Flip Pidot

Politics x Markets.

[Flip Pidot @FlipPidot]

Just discovered Codex chat forking. Lovely.

[Flip Pidot @FlipPidot]

My talk at the Vegas Prediction Conference in April.

[Polyoptions @polyoptions]

"The Quadrillion Dollar Missing Link"

Why prediction markets need an options layer, from the @predictconf in Vegas.
https://t.co/t82VghiHFP

[Aggie @BlondiePredicts]

Prediction Markets 101 panel featuring some of the people who were around before prediction markets were cool

@FlipPidot , former CFTC director Ian Mcginley, John Aristotle Phillips of @PredictIt , and moderated by @dannyzuck of @PredictionNews_

[Mick Bransfield @MickBransfield]

CFTC rewrites § 40.11 around a structured, factor-based framework rather than the vague public-interest screen that's been litigated to death.

[Flip Pidot @FlipPidot]

Boots on the ground for the SBC Summit in Ft. Lauderdale!

Even got a fancy room overlooking the venue, just past the highway.

[Flip Pidot @FlipPidot]

"This is a fun party. The cops may shut it down at some point (or at least ask the music be turned down), but in the meantime, let’s not poop the party for stupid reasons."
https://t.co/vCLzRjG2dD

[Old Bull TV @OldBullTV]

Great episode with @MickBransfield.

[The Supercycle @supercycleblog]

Our Texas Senate prediction market aggregate is live (currently 59.9% Paxton).

Link below.

[Eli Goldfine @realTomBayes]

Guys... not only did Tarek Mansour like this tweet (making me liked by all 3 prediction market CEOs)... but the legendary @mattkalish followed me.

Matt, @FlipPidot and I once again extend our offer to have you on our podcast. We'd love to hear what you have to say.

[The Supercycle @supercycleblog]

Supercycle prediction market aggregates are back and better than ever.

Link below.

[The Supercycle @supercycleblog]

.@mattkalish want to come on the https://t.co/fn50UIFVfh podcast so we can get your side of the story?

[Old Bull TV @OldBullTV]

Great talk in Switzerland by @realTomBayes - international prediction market wunderkind - now up at https://t.co/lCYDEH71Ju.

[Chris Gerlacher @GerlacherC]

Catch @FlipPidot on Prediction Market Movers where he discusses:

- The early PredictIt years
- Emotional bias in markets
- Derivatives that be built on top of event contracts

Great insights into how markets work (and sometimes don’t) in this one

https://t.co/ipy5cu0ghN

[Eli Goldfine @realTomBayes]

Super excited to be in Switzerland to talk about insider trading at tonight’s @ElasticsAI event!

[The Supercycle @supercycleblog]

Episode #4 of The Supercycle Podcast. With guest
John Phillips, CEO of @PredictIt.

We discuss the value and ethics of democratizing information, how PredictIt got their no action letter, where the prediction market industry is going, and (as always) if futarchy could solve nuclear war.

[Flip Pidot @FlipPidot]

Speech and assembly - two 1A birds with one stone. Nice one, NGCB.

I was slated to speak at this, but what doesn't happen in Vegas doesn't stay in Vegas.

See you in NYC instead!

[Mick Bransfield @MickBransfield]

Predict 2026 moves from Las Vegas to NYC because of pressure from Nevada gaming regulators on the hotel.

[Flip Pidot @FlipPidot]

Don't forget SBC Summit in Ft Lauderdale, June 9-11.

[Mick Bransfield @MickBransfield]

Prediction market conferences are proliferating.

[Flip Pidot @FlipPidot]

Codex just became the first LLM to make me actually laugh out loud:

"My recommendation: do UI cleanup next, then adaptive performance. The sim is getting powerful, but the controls are starting to feel like a cockpit designed by someone being chased."

[The Supercycle @supercycleblog]

Episode #2 of The Supercycle Podcast. With guest @HarryDCrane.

Harry has some great insights on market mechanics! One of the most interesting podcasts we’ve done, as well as the first episode co-hosted by both Eli and Flip since the rebrand.
https://t.co/tLZp2G8Kko

[Flip Pidot @FlipPidot]

@BlondiePredicts @predictionconlv @PredictIt @Domahhhh @scottonPoly @dschwarz26 @MickBransfield @edge_marketsio Thanks for a great conference, @BlondiePredicts!