen Verbündeten der USA war", sagt Geoökonomie-Experte @FilipMedunic im Interview mit @euronewsde 👉 https://t.co/TfTgdpVcir

[DGAP @dgapev]

Zur strategischen Gestaltung von Exportkontrollen empfiehlt @FilipMedunic der 🇩🇪 Bundesregierung in seinem Memo:

1⃣ Nationale Kontrollen als Übergangsphase bei strategischen Zukunftstechnologien.
2⃣ Die Dual-Use-­Verordnung der EU bereits heute stärken.
3⃣ Neue Formate ... /1

[FMedunic @FilipMedunic]

My first piece for @dgapev on #exportcontrols scenarios in the 🇺🇸 and what 🇩🇪 can do (in DE). A strategic approach should focus on:

1. closing the gap with other 🇪🇺 member states
2. strengthening the 🇪🇺 Dual-Use Reg.
3. explore multilateral solutions

⬇️
https://t.co/4Z9nQzWm9g

[FMedunic @FilipMedunic]

Together with @TGehrke_ we argue that focusing on de-risking is not enough. The next EU mandate should include:
1. A more proactive strategy beyond risk mitigation
2. A more (geo-)political and less siloed structure
3. A re-thinking of trade principles for critical supply chains

[ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech @ECFRGeotech]

🔍To discover how Brussels can upgrade its geoeconomics strategy, have a look at the latest publication by @TGehrke_ and @FilipMedunic: https://t.co/nNxMbrWsa0

[ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech @ECFRGeotech]

🔍To discover how Brussels can upgrade its geoeconomics strategy, have a look at the latest publication by @TGehrke_ and @FilipMedunic: https://t.co/nNxMbrWsa0

[FMedunic @FilipMedunic]

https://t.co/l73V3CHW1G

[ECFR Geoeconomics and Tech @ECFRGeotech]

🔴 NEW policy brief | As the EU reestablishes the link between its security and economic policies, it should avoid focusing only on risk mitigation. It needs to upgrade its strategy to strengthen its geoeconomic position. By @TGehrke_ @FilipMedunic
https://t.co/x0hGRsPkHc

[FMedunic @FilipMedunic]

Happy to share our latest piece with my dear former colleague @TGehrke_ at @ecfr. What’s needed for #Europe to be ready for future geoeconomic challenges.
👉🏼 Fortune favours the bold: Upgrading the EU’s geoeconomic strategy: https://t.co/0zjWpkTZXf via @ECFRGeoecon

[Tobias Gehrke @TGehrke_]

🇪🇺 accounts for 1/3 of 🇨🇳 EV exports, making it the most important export destination

But Europe needs more than tariffs if it wants to de-risk without strangling its green ambitions

With @FilipMedunic we wrote about elements for an 🇪🇺 EV strategy @ecfr
https://t.co/24F1dyaOuc

[Tobias Gehrke @TGehrke_]

We look at the coming 🇪🇺🇨🇳 EV wars and Europe's de-risking troubles

A wider EU strategy should make use of its interdependencies with other economies, employ security tools to limit critical dependencies, and provide financial incentives to de-risk the most sticky dependencies

[FMedunic @FilipMedunic]

Very exciting!

[Agathe Demarais @AgatheDemarais]

👋 Some personal news - I'm thrilled to announce that I've joined @ecfr as a senior policy fellow on geoeconomics, with a plan to take @ecfr's work on sanctions, de-risking, economic fragmentation and many other topics to the next level (yes, this will involve more cool graphs!)

[Tobias Gehrke @TGehrke_]

So the 🇪🇺 agreed its 11th sanction package

The mechanism to punish countries that help evade sanctions was significantly watered down

@FilipMedunic and I argue for @ecfr that we need rules for the road before we move further down that sanctions path
https://t.co/BY0LklJHgC

[Tobias Gehrke @TGehrke_]

With the 11th sanctions package the 🇪🇺 will likely enter deeper into the realm of secondary sanctions.

@FilipMedunic and I think there are serious risks down that path. Some basic principles should be agreed, therefore, before venturing onwards
1/4

[ECFR @ecfr]

📢We're delighted to present ECFR's newest publication format: the policy alert - bringing you short, sharp, direct reaction to the most pressing developments worldwide.

Read @TGehrke_ and @FilipMedunic's on the 11th sanctions package. @ecfrpower
https://t.co/e0SSoSU71q

[FMedunic @FilipMedunic]

With @TGehrke_ I've laid out three first principles to keep in mind for EU secondary sanctions - if they come!

1. Do not discriminate between targets

2. Share costs between partners

3. Limit them to critical goods

Read our #ECFR Policy Alert here: https://t.co/hkTaQy2Mj8

[ECFR @ecfr]

You can also read @FilipMedunic's commentary on the way to measure European sanctions' against Russia. He states that now is the time for a full assessment of how well they have worked. @ecfrpower

https://t.co/QVKwYnaWj1

[FMedunic @FilipMedunic]

Happy to have contributed to #ifoSchnelldienst 05/2023 on #sanctions on Russia and their assessment one year on for @ifo_Institut (German only): https://t.co/V87icfPaMA